Keel44's Underdog System

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  • keel44
    SBR MVP
    • 08-01-09
    • 3363
    #36
    Series A - Bet #3: Astros over Orioles (+225) $12 to win $27
    Series B - Bet #1: Blue Jays over A's (+137) $23.52 to win $32.22
    Series C - Bet #1: Angels over Rangers (+131) $23.52 to win $30.81

    Tough ways to lose, not too bad overall tonight
      Comment
      • keel44
        SBR MVP
        • 08-01-09
        • 3363
        #37
        Series A - Bet #1: Angels -1.5 over Rangers (+180) $16.80 to win $30.24
        Series B - Bet #2: White Sox over Indians (+145) $32.22 to win $46.72
        Series C - Bet #1: Mariners over Red Sox (+135) $32.93 to win $44.46
          Comment
          • keel44
            SBR MVP
            • 08-01-09
            • 3363
            #38
            Series A - Bet #1: Angels -1.5 over Rangers (+180) $16.80 to win $30.24
            Series B - Bet #2: White Sox over Indians (+145) $32.22 to win $46.72
            Series C - Bet #1: Mariners over Red Sox (+135) $32.93 to win $44.46

            Tough losses all around, no excuses. I am down $129.43 (12-24) 33%
              Comment
              • Jefferey13
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 07-10-13
                • 624
                #39
                Dude, reconsider and come up with an actual strategy! I'm the only one posting here. Give it a try.
                  Comment
                  • bigtymer56
                    SBR MVP
                    • 07-31-12
                    • 4742
                    #40
                    Originally posted by keel44
                    Series A - Bet #1: Angels -1.5 over Rangers (+180) $16.80 to win $30.24
                    Series B - Bet #2: White Sox over Indians (+145) $32.22 to win $46.72
                    Series C - Bet #1: Mariners over Red Sox (+135) $32.93 to win $44.46

                    Tough losses all around, no excuses. I am down $129.43 (12-24) 33%
                    Man your having a crappy week. I might have to fade your plays in a parlay until your luck turns around.

                    Keep going if u can. Curious to see how this turns out. Understand if you don't, though. This would be the point where I would call if off...and then would be cursing myself when I had a perfect next day. Anyway, gl.
                      Comment
                      • keel44
                        SBR MVP
                        • 08-01-09
                        • 3363
                        #41
                        Originally posted by Jefferey13
                        Dude, reconsider and come up with an actual strategy! I'm the only one posting here. Give it a try.
                        I am down $129.43 (12-24). Pretty rotten, I know, but I have $1528.98 left on my bankroll. Nobody sees how actually safe this is? Believe me, this is a strategy. I don't live in random land like most people.
                          Comment
                          • keel44
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-01-09
                            • 3363
                            #42
                            Series A - Bet #1: Mariners -1.5 over Red Sox (+155) $23.52 to win $36.46
                            Series B - Bet #3: Rockies over Braves (+195) $23.52 to win $45.86
                            Series C - Bet #1: White Sox FF over Indians (+115) $46.10 to win $53.02
                              Comment
                              • keel44
                                SBR MVP
                                • 08-01-09
                                • 3363
                                #43
                                For those who want an explanation:

                                The Mariners trying to avoid a sweep with Felix Hernandez
                                The White Sox trying to avoid a 4 game sweep with Chris Sale against division rival
                                The Rockies trying to avoid a 4 game sweep against Atlanta's worst starter and with huge +odds

                                All of my picks lately have been trying to get one win out of a series with +odds, I backed off Houston and they won yesterday 11-0, but I wisely backed off the Cardinals because of that double header.

                                I recently lost with the White Sox getting swept by KC, the Angels getting swept by Texas, the Phillies getting swept by St Louis, Texas getting swept by Cleveland.

                                I won a couple along the way, but I see the possibility to rattle off a few in a row, no problem.
                                  Comment
                                  • bigtymer56
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 07-31-12
                                    • 4742
                                    #44
                                    I hate the "avoiding sweep" logic.

