Brewers +1.5 Tonight (-155)

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  • JZAL12
    SBR High Roller
    • 08-04-12
    • 171
    #1
    Brewers +1.5 Tonight (-155)
    Snakes CAN NOT hit Gallardo - I repeat CAN NOT hit him. He is 6-0 against them with a lifetime ERA of 1.62 over 50 innings. Snakes don't hit solid righties particularly well, with Kubel topping the team in SLG with .491 vs RHP.

    Miley is a below average LHP, who gets hit by both lefties and righties. Lucroy is the guy to watch tonight, as he will anchor the offense with a .532 SLG vs LHP.

    The Crew should tally up more total bases, but in case they aren't able to turn them into runs, it is worth laying the juice for the extra 1.5.
    Tags: None
    • Tofudog
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 04-30-12
      • 858
      #2
      Hmm... you might be on to something. I'm watching the ML go about +4 while the +RL is going up to -165...
        Comment
        • stevenash
          Moderator
          • 01-17-11
          • 65568
          #3
          Originally posted by JZAL12
          Snakes CAN NOT hit Gallardo - I repeat CAN NOT hit him. He is 6-0 against them with a lifetime ERA of 1.62 over 60 innings. Snakes don't hit solid righties particularly well, with Kubel topping the team in SLG with .491 vs RHP.

          Miley is a below average LHP, who gets hit by both lefties and righties. Lucroy is the guy to watch tonight, as he will anchor the offense with a .532 SLG vs LHP.

          The Crew should tally up more total bases, but in case they aren't able to turn them into runs, it is worth laying the juice for the extra 1.5.
          Love Brews tonight.
          Got 'em straight up.

          Best of luck
            Comment
            • ridims
              SBR MVP
              • 11-15-10
              • 3863
              #4
              Paul Goldschmidt 3 3 1 0 0 2 0 0 1.000 1.000 1.333 2.333
              Aaron Hill 7 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 .429 .429 .429 .857
              Jason Kubel 13 6 1 0 1 2 3 4 .462 .563 .769 1.332
              I wouldn't say Arizona can't hit him .. 3 guys have some success against him.

              But the hell with Arizona. Both teams are really bad.
                Comment
                • JZAL12
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 08-04-12
                  • 171
                  #5
                  Originally posted by ridims
                  Paul Goldschmidt 3 3 1 0 0 2 0 0 1.000 1.000 1.333 2.333
                  Aaron Hill 7 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 .429 .429 .429 .857
                  Jason Kubel 13 6 1 0 1 2 3 4 .462 .563 .769 1.332
                  I wouldn't say Arizona can't hit him .. 3 guys have some success against him.

                  But the hell with Arizona. Both teams are really bad.
                  Small sample size, but they have had some success. There's a reason why they are favored tonight, but it's not worth the price.
                    Comment
                    • JZAL12
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 08-04-12
                      • 171
                      #6
                      ML chalk is getting absolutely buried today... worries me a little.
                        Comment
                        • stevenash
                          Moderator
                          • 01-17-11
                          • 65568
                          #7
                          ^
                          Kubel is a fair sample size, Gallardo hung a meat ball to Goldy and crushed it, 3 scracth singles don't scare me out of Hill, but Hill is good at that though,
                            Comment
                            • ridims
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-15-10
                              • 3863
                              #8
                              Oh i agree. Arizona is awful. Bad bullpen and last night was an example of how bad they really are. Dodgers slept all game and still won.
                              I wouldn't touch either team, Brewers look pathetic yesterday as well.
                                Comment
                                • ridims
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-15-10
                                  • 3863
                                  #9
                                  If Arizona has any chance they need more people contributing on O. And there bullpen is not trusting.

                                  They win big or lose in a nail chewing heart attack
                                    Comment
                                    • JZAL12
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 08-04-12
                                      • 171
                                      #10
                                      Originally posted by ridims
                                      If Arizona has any chance they need more people contributing on O. And there bullpen is not trusting.

                                      They win big or lose in a nail chewing heart attack
                                      Brewers bullpen is also bad, there could be some runs scored in the late innings.
                                        Comment
                                        • cameron
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 02-05-13
                                          • 308
                                          #11
                                          Word on the street is Dbacks ML and Brewers +1.5. Good luck dude.
                                            Comment
                                            • JZAL12
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 08-04-12
                                              • 171
                                              #12
                                              Crazy late line movement... people have to be chasing chalk big time tonight to move the line 8 pts.
                                                Comment
                                                • Joe Dogs
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 07-20-09
                                                  • 1931
                                                  #13
                                                  Brew crew 9-22 against South pews....Might not matter with Miley on the hill.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • stevenash
                                                      Moderator
                                                      • 01-17-11
                                                      • 65568
                                                      #14
                                                      Quick two spot for the Brews in the first
                                                        Comment
                                                        • JZAL12
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 08-04-12
                                                          • 171
                                                          #15
                                                          Originally posted by stevenash
                                                          Quick two spot for the Brews in the first
                                                          Nice start Steve, lets hope they keep rolling.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • JZAL12
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 08-04-12
                                                              • 171
                                                              #16
                                                                Comment
                                                                • JZAL12
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 08-04-12
                                                                  • 171
                                                                  #17
                                                                  Hot damn.

                                                                  Stupid IBB to Goldy...
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • TheMLBKing
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 04-20-13
                                                                      • 1129
                                                                      #18
                                                                      +2.5 in this spot parlayed with any other +2.5 would've paid about the same and with less worry about an 8th inning rally like that (see:nats and O's games for similar situation)
                                                                        Comment
                                                                        • SilverTongueFox
                                                                          SBR MVP
                                                                          • 11-23-10
                                                                          • 2338
                                                                          #19
                                                                          2 walks in 5th and 4 walks in 8th lead to 4 of Dbacks runs. Need a 9th inn rally. Rally caps on. Lets go brew crew.
                                                                            Comment
                                                                            • Gus Fring
                                                                              SBR MVP
                                                                              • 03-21-13
                                                                              • 3423
                                                                              #20
                                                                              Originally posted by stevenash
                                                                              Love Brews tonight.
                                                                              Got 'em straight up.

                                                                              Best of luck
                                                                              Interesting
                                                                                Comment
                                                                                • JZAL12
                                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                                  • 08-04-12
                                                                                  • 171
                                                                                  #21
                                                                                  Ump completely fu**ed Schafer with his at bat... really unfortunate outcome guys.

                                                                                  Brewers - 3 runs on 9 hits and 17 bases
                                                                                  Dbacks - 5 runs on 5 hits and 8 bases

                                                                                  6-0 on the BB's was certainly a huge factor. Roenicke's decision to IBB Goldy buried my +1.5. GL the rest of the week!
                                                                                    Comment
                                                                                    • SteelRain
                                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                                      • 03-13-12
                                                                                      • 2806
                                                                                      #22
                                                                                      had the brewers as well but lets remember baseball is a grind and you are not going to go 100% win rate

                                                                                      this is a awful awful brewers team with an awful pitcher on the road with shit lineup that we backed
                                                                                        Comment
                                                                                        • stevenash
                                                                                          Moderator
                                                                                          • 01-17-11
                                                                                          • 65568
                                                                                          #23
                                                                                          It was still the right call with the wrong result Oh well.that ends my five game win streak
                                                                                          Originally posted by SteelRain
                                                                                          had the brewers as well but lets remember baseball is a grind and you are not going to go 100% win rate

                                                                                          this is a awful awful brewers team with an awful pitcher on the road with shit lineup that we backed
                                                                                            Comment
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