Pitt. Pirates v. Cinn. Reds 'Under' 8

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  • Jago2008
    SBR MVP
    • 05-18-11
    • 3047

    #1
    Pitt. Pirates v. Cinn. Reds 'Under' 8
    I just think the books are being exposed a little on this line, personally I think this line should be set around the key number of 7, so we are getting a point of value and/or a push for insurance.

    -Jeff Locke has been outstanding lately, 6-1 record, 2.19 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 60/36 K/BB ratio in 82 1/3 innings, he limited the Dodgers to two hits in seven scoreless innings and a walk in his last outing. Cincinnati have struggled against Locke, Cozart is the only Cinn. batter to record a HR off Locke, and even then the split stats are small w/ the edge to Locke.

    - Bronson Arroyo has been as solid and dependable as ever this season, posting a 6-5 record, 3.27 ERA and 1.15 WHIP through his first 93 2/3 innings, he's posted good numbers at home, besides his matchups with STL - who has essentially owned him this year.

    -The public is relatively split on this total so far, I'm seeing more buy-orders to the 'under' and I think we are in a strong position with this total set @ 8, especially with the WHIP both pitchers have demonstrated recently. If control is strong early, this game could go to the 4th scoreless, those 1st three frames are important, setting up a position for the bullpen, of which both are strong.

    GL w/ you picks

    Some Avicii:

    8-2-0 on posted Totals.
  • rawzay
    SBR Sharp
    • 05-07-13
    • 256

    #2
    Cincy bats is the reason why it's a 8. It should go under though. I got the first 5 under.
    Comment
    • Jago2008
      SBR MVP
      • 05-18-11
      • 3047

      #3
      Well we are looking good so far, abt as low scoring as possible 1-0 top of the Pirates 9th.
      Comment
      • drfunkmaster
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 11-29-08
        • 11162

        #4
        i missed this.
        Comment
        • No coincidences
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 01-18-10
          • 76300

          #5
          Locke is the new Sandy Koufax.

          Don't ask me how, but he is.
          Comment
          • scotty555
            SBR Hustler
            • 06-02-13
            • 83

            #6
            Good Call!
            Comment
            • Jago2008
              SBR MVP
              • 05-18-11
              • 3047

              #7
              Lol the inevitable jinx prior to Bruce's game tying HR in the 9th. First blown save by Jason Grilli all year, I still like our chances however.
              Comment
              • Jago2008
                SBR MVP
                • 05-18-11
                • 3047

                #8
                Originally posted by No coincidences
                Locke is the new Sandy Koufax.

                Don't ask me how, but he is.
                He's been incredible this year, not exactly sure why, he does walk batters, but hitters are avg'ing .200 off of him w/ a slg pct of .304, among the leagues lowest, and also allowed 5 HR so far, among the league lowest.

                He was in trouble several times today and managed to get out of it, not 1 run allowed...
                Comment
                • Jago2008
                  SBR MVP
                  • 05-18-11
                  • 3047

                  #9
                  Originally posted by scotty555
                  Good Call!
                  I saw what you wrote previously bro, haha - you still have a chance of winning this - hopefully you do. I just want that under
                  Comment
                  • Jago2008
                    SBR MVP
                    • 05-18-11
                    • 3047

                    #10
                    9-2-0 on Total posted plays:

                    6-2-0 in 'over' bets, 3-0-0 in 'under' bets, 1 NBA 'over' total bet. (approx +~16.5 units. @1u$50)

                    Small sample size, I understand. I'll keep posting some winners, lets keep it going gentlemen, all opinions are welcome plz, plz, plz.
                    Comment
                    • Big Bear
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 11-01-11
                      • 43253

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Jago2008
                      9-2-0 on Total posted plays:

                      6-2-0 in 'over' bets, 3-0-0 in 'under' bets, 1 NBA 'over' total bet. (approx +~16.5 units. @1u$50)

                      Small sample size, I understand. I'll keep posting some winners, lets keep it going gentlemen, all opinions are welcome plz, plz, plz.

                      good job. Just stay modest and you will have great success. If you
                      become cocky your career at SBR will be cut short. Trust me.

