Chicago Cubs/White Sox O/U!?!

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  • jamt31
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 11-08-12
    • 554

    #1
    Chicago Cubs/White Sox O/U!?!
    Can someone explain to me why the over/under is 11? Both these pitchers are coming into this game with a sub 3 ERA. Wood pitches extremely well at home and Peavy has outstanding numbers at Wrigley. I feel like the 11 is really generous and it should be the under here all day. Just baffled by this number....
  • Vinnie Paz
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 03-27-12
    • 12177

    #2
    The Windy City
    Comment
    • Mr. Green
      SBR Sharp
      • 02-01-11
      • 251

      #3
      Totals at Wrigley....#1 rule is to look at the wind. The ball carries far when the wind is blowing out
      Comment
      • lesterdymond
        SBR MVP
        • 07-25-11
        • 2363

        #4
        The cubs bullpen can bring the best out of even the worst teams.

        Go Sox!
        Comment
        • LowRollin
          SBR Sharp
          • 02-29-12
          • 467

          #5
          wind or not I had to fire on this #. probably totals 17 or something though.
          Comment
          • jamt31
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 11-08-12
            • 554

            #6
            I understand that wind plays a factor, but only 4 games at Wrigley this year have gone over the 11 run mark. Not sure why the number would be 11 with this match-up on the mound today. Out of 19 starts this season between Wood and Peavy only one game has passed the 11 run mark and that was the White Sox at Wash. Ah well, I guess I'll just take the under and be confused all day.
            Comment
            • Yazworm91
              SBR MVP
              • 03-01-13
              • 2397

              #7
              Click image for larger version

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              Comment
              • Vinnie Paz
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 03-27-12
                • 12177

                #8
                I remember there was a game last season with the fukkin padres (when they were batting like .180) and cubs and also had some ridiculous total and that shit. Hit like 20+ runs
                Comment
                • BigD46
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 07-25-12
                  • 123

                  #9
                  I'm also on the under here but I was on it yesterday too...hopefully the outcome will be different.

                  BOL
                  Comment
                  • JMon
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 12-11-09
                    • 9800

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Vinnie Paz
                    I remember there was a game last season with the fukkin padres (when they were batting like .180) and cubs and also had some ridiculous total and that shit. Hit like 20+ runs
                    5/28/2012 Wood v. Suppan. total 12.5, final 11-7 Cubs
                    Comment
                    • Benny Gold
                      SBR Rookie
                      • 10-29-11
                      • 4

                      #11
                      I got sucked into the under too...chasing yesterdays under loss
                      Comment
                      • captrobey
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 09-02-10
                        • 34384

                        #12
                        Originally posted by jamt31
                        Can someone explain to me why the over/under is 11? Both these pitchers are coming into this game with a sub 3 ERA. Wood pitches extremely well at home and Peavy has outstanding numbers at Wrigley. I feel like the 11 is really generous and it should be the under here all day. Just baffled by this number....
                        I thought about doing the Over . Routine fly balls can go out. The wind is blowing pretty good out . I like the Rangers better though so went with them. If players strike out a lot not getting contact for fly balls that can go out with wind then it could go under.
                        Comment
                        • Hangoverblack
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-27-12
                          • 1900

                          #13
                          There is no question it is over or PASS.

                          these threads always end the same at Wrigley
                          Comment
                          • jamt31
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 11-08-12
                            • 554

                            #14
                            Crap LT Profits is on the under, I've been fading him all season. Shit, might buy myself into the over now.
                            Comment
                            • PorkChop
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 09-18-08
                              • 8193

                              #15
                              WhiteSox TT 0 5.5 +100 ?
                              Comment
                              • yisman
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 09-01-08
                                • 75682

                                #16
                                every year there are totals at Wrigley of 11-13

                                some days this wind is gusting out
                                [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                [/quote]

                                [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                Comment
                                • yisman
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 09-01-08
                                  • 75682

                                  #17
                                  You also get the biggest moves on MLB totals when the weather patterns shift.

                                  It's like CBB totals.

                                  This one opened at 12 and closed at 11, a full run lower.
                                  [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                  [/quote]

                                  [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                  Comment
                                  • Hangoverblack
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-27-12
                                    • 1900

                                    #18
                                    Over went from 11 EV to 11 -115 at my book last 15 minutes. 82% on under it seems. We will see.
                                    Comment
                                    • yisman
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 09-01-08
                                      • 75682

                                      #19
                                      SportsOptions says 57% on the under, which makes more sense.

                                      Pinnacle line history:

