Explain this

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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #1
    Explain this
    Rockies closed at -116 at Pinny and anywhere from -101 to -110 everywhere else. That's a huge difference in baseball terms.

    Dodgers basically the top public play (again) and it's already 3-0 LA.




    09/03 07:39 PM +107 -116
    09/03 07:39 PM +104 -113
    09/03 05:19 PM +100 -108
    09/03 12:40 PM -101 -107
    09/03 12:40 PM -102 -106
    09/03 10:11 AM -106 -102
    09/03 09:49 AM -108 +100
    09/03 08:46 AM -110 +102
  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #2
    I'm normally fired up about beating a Pinny closing line by nearly 20 cents, especially when there's RLM involved. Saw the late steam and thought I was home free. So much for that.
    Comment
    • BigDofBA
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 09-30-09
      • 19313

      #3
      There is a lot of game left and it's at Coors.

      I'm not worried yet...
      Comment
      • MatI
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 02-17-11
        • 5200

        #4
        The game is in the 3rd Inn. Let's wait a little longer before making any judgement.
        Comment
        • No coincidences
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 01-18-10
          • 76300

          #5
          I just added 2U to the Rockies on top of my original bet.

          I find it hard to believe the sharpest book in the world was that far off. We'll see I guess.
          Comment
          • You mad bro
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 01-15-12
            • 16641

            #6
            shit happens
            Comment
            • SportNut
              SBR MVP
              • 05-16-07
              • 1984

              #7
              Got 1dime on the Rockies..hope they pull through.
              Comment
              • You mad bro
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 01-15-12
                • 16641

                #8
                Originally posted by SportNut
                Got 1dime on the Rockies..hope they pull through.
                werd me to .. wont bury me if they lose but who the fck wants to lose lol
                Comment
                • No coincidences
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 01-18-10
                  • 76300

                  #9
                  Nolasco throwing a shutout.



                  Books have to be so sick of the Dodgers.
                  Comment
                  • BadLuckSanta
                    SBR MVP
                    • 06-30-10
                    • 2756

                    #10
                    Wait for the 6th
                    Comment
                    • You mad bro
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 01-15-12
                      • 16641

                      #11
                      coin someone jinxed us
                      Comment
                      • thevault13
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 07-30-13
                        • 230

                        #12
                        Dodgers get it done again!

                        I may be off here but you bet against them on line movement?

                        Why?
                        Comment
                        • No coincidences
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-18-10
                          • 76300

                          #13
                          Originally posted by thevault13
                          Dodgers get it done again!

                          I may be off here but you bet against them on line movement?

                          Why?
                          No -- I bet on COL long before this late steam.
                          Comment
                          • Charlie103
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 07-14-13
                            • 560

                            #14
                            If you can ever get the dodgers at +money, with the way the have been playing, why wouldnt you take the dodgers. ???????????????????

                            - Lots of time left for you Colorado fans
                            Comment
                            • thevault13
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 07-30-13
                              • 230

                              #15
                              My bad.
                              There is so much talk of line movement on here but i dont understand how people bet on line movement alone.
                              I didnt bet on this game but if i had of seen dodgers + it may have persuaded me to.
                              Comment
                              • Itsamazing777
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 11-14-12
                                • 12602

                                #16
                                There's 2 runs. Let's pull this out Rockies!
                                Im calling it now! Rockies win this game!
                                Comment
                                • mlfan
                                  SBR Rookie
                                  • 09-16-11
                                  • 21

                                  #17
                                  Pinny closed at -116/+107. The no vig is at -111.17. So win % = 52.61%. If another book had a no vig closing line of -105. So win % = 51.22%. That's a significant difference but you realize that pinny is expecting the dodgers to win 47.39% of the time. Assume pinny is accurate with its line. Out of 100 tries, they'd predict this game more accurately than other books by 1 win.
                                  Comment
                                  • Charlie103
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 07-14-13
                                    • 560

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Itsamazing777
                                    There's 2 runs. Let's pull this out Rockies!
                                    Im calling it now! Rockies win this game!
                                    you hope
                                    Comment
                                    • Charlie103
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 07-14-13
                                      • 560

                                      #19
                                      Bullpen gives the game away
                                      Comment
                                      • No coincidences
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 01-18-10
                                        • 76300

                                        #20
                                        Unreal.

                                        Comment
                                        • rake922
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 12-23-07
                                          • 11692

                                          #21
                                          Nobody even mentioned in this thread Puig was scratched... announced he wouldn't play
                                          Comment
                                          • Big Bear
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 11-01-11
                                            • 43253

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by thevault13
                                            Dodgers get it done again!

                                            I may be off here but you bet against them on line movement?

                                            Why?
                                            LT profits and No Coincidences
                                            are huge advocates of line movement , what the line is trying to tell them, and trying to figure out what " Pinny thinks"

                                            rarely do they try to handicap matchups and the actual players playing the game on the field of play.

                                            Lakerboy is somewhat like this too.

                                            Everyone has their own strategy and while LT profits and Lakerboy are both losing big this year in every sport.

                                            No Coin has actually won about $700 bucks. Hats off to coiner!
                                            Comment
                                            • No coincidences
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 01-18-10
                                              • 76300

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Big Bear
                                              LT profits and No Coincidences
                                              are huge advocates of line movement , what the line is trying to tell them, and trying to figure out what " Pinny thinks"

                                              rarely do they try to handicap matchups and the actual players playing the game on the field of play.

                                              Lakerboy is somewhat like this too.

                                              Everyone has their own strategy and while LT profits and Lakerboy are both losing big this year but No Coin has actually won about $700 bucks. Hats off to coiner!
                                              You have literally no idea what you're talking about, as per usual.
                                              Comment
                                              • Big Bear
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 11-01-11
                                                • 43253

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                You have literally no idea what you're talking about, as per usual.
                                                oh really? enlighten us...

                                                tell us what the books were trying to say about the Rockies...

                                                what did pinny whisper in your ear?

                                                to each his own and i gave you props... and now you gonna say i dont know what im talking about?

                                                i wasnt knocking you i said you turned a small profit which is spectactular considering you dont care who is playing and what the line-ups are etc....

                                                all you look for is line movement and try to interpret what pinny thinks...

                                                if it works for you keep on truckin with those $20 bets trying to go against the grain.

                                                you make this shit too hard. Cap the game, dont be a hamburger.
                                                Comment
                                                • riffraff24
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 04-20-11
                                                  • 7234

                                                  #25
                                                  explanation: line movement meant shit
                                                  Comment
                                                  • No coincidences
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 01-18-10
                                                    • 76300

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by Big Bear
                                                    oh really? enlighten us...

                                                    tell us what the books were trying to say about the Rockies...

                                                    what did pinny whisper in your ear?

                                                    to each his own and i gave you props... and now you gonna say i dont know what im talking about?

                                                    i wasnt knocking you i said you turned a small profit which is spectactular considering you dont care who is playing and what the line-ups are etc....

                                                    all you look for is line movement and try to interpret what pinny thinks...

                                                    if it works for you keep on truckin with those $20 bets trying to go against the grain.

                                                    you make this shit too hard. Cap the game, dont be a hamburger.
                                                    How in the hell do you know my process for capping a game? Or LT's, for that matter? You claim we bet on heavily based on line movement, yet we make/post bets well ahead of when the game starts. Tell me -- does that make any sense to you? Because if it does, you're even more confused than I thought.

                                                    To say I "don't care" who is playing, lineups, etc. and "all you look for is line movement" is just absurd. Where do you come up with this shit? Seriously? Stop embarrassing yourself.
                                                    Comment
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