                      Great job so far. Keep it up.
                      Comment
                      • Jago2008
                        SBR MVP
                        • 05-18-11
                        • 3047

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Big Bear
                        good job. Just stay modest and you will have great success. If you
                        become cocky your career at SBR will be cut short. Trust me.

                        Great job so far. Keep it up.
                        Thanks man, I appreciate those compliments, really. I hope I don't come off as cocky or a douche, if anything I'd like to create an atmosphere where people aren't shy to share their opinions, and plays. I'm here to make $$$.
                        Comment
                        • ses_d
                          SBR MVP
                          • 04-06-12
                          • 1248

                          #13
                          Great call!

                          Do you like anything for the early games? I like the Reds but you never know with the Bucs and Baileys been roughed out his last few outings.
                          Comment
                          • drfunkmaster
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 11-29-08
                            • 11162

                            #14
                            good job buddy..
                            Comment
                            • Jago2008
                              SBR MVP
                              • 05-18-11
                              • 3047

                              #15
                              Originally posted by ses_d
                              Great call!

                              Do you like anything for the early games? I like the Reds but you never know with the Bucs and Baileys been roughed out his last few outings.
                              I have some initial leans but nothing I would suggest a bet on now, I wouldn't feel right suggesting anything at this time. Thank you tho, once I have accumulated some more data and reviewed matchups I will post more.

                              Originally posted by drfunkmaster
                              good job buddy..
                              Thanks bro
                              Comment
                              • Aussiefalconfan
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 01-10-13
                                • 980

                                #16
                                Nice call mate
                                Comment
                                • BigPete55
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 05-01-13
                                  • 441

                                  #17
                                  Great call again bro.....tailed once again!
                                  Comment
                                  • lvillecards01
                                    SBR Rookie
                                    • 03-08-11
                                    • 33

                                    #18
                                    What do you think today? I like under 4.5 in the first 5. Pitt pitcher makes me alittle nervous
                                    Comment
                                    • Jago2008
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 05-18-11
                                      • 3047

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Aussiefalconfan
                                      Nice call mate
                                      Hell yes, love to have some Aussy opinions in here, thank you.

                                      Originally posted by BigPete55
                                      Great call again bro.....tailed once again!
                                      Thank Pete, #do-damage.

                                      Originally posted by lvillecards01
                                      What do you think today? I like under 4.5 in the first 5. Pitt pitcher makes me alittle nervous
                                      Honestly bro I don't have much today in baseball, all the attention is being put towards Miami and this game 7. Sorry for the late response.

                                      If you guys have any leans feel free to post some.
                                      Comment
                                      • BigPete55
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 05-01-13
                                        • 441

                                        #20
                                        Im leaning Yankees & Yankees TT over 4.....
                                        Moore has been absolutely brutal last couple of games! I like Yankees bullpen much better as well....
                                        Comment
                                        • Jago2008
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 05-18-11
                                          • 3047

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by BigPete55
                                          Im leaning Yankees & Yankees TT over 4.....
                                          Moore has been absolutely brutal last couple of games! I like Yankees bullpen much better as well....
                                          You are close bro, lets go Yanks.
                                          Comment
                                          • BigPete55
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 05-01-13
                                            • 441

                                            #22
                                            Time is running out.....let's bring it in
                                            Comment
                                            • BigPete55
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 05-01-13
                                              • 441

                                              #23
                                              Can't win em all......
                                              Any thought on the late games?
                                              Comment
                                              • Jago2008
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 05-18-11
                                                • 3047

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by BigPete55
                                                Can't win em all......
                                                Any thought on the late games?
                                                NYY catcher Chris Stewart, player has a wRAA-Rbat of -3, meaning he -3 less than the average batter in terms of runs generated, grounds in the double play and fielders choice which took away the lead runner essentially in both tries, in lamens terms that dude is a penetrating fail.


                                                Should have @ least pushed, going to look over some MLB lines tomorrow, lets do damage. That was not a bad pick.
                                                Comment
                                                • BigPete55
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 05-01-13
                                                  • 441

                                                  #25
                                                  Hit a small 3 teamer....
                                                  Get em tomorrow bud!
                                                  Comment
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