Anyone buying this late steam on the 'Over' in tonight's game? I'm not

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  • Jago2008
    SBR MVP
    • 05-18-11
    • 3047

    #1
    Anyone buying this late steam on the 'Over' in tonight's game? I'm not
    I think the 'Under' is a better bet in this game.

    - The matchup between the NL's 3rd best Road ERA vs. 5th best home ERA allowed.

    -Niese is 3-0 with a 1.93 ERA and 1.05 WHIP against the Nationals recently and Ohlendorf recorded a 1.29 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, and a .222 BA against the Mets in one of his best starts of the year.

    - At 8 we're right in between key numbers for a cover or at worst a push, I would have thought this line would have stayed at 7.5 so IMHO we're getting a (.5) of extra value.









    What are your thoughts?
  • El Nino
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 05-03-12
    • 18426

    #2
    Was just looking over the game. I'm scratching my head. Seems like it's under and the Mets or nothing. Nobody on Washington with real good numbers against Niese. I guess they are counting on the Mets bullpen.
    Comment
    • Jago2008
      SBR MVP
      • 05-18-11
      • 3047

      #3
      Yeah the Nationals bullpen has worked 9 2/3 innings the last 3 games coupled with the fact that Ohlendorf has struggled to get past the 5th his last few starts- maybe is the incentive or Ohlendorf's health is questionable and some syndicates know information I don't. If he can consume some of those early innings we should be in good shape.

      I know the Nat's lineup has some good numbers against Niece especially La Roche 4-15 w/ 2HRs and 6 RBIs. But Niece has allowed only 6 runs in his last 28 innings and I'd rather take him in his current form to produce an 'Under'.

      Also these Sunday night games have the propensity to go Under being on the national stage, more pressure on the batters, and we have what amounts to a good pitchers park (17th) in MLB park factors...
      just my two-cents.
      Comment
      • Crayzee
        SBR MVP
        • 10-27-06
        • 4945

        #4
        I just bet the mets tt to go over 6 live after second inning-
        Comment
        • bruins35
          SBR MVP
          • 09-19-11
          • 4011

          #5
          Originally posted by Jago2008
          I think the 'Under' is a better bet in this game.

          - The matchup between the NL's 3rd best Road ERA vs. 5th best home ERA allowed.

          -Niese is 3-0 with a 1.93 ERA and 1.05 WHIP against the Nationals recently and Ohlendorf recorded a 1.29 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, and a .222 BA against the Mets in one of his best starts of the year.

          - At 8 we're right in between key numbers for a cover or at worst a push, I would have thought this line would have stayed at 7.5 so IMHO we're getting a (.5) of extra value.









          What are your thoughts?
          25 hits after 7 innings u must work for the books
          Comment
          • Jago2008
            SBR MVP
            • 05-18-11
            • 3047

            #6
            How this game is not over yet w/ 27 hits is beyond me.

            Ohlendorf did not get through those early innings so basically this under was in question after the 1st

            as I type this game just goes over.

            This game has been ridiculous.
            Comment
            • No coincidences
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-18-10
              • 76300

              #7
              Mets.

              Literally amazing.

              Comment
              • BigDofBA
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 09-30-09
                • 19313

                #8
                I put a few bucks on the Nats at +205 when they were down 3-1. I wrote that off and then this. LMAO.

                I love live betting.

                If I only had the patience and wasn't an action junky....
                Comment
                • Jago2008
                  SBR MVP
                  • 05-18-11
                  • 3047

                  #9
                  I literally should perform Japanese ritual suicide- seppuku- after posting this lean lol.
                  Comment
                  • Jago2008
                    SBR MVP
                    • 05-18-11
                    • 3047

                    #10
                    Originally posted by No coincidences
                    Mets.

                    Literally amazing.

                    Live betting against the Mets seems profitable.
                    Comment
                    • ThaTopMoron
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 04-30-10
                      • 27020

                      #11
                      Originally posted by BigDofBA
                      I put a few bucks on the Nats at +205 when they were down 3-1. I wrote that off and then this. LMAO.

                      I love live betting.

                      If I only had the patience and wasn't an action junky....
                      lol when they made it 3-5 i had an inkling to take Nats ML live when Mets ML was -830 live... had that feeling

                      didn't follow through on it... then watched the bottom of the 8th

                      fukk you baseball ! did take Nats on ESPN streak for the Cash tho, since its a new month... going for that 27 in a row

                      2/2 today... need 25 more!
                      Comment
                      • Jago2008
                        SBR MVP
                        • 05-18-11
                        • 3047

                        #12
                        Originally posted by BigDofBA
                        I put a few bucks on the Nats at +205 when they were down 3-1. I wrote that off and then this. LMAO.

                        I love live betting.

                        If I only had the patience and wasn't an action junky....
                        Live betting is amazing, I made some nice profit on that Tigers comeback against the A's few days ago but punching myself for getting involved on this total.
                        Comment
                        • El Nino
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 05-03-12
                          • 18426

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Jago2008
                          Live betting is amazing, I made some nice profit on that Tigers comeback against the A's few days ago but punching myself for getting involved on this total.
                          Yeah, that game was weird. I flipped it on after the Colorado/CSU game. Ended up getting on Nationals +2.
                          Comment
                          • El Nino
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 05-03-12
                            • 18426

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Jago2008
                            I literally should perform Japanese ritual suicide- seppuku- after posting this lean lol.
                            Haha fukk that. Don't ever let the chance that you end up being way wrong affect your pregame thinking or your decision to create a thread or make a post. We all swing and miss. We operate in an area where the results = $ but we do not think in a results oriented manner.
                            Comment
                            • Jago2008
                              SBR MVP
                              • 05-18-11
                              • 3047

                              #15
                              Originally posted by El Nino

                              Yeah, that game was weird. I flipped it on after the Colorado/CSU game. Ended up getting on Nationals +2.
                              Originally posted by El Nino

                              Haha fukk that. Don't ever let the chance that you end up being way wrong affect your pregame thinking or your decision to create a thread or make a post. We all swing and miss. We operate in an area where the results = $ but we do not think in a results oriented manner.
                              Haha! thank you bro appreciate the kind words. I love to be sarcastic in that manner, just some really weird luck when posting my last three total leans here, its like the SBR curse lately or something. But I love to contribute here anytime I have some info or some leans if for someone to fade if they feel necessary I don't care either way.

                              What I do appreciate however is the advice and/or insight you guys bring, you need to share info in this business, you can't do everything yourself.

                              .
                              Comment
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