This line will drop

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  • ProfaneReality
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 04-14-09
    • 7607

    #1
    This line will drop
    Stl -145 is too high. Should drop.

    Westbrook returns from his elbow inflammation... his ERA doesnt tell the real story about how fluky/lucky his season has gone. Has not given up a HR in 39 innings (luck) and has a WHIP near 1.5

    Does Miami win? Don't know. But I do know this line will only go down.
  • TheMLBKing
    SBR MVP
    • 04-20-13
    • 1129

    #2
    gonna play miami first five. thanks boss.
    Comment
    • curtrambus
      SBR MVP
      • 09-13-12
      • 1118

      #3
      In 122 at bats for the Marlins they hit Westbrook .183 I'm pounding the fk out of the Cards tomorrow at -1 so it's less juice. Fernandez hasen't seen a team that hits the ball like the Cards and it's the best team in baseball right now against arguably the worst.
      Comment
      • curtrambus
        SBR MVP
        • 09-13-12
        • 1118

        #4
        The line that may drop is the Tigers against the Twins Porcello gets shelled by the Twins. I'm on the Tigers anyways just because I think they can score more then the Twins can it's going to be a slugfest in that game.
        Comment
        • MagicDiceFlow
          SBR MVP
          • 01-15-12
          • 4585

          #5
          No way the St Louis line is dropping. If anything it will get pounded up to -160 or more come game time. Cards can start a minor leaguer against the Marlins and that line isnt dropping below -135 guaranteed.
          Comment
          • Jago2008
            SBR MVP
            • 05-18-11
            • 3047

            #6
            Originally posted by ProfaneReality
            Stl -145 is too high. Should drop.

            Westbrook returns from his elbow inflammation... his ERA doesnt tell the real story about how fluky/lucky his season has gone. Has not given up a HR in 39 innings (luck) and has a WHIP near 1.5

            Does Miami win? Don't know. But I do know this line will only go down.
            I don't understand this assertion at all bro, the public is going to be all over St. Louis, especially after their series with the Mets, no way the line is going to drop

            Adding to that point most squares don't even know who J. Fernandez is for the Marlins, let alone his success.
            Comment
            • TheMLBKing
              SBR MVP
              • 04-20-13
              • 1129

              #7
              Originally posted by Jago2008
              I don't understand this assertion at all bro, the public is going to be all over St. Louis, especially after their series with the Mets, no way the line is going to drop

              Adding to that point most squares don't even know who J. Fernandez is for the Marlins, let alone his success.
              fernandez only goes about 5 or 6 innings. I wouldn't trust the marlins bullpen at all.
              Comment
              • Jago2008
                SBR MVP
                • 05-18-11
                • 3047

                #8
                Originally posted by TheMLBKing

                fernandez only goes about 5 or 6 innings. I wouldn't trust the marlins bullpen at all.
                He has pitched well, don't you agree? But with that said that adds to our point, the public will be ALL over the Cardinals line.
                Comment
                • ProfaneReality
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 04-14-09
                  • 7607

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Jago2008
                  I don't understand this assertion at all bro, the public is going to be all over St. Louis, especially after their series with the Mets, no way the line is going to drop

                  Adding to that point most squares don't even know who J. Fernandez is for the Marlins, let alone his success.
                  Public doesn't move lines
                  Comment
                  • ProfaneReality
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 04-14-09
                    • 7607

                    #10
                    Originally posted by MagicDiceFlow
                    No way the St Louis line is dropping. If anything it will get pounded up to -160 or more come game time. Cards can start a minor leaguer against the Marlins and that line isnt dropping below -135 guaranteed.
                    Good call.

                    -128 currently
                    Comment
                    • TheMLBKing
                      SBR MVP
                      • 04-20-13
                      • 1129

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Jago2008
                      He has pitched well, don't you agree? But with that said that adds to our point, the public will be ALL over the Cardinals line.
                      yeah what I mean is he isn't gonna go out there and throw a complete game, so a first 5 bet is a lot safer IMO
                      Comment
                      • drfunkmaster
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 11-29-08
                        • 11162

                        #12
                        marlins win
                        Comment
                        • Jago2008
                          SBR MVP
                          • 05-18-11
                          • 3047

                          #13
                          Originally posted by ProfaneReality
                          Public doesn't move lines
                          The public does move lines, perhaps the key word you were looking for though was "wise-guys." Have to give you credit however in this, you were right went as high as -149 last night as I recall, now I'm seeing -130 @ 5dimes.

                          You backing the Cards here?
                          Comment
                          • MagicDiceFlow
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-15-12
                            • 4585

                            #14
                            Yep, books tried to get too cute on this line. Fernandez getting hammered already and it's only 1st inning. They're going to pay for this one dearly, every joe schmoe public I know jumped all over this one.
                            Comment
                            • No coincidences
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 01-18-10
                              • 76300

                              #15
                              Originally posted by MagicDiceFlow
                              Yep, books tried to get too cute on this line. Fernandez getting hammered already and it's only 1st inning. They're going to pay for this one dearly, every joe schmoe public I know jumped all over this one.
                              Umm, Miami should've been out of the first with no harm done. DP ball botched.
                              Comment
                              • ProfaneReality
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 04-14-09
                                • 7607

                                #16
                                Originally posted by MagicDiceFlow
                                Yep, books tried to get too cute on this line. Fernandez getting hammered already and it's only 1st inning. They're going to pay for this one dearly, every joe schmoe public I know jumped all over this one.
                                You seem sharp.
                                Comment
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