                                    However, cant argue with taking Sale and King Felix at even/+ odds. GL
                                      Comment
                                      • keel44
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 08-01-09
                                        • 3363
                                        #45
                                        I don't think there is anything to avoiding a sweep either, that is why I pick from game 1 of the series through games 3 or 4. I spread my picks around from match-up to match-up within the parameter of needing a win throughout the series. Maybe a team has extra motivation, maybe not, but the randomness of baseball should come through. The fact is, there are way less sweeps than there are sweeps.
                                          Comment
                                          • bigtymer56
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 07-31-12
                                            • 4742
                                            #46
                                            Was on the Mariners too... What a f'ing waste
                                              Comment
                                              • keel44
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 08-01-09
                                                • 3363
                                                #47
                                                Series A - Bet #1: Mariners -1.5 over Red Sox (+155) $23.52 to win $36.46
                                                Series B - Bet #3: Rockies over Braves (+195) $23.52 to win $45.86
                                                Series C - Bet #1: White Sox FF over Indians (+115) $46.10 to win $53.02

                                                I am now down $222.57.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • keel44
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 08-01-09
                                                    • 3363
                                                    #48
                                                    Series A - Bet #1: Giants over Rays (+145) $32.93 to win $47.75
                                                    Series B - Bet #1: Royals -1.5 over Mets (+145) $32.93 to win $47.75
                                                      Comment
                                                      • keel44
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 08-01-09
                                                        • 3363
                                                        #49
                                                        Series A - Bet #1: Giants over Rays (+145) $32.93 to win $47.75
                                                        Series B - Bet #1: Royals -1.5 over Mets (+145) $32.93 to win $47.75




                                                          Comment
                                                          • keel44
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 08-01-09
                                                            • 3363
                                                            #50
                                                            Series A - Bet #2: Phillies over Braves (+125) $47.75 to win $59.69
                                                            Series B - Bet #1: Royals -1.5 over Mets (+120) $46.10 to win $55.32
                                                              Comment
                                                              • keel44
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 08-01-09
                                                                • 3363
                                                                #51
                                                                Series A - Bet #2: Phillies over Braves (+125) $47.75 to win $59.69
                                                                Series B - Bet #1: Royals -1.5 over Mets (+120) $46.10 to win $55.32
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • keel44
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 08-01-09
                                                                    • 3363
                                                                    #52
                                                                    Series A - Bet #3: White Sox -1.5 over Tigers (+280) $32.93 to win $92.20
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • keel44
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 08-01-09
                                                                        • 3363
                                                                        #53
                                                                        Series A - Bet #3: White Sox -1.5 over Tigers (+280) $32.93 to win $92.20
                                                                          Comment
                                                                          • keel44
                                                                            SBR MVP
                                                                            • 08-01-09
                                                                            • 3363
                                                                            #54
                                                                            Series A - Bet #1: Cardinals -1.5 over Dodgers (+140) $46.10 to win $64.54
                                                                              Comment
                                                                              • keel44
                                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                                • 08-01-09
                                                                                • 3363
                                                                                #55
                                                                                Series A - Bet #1: Cardinals -1.5 over Dodgers (+140) $46.10 to win $64.54

                                                                                I am now down $380.63 (13-32) 28.89%

                                                                                All I need is a little run. I am certainly bound to have one. After all, that win percentage is pathetic.
                                                                                  Comment
                                                                                  • keel44
                                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                                    • 08-01-09
                                                                                    • 3363
                                                                                    #56
                                                                                    Series A - Bet #1: Astros over Red Sox (+155) $64.54 to win $100.04
                                                                                    Series B - Bet #1: Cardinals -1.5 over Dodgers (+150) $64.54 to win $96.81
                                                                                    Series C - Bet #1: Nationals -1.5 over Braves (+170) $64.54 to win $109.72
                                                                                      Comment
                                                                                      • keel44
                                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                                        • 08-01-09
                                                                                        • 3363
                                                                                        #57
                                                                                        Series A - Bet #1: Astros over Red Sox (+155) $64.54 to win $100.04
                                                                                        Series B - Bet #1: Cardinals -1.5 over Dodgers (+150) $64.54 to win $96.81
                                                                                        Series C - Bet #1: Nationals -1.5 over Braves (+170) $64.54 to win $109.72

