Keel44's Hard Rockin' System

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  • keel44
    SBR MVP
    • 08-01-09
    • 3363

    #1
    Keel44's Hard Rockin' System
    Keel44's Hard Rockin' System

    I have a new system that I am confident will be profitable. We all know that chases invest a lot of your money. You can win 15-20 in a row and have all your profits wiped out with a single chase loss.

    I have devised a strategy where you "press" the chase. You integrate the profits into your next chase.

    We need to assume maximum odds per game for a 3 game chase. I like to use -200. So we have the following 3 risked amounts to profit $10: $20, $60, $180. Add them all together and you have $260. You can say whatever dollar amount you want to profit is multiplied by 26.

    Let's assume we win this chase. We add back in the $10 to our total risk amount which is $260. Now we have $270. Divide by 26 and we get $10.38. Now multiply by (2) which is -200 odds and you have your next "risk" amount. Each bet thereafter will also assume -200 odds no matter what. *Obviously most games will not be -200, but much lower. That means extra profits. If a game is higher, it means a little less profits. No matter what, this strategy will add back in the profits and assume all games will be -200.

    It would be wise to put a cap on how many times you want to press and rake in the profits.

    I am going to start at $10 profit.
    I am going to follow/fade one team consecutively.
    I am going to follow/fade 2 teams at once.
    I am going to chase for 3 games.
    I am going to assume -200 odds for every game.
    I am going to rake in the profits after 10 chase wins

    These are my preferences. You can choose your own.
  • tbird509
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 11-05-09
    • 761

    #2
    heres a winner starting 2mor for you,det will be my play...gl
    Comment
    • keel44
      SBR MVP
      • 08-01-09
      • 3363

      #3
      Assume all bets -200 (using that risk amount)

      Attempt #1: Fade Indians Bet-A (-127) $20 to win $15.75 - chase #1
      Attempt #2: Ride Rays Bet-A (-128) $20 to win $15.63 - chase #1

      Starting Bankroll $1300
      Comment
      • keel44
        SBR MVP
        • 08-01-09
        • 3363

        #4
        Attempt #1: Fade Indians Bet-A (-127) $20 to win $15.75 - chase #1
        Attempt #2: Ride Rays Bet-A (-128) $20 to win $15.63 - chase #1

        On to tomorrow
        Comment
        • keel44
          SBR MVP
          • 08-01-09
          • 3363

          #5
          Attempt #1: Fade Indians Bet-B (-125) $60 to win $48 - chase #1
          Attempt #2: Ride Marlins Bet-A (-108) $21.20 to win $19.63 - chase #2
          Comment
          • keel44
            SBR MVP
            • 08-01-09
            • 3363

            #6
            Attempt #1: Fade Indians Bet-B (-125) $60 to win $48 - chase #1
            Attempt #2: Ride Marlins Bet-A (-108) $21.20 to win $19.63 - chase #2


            So far: profit of $28 for attempt 1 and $35.26 for attempt 2
            Comment
            • keel44
              SBR MVP
              • 08-01-09
              • 3363

              #7
              Attempt #1: Fade Cubs Bet-A (-133) $22.15 to win $16.65 - chase #2
              Attempt #2: Ride Dodgers Bet-A (-180) $22.71 to win $12.62 - chase #3
              Comment
              • keel44
                SBR MVP
                • 08-01-09
                • 3363

                #8
                Attempt #1: Fade Cubs Bet-A (-133) $22.15 to win $16.65 - chase #2
                Attempt #2: Ride Dodgers Bet-A (-180) $22.71 to win $12.62 - chase #3
                Comment
                • keel44
                  SBR MVP
                  • 08-01-09
                  • 3363

                  #9
                  Attempt #1: Fade Cubs Bet-B (-105) $66.45 to win $63.29 - chase #2
                  Attempt #2: Ride Rockies Bet-A (-165) $23.68 to win $14.35 - chase #4
                  Comment
                  • keel44
                    SBR MVP
                    • 08-01-09
                    • 3363

                    #10
                    Attempt #1: Fade Cubs Bet-B (-105) $66.45 to win $63.29 - chase #2
                    Attempt #2: Ride Rockies Bet-A (-165) $23.68 to win $14.35 - chase #4


                    My hard rockin' system just played a ballad today. Usually a rocker comes next.
                    Comment
                    • keel44
                      SBR MVP
                      • 08-01-09
                      • 3363

