KC Royals v. Clev. Indians 'Over' 8

[Jago2008]

Have a pretty strong lean to the 'over' in this game for multiple reasons:

- Carlos Carrasco - enough said.

-There is a lot of History between Carrasco and Billy Butler, Butler is 3-7 recently (6-13 overall) with 2 HRs and several RBIs, he was also hit by Carrasco and served a 5-game suspension (Carrasco). Butler, Francoeur, Getz, Gordon, Hosmer, all have good numbers against Carrasco, with Butler and Gordon having HRs, and Hosmer having several XBHs off Carrasco.

-James Shields has been great this season, and despite holding a 2.79 ERA on the year is 2-6, and has received an avg. of 3 runs per start (one of the lowest in baseball). However KC is hitting much better in their recent stretch, they have won 8 of their last 10, scoring an avg. of 5.6 runs their last 5 games. Cleveland's Kipnis, Aviles, Brantley all have some good split stats against Shields.

-In all of Carrasco's recent starts against KC, every-game has gone 'over' the total, In all of James Shields last 3 starts dating back to 2010 against Cleveland, all games went 'over' the total.

I would like to write more, but wanted to get this play out earlier (@ least 30 mins before the game started), been a busy start to the week.


GL with your bets.

8-1-0 in posted totals.

[PorkChop]

Love it

[Jago2008]

Love it

After re-reading my post, I probably could have just written CARRASCO in size 42-font and gotten the same point across.

GL to us.

[Jago2008]

Well Ironically Carrasco has pitched well, and Shields has struggled significantly, 4 walks and I don't think he'll make it past the 6th inning... however bases loaded twice, no runs, KC keeps swinging in hitter counts, not working the counts, and now the weather has changed with the wing blowing IN HARD, not good omens.

A lot of baseball left to play..... as I type this Michael Brantley has taken away double- (at least) w/ that diving catch, dude has taken away at least 3 hits this game so far.

Looking like a crash a burn play right now.

[drfunkmaster]

i took it as well. wow.. 2 cy young winners out there

[drfunkmaster]

need a game like royals had like less than a week ago, where they scored 8 runs in an inning..

[Jago2008]

need a game like royals had like less than a week ago, where they scored 8 runs in an inning..

I know right bro? I had a posted play on that total too

Unfortunately neither of these teams have fared well with RISP in this game, which is ironic because both teams are tops in the league with RISP and less than two outs, or two outs. Some great fielding plays all over the field, and I'm looking across the board, and I don't see one 'Over' hitting today in the early games.

These Monday games are always interesting, I think a lot of apathy comes into play, a lot of good baseball and high totals over the weekend... I say that with hindsight unfort.

[Jago2008]

Bad selection gentlemen, I have to say I'm surprised by Carrasco's performance, but I'll chalk this up to what it was, a loss. Perhaps I should have used "This pitcher sucks ass, so therefore he will be Cy-young" strategy in this approach.

We had a few bases loaded innings with literally 1 run from all, even with 0 outs, but this game was almost never in doubt 'under', I was surprised to see the weather change so furiously with the wind blowing in, as game-time it was blowing out at approx. 6mph.

8-2-0 on Total posted plays:

6-2-0 in 'over' bets, 2-0-0 in 'under' bets, 1 NBA 'over' total bet. (approx +~15.1 units. @1u$50)

Small sample size, I understand. I'll keep posting some winners, lets keep it going gentlemen, all opinions are welcome plz.