                                                                                        Down real big now, but I still just need a little run.
                                                                                          Comment
                                                                                          • keel44
                                                                                            SBR MVP
                                                                                            • 08-01-09
                                                                                            • 3363
                                                                                            #58
                                                                                            Series A - Bet #1: Indians over Tigers (+151) $90.36 to win $136.44
                                                                                            Last edited by keel44; 08-08-13, 11:00 PM.
                                                                                              Comment
                                                                                              • keel44
                                                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                                                • 08-01-09
                                                                                                • 3363
                                                                                                #59
                                                                                                Series A - Bet #1: Indians over Tigers (+151) $90.36 to win $136.44

                                                                                                I am currently (1 - 16) over my last 17 bets. This is totally unreal. I know it is +odds, but this is crazy.
                                                                                                  Comment
                                                                                                  • keel44
                                                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                                                    • 08-01-09
                                                                                                    • 3363
                                                                                                    #60
                                                                                                    Series B - Bet #1: Padres over Reds (+162) $90.36 to win $146.38
                                                                                                    Series C - Bet #1: Phillies over Nationals (+150) $90.36 to win $135.54

                                                                                                    I need both of these badly
                                                                                                      Comment
                                                                                                      • Jefferey13
                                                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                                                        • 07-10-13
                                                                                                        • 624
                                                                                                        #61
                                                                                                        I have both of those dogs in my thread. One should hit.
                                                                                                          Comment
                                                                                                          • brigade125
                                                                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                                                                            • 07-03-11
                                                                                                            • 685
                                                                                                            #62
                                                                                                            keep posting dude.. im watching this thread....
                                                                                                              Comment
                                                                                                              • keel44
                                                                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                                                                • 08-01-09
                                                                                                                • 3363
                                                                                                                #63
                                                                                                                Series B - Bet #1: Padres over Reds (+162) $90.36 to win $146.38
                                                                                                                Series C - Bet #1: Phillies over Nationals (+150) $90.36 to win $135.54

                                                                                                                Wow. not even close.

                                                                                                                1 win 18 losses in my last 19 wagers. Crazy stuff
                                                                                                                  Comment
                                                                                                                  • keel44
                                                                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                                                                    • 08-01-09
                                                                                                                    • 3363
                                                                                                                    #64
                                                                                                                    Series A - Bet #1: White Sox -1.5 over Twins (+155) $126.50 to win $196.07
                                                                                                                      Comment
                                                                                                                      • brigade125
                                                                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                                                                        • 07-03-11
                                                                                                                        • 685
                                                                                                                        #65
                                                                                                                        thx keel....
                                                                                                                          Comment
                                                                                                                          • keel44
                                                                                                                            SBR MVP
                                                                                                                            • 08-01-09
                                                                                                                            • 3363
                                                                                                                            #66
                                                                                                                            Series A - Bet #1: White Sox -1.5 over Twins (+155) $126.50 to win $196.07

                                                                                                                            glad I could help somehow

                                                                                                                            I am 13-39 (25%) overall ...... 1 for my last 20
                                                                                                                              Comment
                                                                                                                              • keel44
                                                                                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                                                                                • 08-01-09
                                                                                                                                • 3363
                                                                                                                                #67
                                                                                                                                Series B - Bet #1: Padres over Reds (+170) $126.50 to win $215.05
                                                                                                                                Series C - Bet #1: Angels over Indians (+165) $126.50 to win $208.72
                                                                                                                                  Comment
                                                                                                                                  • keel44
                                                                                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                                                                                    • 08-01-09
                                                                                                                                    • 3363
                                                                                                                                    #68
                                                                                                                                    Series B - Bet #1: Padres over Reds (+170) $126.50 to win $215.05
                                                                                                                                    Series C - Bet #1: Angels over Indians (+165) $126.50 to win $208.72

                                                                                                                                    Close, close, close ....... but so far away

                                                                                                                                    1 for my last 22
                                                                                                                                      Comment
                                                                                                                                      • brigade125
                                                                                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                                                                                        • 07-03-11
                                                                                                                                        • 685
                                                                                                                                        #69
                                                                                                                                        keep it going keel...i really dont know how your selecting your picks ,,, but dont change it up...
                                                                                                                                          Comment
                                                                                                                                          • keel44
                                                                                                                                            SBR MVP
                                                                                                                                            • 08-01-09
                                                                                                                                            • 3363
                                                                                                                                            #70
                                                                                                                                            Series A - Bet #1: D-Backs -1.5 over Orioles (+165) $177.10 to win $292.21
                                                                                                                                              Comment
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