                      #11
                      Attempt #1: Fade Cubs Bet-C (-150) $199.35 to win $132.90 - chase #2
                      Attempt #2: Ride Rockies Bet-B (-136) $71.05 to win $52.24 - chase #4
                      Comment
                      • keel44
                        SBR MVP
                        • 08-01-09
                        • 3363

                        #12
                        Attempt #1: Fade Cubs Bet-C (-150) $199.35 to win $132.90 - chase #2
                        Attempt #2: Ride Rockies Bet-B (-136) $71.05 to win $52.24 - chase #4


                        Attempt 1 has profited $72.30 (2 chases won)
                        Attempt 2 has profited $76.44 (4 chases won)
                        Total: +148.74 (6 chases won)

                        A chase loss will equal a $260 net loss, no matter when it happens in my press.
                        Comment
                        • agendaman
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-01-11
                          • 3729

                          #13
                          doomed to fail kiddo
                          Comment
                          • keel44
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-01-09
                            • 3363

                            #14
                            Yes it will fail. There is the hope for me to win 10 of these chases with pressing each one before I lose 1. Then I could rake in the profits. This is a kamikaze style of money management for sure, but I say its worth a shot once in a while.
                            Comment
                            • keel44
                              SBR MVP
                              • 08-01-09
                              • 3363

                              #15
                              Attempt #1: Ride Braves Bet-A (-143) $25.56 to win $17.87 - chase #3
                              Attempt #2: Ride Pirates Bet-A (-210) $25.88 to $12.32 - chase #5
                              Comment
                              • keel44
                                SBR MVP
                                • 08-01-09
                                • 3363

                                #16
                                Attempt #1: Ride Braves Bet-A (-143) $25.56 to win $17.87 - chase #3
                                Attempt #2: Ride Pirates Bet-A (-210) $25.88 to $12.32 - chase #5


                                Attempt #1 profit: $90.17
                                Attempt #2 profit: $88.76
                                $178.93 (8 chases won)
                                Comment
                                • Yazworm91
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 03-01-13
                                  • 2397

                                  #17
                                  So you are trying to complete ten chases on each attempt before you collect the profits? Or just ten chases total?

                                  this is a very aggressive approach. Could see yourself getting some good profits since you are always playing as if your odds are -200. Especially if you decided to chase some dogs in some 3 game series. May try a scaled down version of this.
                                  Comment
                                  • keel44
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 08-01-09
                                    • 3363

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Yazworm91
                                    So you are trying to complete ten chases on each attempt before you collect the profits? Or just ten chases total?

                                    this is a very aggressive approach. Could see yourself getting some good profits since you are always playing as if your odds are -200. Especially if you decided to chase some dogs in some 3 game series. May try a scaled down version of this.
                                    The main idea is to incorporate the profits back into the pool your going to use in your chases. I have profited close to $90 for each attempt so far, but 1 loss will put me at -$260. I think I'll pull the plug after 10 chase wins total. I should not have ran 2 chases at once. If I lose them both, I am out $560.

                                    What I originally was going to do was follow 1 team consecutively, saying that a team will win 10 before they lose 3 in a row. I was going to pick the Orioles and Rays. The O's would have had 4 wins and the Rays would have 3 wins. I found that to be too risky.
                                    Comment
                                    • keel44
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 08-01-09
                                      • 3363

                                      #19
                                      Attempt #1: Ride Pirates Bet-A (-143) $26.93 to win $18.83
                                      Attempt #2: Fade Brewers Bet-A (-143) $26.83 to win $18.76

                                      yes I know they are against each other
                                      Comment
                                      • khaden
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-19-09
                                        • 1864

                                        #20
                                        This isn't really that bad- your loses aren't that big if you go bust in comparison to other chase systems. I'd like to see you continue this
                                        Comment
                                        • keel44
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 08-01-09
                                          • 3363

                                          #21
                                          Attempt #1: Ride Pirates Bet-A (-143) $26.93 to win $18.83
                                          Attempt #2: Fade Brewers Bet-A (-143) $26.83 to win $18.76


                                          I am done. 10 chases won at -200 odds when the games really weren't. Profits rolled back in.

                                          Attempt #1 profit $109 - 4 chases won
                                          Attempt #2 profit $107.52 - 6 chases won
                                          Total profit $216.52 - 10 chases won

                                          7 chases won on the A bet
                                          2 chases won on the B bet
                                          1 chase won on the C bet

                                          10-4 straight up
                                          avg odds -142

                                          starting bankroll $1300
                                          current bankroll $1516.52


                                          stayed tuned for another thread and another money management strategy
                                          Comment
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