Brewers +170 is the best play on the board tonight

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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #1
    Brewers +170 is the best play on the board tonight
    Really ugly card. Peralta is a total wild card, but you almost have to take him at this price. When he's on, he can be borderline unhittable. Miller vastly overpriced as usual.
  • R.P. McMurphy
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 06-15-12
    • 9654

    #2
    Agree Coin and the Bo Sox look tempting as well!
    Comment
    • SBRMAN23
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 01-07-11
      • 6905

      #3
      How could you go agains BigNutz??? Lol
      Comment
      • 2daBank
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 01-26-09
        • 88966

        #4
        havnt been betting bases but no idea what makes you think this a good bet let alone the best bet on the card? shelby is 7-3 at home, has owned the brewers several times this yr, in fact cards flat out own the brew crew in general as i can only recall them losing to mil twice all yr (both when lynn pitched, so maybe 2marro be better), cards have smacked this pitcher around, cards just retook lead sweeping pit and doubt they giving it back tonight against a shitbag team that they own... you know me im not down for big chalk but i mean how is it not justified when cards beat this team like it stole something time after time? like i said maybe mil 2marro against lynn as he seems to be the only pitcher that loses to these clowns and again cards vs peralta

        and shelby vs mil

        08/19/13 @ MIL 8-5 -149/8 W/O 5.1 5 2 2 8 4 1 101 18.9 2.00
        05/03/13 @ MIL 6-1 100/8.5 W/U 6.0 7 1 1 5 1 0 106 17.7 0.50
        04/12/13 MIL 2-0 -143/7.5 W/U 7.0 1 0 0 8 0 0 113 16.1 5.00
        not sure where the great value in mil is here as cards win this gm 70% of the time..
        Comment
        • kuhnersooner
          SBR Rookie
          • 08-23-13
          • 36

          #5
          The Cards have been red hot winning 10 of 12 at home and are fighting for a playoff spot so every game counts. Miller has gone 7-3 with a 1.92 ERA at home that ranks among the best in the majors. The Cardinals have averaged 5.8 runs and batted .301 while winning 10 of 13 against the Brewers.

          But yaaaa great value lol
          Comment
          • 2daBank
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-26-09
            • 88966

            #6
            again i am way out of touch with bases but to me the best value on the board looks like the lastros, ill take lyles over saunders, like hou against lefties, little momentum from the comeback win last night +140 seems like a decent price to back the better pitcher imo..
            Comment
            • No coincidences
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-18-10
              • 76300

              #7
              Originally posted by 2daBank
              again i am way out of touch with bases but to me the best value on the board looks like the lastros, ill take lyles over saunders, like hou against lefties, little momentum from the comeback win last night +140 seems like a decent price to back the better pitcher imo..
              I also like Houston. When I capped the MIL/StL game, I had MIL at +140. I'm well aware of what has happened in the past with Peralta, Miller and these two teams, but I personally think this line is way inflated and there's a lot of value at +170. We'll see I guess.
              Comment
              • Ratzz
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 07-07-10
                • 8965

                #8
                GL on this bud.. hope it comes in.. cheers

                Comment
                • detroitlionsfan
                  SBR MVP
                  • 04-30-12
                  • 1895

                  #9
                  i woudnt bet against cards pirates or cincy the rest of the regular season ...
                  Comment
                  • 2daBank
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 01-26-09
                    • 88966

                    #10
                    Originally posted by No coincidences
                    I also like Houston. When I capped the MIL/StL game, I had MIL at +140. I'm well aware of what has happened in the past with Peralta, Miller and these two teams, but I personally think this line is way inflated and there's a lot of value at +170. We'll see I guess.
                    it baseball anything can happen but not sure how you getting that number cause that implies cards win this gm far less than they have and will continue to. if anything they should prob be -200 seriously..seeing how they damn near always beat this team by more than 1 i took a little rl +115 action...
                    Comment
                    • No coincidences
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 01-18-10
                      • 76300

                      #11
                      You've gotta be fvcking kidding me.

                      Peralta's no-no broken up by a two-run homer. Cards lead 2-0 despite being out-hit 5-1.
                      Comment
                      • tony_come
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 03-31-10
                        • 21695

                        #12
                        Crazy!
                        Comment
                        • surfpunk17
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 01-26-13
                          • 131

                          #13
                          Peralta's throwing a gem.. 1 bad pitch. Cant win if you cant score tho.
                          Comment
                          • R.P. McMurphy
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 06-15-12
                            • 9654

                            #14
                            Unfukkin real!
                            Comment
                            • 2daBank
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 01-26-09
                              • 88966

                              #15
                              still got it hopefully lastros dont piss lead away..
                              Comment
                              • No coincidences
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 01-18-10
                                • 76300

                                #16
                                Originally posted by 2daBank
                                still got it hopefully lastros dont piss lead away..
                                Nice hit Bank.
                                Comment
                                • 2daBank
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 01-26-09
                                  • 88966

                                  #17
                                  NC i was looking at gm 2marro thinking that would be the one to take mil as lynn the only guy they beat and he has been pitching like str8 shit the last month or so but man cards rake estrada as well..really sux cuzzi is behind the plate as that dude is a over killer but man just look at these clowns numbers.

                                  lynn last 5 starts

                                  09/05/13 @ CIN 2-6 138/8 L/P 5.0 7 4 4 6 4 3 102 20.4 3.00
                                  08/31/13 @ PIT 1-7 123/7.5 L/O 4.0 10 7 7 4 3 1 94 23.5 5.00
                                  08/25/13 ATL 2-5 -122/7.5 L/U 7.0 9 4 4 5 1 1 105 15.0 8.00
                                  08/20/13 @ MIL 3-6 -127/8 L/O 6.0 9 6 4 2 3 0 112 18.7 4.00
                                  08/15/13 PIT 6-5 -117/7 W/O 5.1 8 4 4 6 1 1 99 18.6 0.67
                                  lynn vs mil this year

                                  08/20/13 @ MIL 3-6 -127/8 L/O 6.0 9 6 4 2 3 0 112 18.7 4.00
                                  05/18/13 MIL 4-6 -160/8 L/O 5.0 8 4 4 3 2 0 89 17.8 0.00
                                  estrada vs cards

                                  08/19/13 STL 5-8 137/8 L/O 6.0 8 4 4 4 1 2 95 15.8 1.00
                                  05/18/13 @ STL 6-4 147/8 W/O 5.2 7 4 4 2 4 0 93 16.4 1.00
                                  05/05/13 STL 1-10 -118/8.5 L/O 3.1 6 8 8 5 5 1 90 27.0 1.00
                                  04/14/13 @ STL 4-3 143/8 W/U 6.0 7 3 3 7 1 1 94 15.7 2.00
                                  08/05/12 @ STL 0-3 164/8.5 L/U 6.0 7 1 1 2 1 0 84 14.0 6.00
                                  04/28/12 @ STL 3-7 140/7.5 L/O 6.0 7 5 4 2 2 2 78 13.0 0.67
                                  cards hitters vs estrada this yr

                                  Adams, Matt 2013 6 1 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 .333 .333 .833 1.167
                                  Beltran, Carlos 2013 3 1 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 .667 .667 1.667 2.333
                                  Carpenter, Matt 2013 8 1 2 1 0 0 2 2 0 1 0 0 .250 .400 .375 .775
                                  Craig, Allen 2013 11 3 4 2 0 0 3 1 0 1 0 0 .364 .417 .545 .962
                                  Descalso, Daniel 2013 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 .000 .500 .000 .500
                                  Freese, David 2013 5 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 .200 .200 .200 .400
                                  Garcia, Jaime 2013 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000
                                  Holliday, Matt 2013 10 3 2 0 0 1 4 2 0 0 0 0 .200 .333 .500 .833
                                  Jay, Jon 2013 10 2 3 0 0 1 2 1 0 1 0 0 .300 .417 .600 1.017
                                  Kozma, Pete 2013 11 2 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 .273 .273 .273 .545
                                  Lynn, Lance 2013 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 - 1.000 - 1.000
                                  Miller, Shelby 2013 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000
                                  Molina, Yadier 2013 11 1 6 2 0 0 3 0 0 3 0 0 .545 .545 .727 1.273
                                  Robinson, Shane 2013 1 2 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 0 1 0 1.000 1.000 1.000 2.000
                                  Wigginton, Ty 2013 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.000 1.000 1.000 2.000
                                  Wong, Kolten 2013 3 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 .333 .333 .333 .667
                                  TOTAL 2013 89 18 28 5 0 4 18 11 0 18 2 0 .315 .396 .506 .902

                                  any other ump and i would unload on this total but cuzzi is death with his huge ass k-zone, think he on like a 8 or 9 gm under streak and 20 out of 30 gms on the year or some shit...i was being lazy and just looked at covers so im hoping they wrong as they have been known to be but man i dont know how im gonna stay off this total..
                                  Comment
                                  • No coincidences
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 01-18-10
                                    • 76300

                                    #18
                                    I can't stand Estrada.
                                    Comment
                                    • R.P. McMurphy
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 06-15-12
                                      • 9654

                                      #19
                                      I know its the Muts but anyone else thinking bout fading Haren and backing Wheeler tomorrow at plus $$?
                                      Comment
                                      • 2daBank
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 01-26-09
                                        • 88966

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by No coincidences
                                        I can't stand Estrada.
                                        cards seem to like him with their .396 obp against him this season.. lynn has been stir fried shit tho as i guess you know as you prob curse him every time he starts for your fantasy team! his fat ass made it one more month than he did last yr before he fell apart, i dont get it you would think he built to be a horse but dude wears down like crazy, havnt paid much attention last month but looking at the numbers looks like same thing he did in july last yr.. this over should seriously hit but cuzzi scares the shit out of me behind the plate as he capable of even making these pricks look good..
                                        Comment
                                        • 2daBank
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 01-26-09
                                          • 88966

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by R.P. McMurphy
                                          I know its the Muts but anyone else thinking bout fading Haren and backing Wheeler tomorrow at plus $$?
                                          i didnt jump back in to bet shit teams out of the race! lol..i havnt paid any attention in a month so im only capping gms with meaning..

                                          hard not to like the buccos getting decent plus number...think ill take the scrubbies to beat the choking dog reds again also!
                                          Comment
                                          • No coincidences
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 01-18-10
                                            • 76300

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by 2daBank
                                            hard not to like the buccos getting decent plus number...think ill take the scrubbies to beat the choking dog reds again also!
                                            Yeah, that's an awfully tempting number to take CHC.
                                            Comment
                                            • R.P. McMurphy
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 06-15-12
                                              • 9654

                                              #23
                                              Yeah I hear ya Bank! Wow 3 straight for the Cubbies that would set a record wouldn't it? lol.. gl bro
                                              Comment
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