                                      05/30/13 02:12:57pm 11 Over -109 Under -101
                                      05/30/13 02:12:46pm 11 Over -111 Under +101
                                      05/30/13 02:11:03pm 11 Over -107 Under -103
                                      05/30/13 02:10:57pm 11 Over -108 Under -102
                                      05/30/13 02:10:56pm 11 Over -107 Under -103
                                      05/30/13 02:10:21pm 11 Over -106 Under -104
                                      05/30/13 02:07:12pm 11 Over -109 Under -101
                                      05/30/13 02:03:58pm 11 Over -106 Under -104
                                      05/30/13 02:03:33pm 11 Over -101 Under -109
                                      05/30/13 02:00:31pm 11 Over -104 Under -106
                                      05/30/13 02:00:24pm 11 Over -106 Under -104
                                      05/30/13 01:57:47pm 11 Over +100 Under -110
                                      05/30/13 01:56:14pm 11 Over -101 Under -109
                                      05/30/13 01:55:55pm 11 Over -103 Under -107
                                      05/30/13 01:55:51pm 11 Over -104 Under -106
                                      05/30/13 01:55:05pm 11 Over -103 Under -107
                                      05/30/13 01:45:09pm 11 Over +102 Under -113
                                      05/30/13 01:45:01pm 11 Over -101 Under -109
                                      05/30/13 01:43:43pm 11 Over +106 Under -117
                                      05/30/13 01:43:36pm 11 Over +107 Under -118
                                      05/30/13 01:43:20pm 11 Over +105 Under -116
                                      05/30/13 01:43:15pm 11 Over +101 Under -111
                                      05/30/13 01:30:33pm 11 Over +108 Under -119
                                      05/30/13 12:39:05pm 11 Over +104 Under -115
                                      05/30/13 12:39:05pm 11 Over +105 Under -116
                                      05/30/13 12:03:31pm 11 Over +100 Under -110
                                      05/30/13 11:59:03am 11 Over +101 Under -111
                                      05/30/13 11:42:42am 11 Over +104 Under -115
                                      05/30/13 11:32:43am 11 Over +102 Under -113
                                      05/30/13 11:26:58am 11 Over +104 Under -115
                                      05/30/13 11:22:40am 11 Over +107 Under -118
                                      05/30/13 11:21:50am 11 Over +100 Under -110
                                      05/30/13 11:21:44am 11 Over -103 Under -107
                                      05/30/13 10:59:01am 11 Over -111 Under +101
                                      05/30/13 10:58:53am 11 Over -110 Under +100
                                      05/30/13 10:58:17am 11 Over -105 Under -105
                                      05/30/13 10:58:13am 11½ Over +111 Under -123
                                      05/30/13 10:58:04am 11½ Over +109 Under -120
                                      05/30/13 10:57:10am 11½ Over +108 Under -119
                                      05/30/13 10:57:04am 11½ Over +107 Under -118
                                      05/30/13 10:56:56am 11½ Over +105 Under -116
                                      05/30/13 10:51:40am 11½ Over +102 Under -113
                                      05/30/13 10:51:14am 11½ Over +101 Under -111
                                      05/30/13 10:51:06am 11½ Over -101 Under -109
                                      05/30/13 10:44:17am 11½ Over -105 Under -105
                                      05/30/13 10:43:33am 11½ Over -106 Under -104
                                      05/30/13 10:38:05am 11½ Over -109 Under -101
                                      05/30/13 10:37:49am 12 Over +105 Under -116
                                      05/30/13 10:36:49am 12 Over +102 Under -113
                                      05/30/13 10:36:40am 12 Over +100 Under -110
                                      05/30/13 10:36:33am 12 Over -103 Under -107
                                      05/30/13 10:33:01am 12 Over -107 Under -103
                                      [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                      [/quote]

                                      [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                      Comment
                                      • baazigar
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 05-09-08
                                        • 1589

                                        #20
                                        the size of that strike zone. watch this be a 3-2 game
                                        Comment
                                        • ses_d
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 04-06-12
                                          • 1248

                                          #21
                                          take the under live.
                                          Comment
                                          • PaperTrail07
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 08-29-08
                                            • 20423

                                            #22
                                            wind....id still take the under....its a lot of runs...Look out for errors as we saw
                                            Comment
                                            • Hangoverblack
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-27-12
                                              • 1900

                                              #23
                                              On pace for 9, with 6 lob.

                                              early

                                              i read that a 20 mph wind blowing out at Wrigley adds 50-70 feet to routine fly balls.

                                              Castro flies out to end 2nd with 2 on.
                                              Comment
                                              • gasto
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 12-30-11
                                                • 330

                                                #24
                                                There is the reason why the total looked suspicious. If its suspicious , best option is to leave it alone, or definitely take the side that does not make sense. Its like its already decided before the game. One or both pitchers will be loose and give up many runs. Cant do much about it. Even if you pull him after a grand slam the total is decided.

                                                Or a few times, Detroit or Atlanta bats go to sleep and score no runs in games where they are heavily favored. Bottom line is Vegas is out to get our money. Best to look at them and kind of figure which side is likely to attract the majority of betters and go opposite or just run.
                                                Comment
                                                • captrobey
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 09-02-10
                                                  • 34384

                                                  #25
                                                  Just like that the Over is in play again. I went with Rangers instead though but almost went with the Over . You just never know with that wind blowing like it is.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • ufcmma36
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 02-22-10
                                                    • 1065

                                                    #26
                                                    ouch Grand Slam 6-1
                                                    Comment
                                                    • I/O
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 05-26-11
                                                      • 7922

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by lesterdymond
                                                      The cubs bullpen can bring the best out of even the worst teams.

                                                      Go Sox!
                                                      The Wsox pen and defense can do the same
                                                      Comment
                                                      • jamt31
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 11-08-12
                                                        • 554

                                                        #28
                                                        Well I guess it's a good thing I saw LT on the under. Cancelled out my under play.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • trendon
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 12-06-10
                                                          • 534

                                                          #29
                                                          This is going to be an interesting game for me.

                                                          I had no run scored in first at +125 and Sox -123 first five. They've scored in every inning BUT the first so I am escaping with a nice - and lucky - push.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Hangoverblack
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 01-27-12
                                                            • 1900

                                                            #30
                                                            That's it boys, pull it to left.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Hangoverblack
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 01-27-12
                                                              • 1900

                                                              #31
                                                              White sox ineptitude is the only reason this stays under 15
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Hangoverblack
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 01-27-12
                                                                • 1900

                                                                #32
                                                                I've got a feeling this lands right on the number. Sox have mailed it
                                                                Comment
                                                                • jamt31
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 11-08-12
                                                                  • 554

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by Hangoverblack
                                                                  I've got a feeling this lands right on the number. Sox have mailed it
                                                                  I was just thinking the same thing.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Hangoverblack
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 01-27-12
                                                                    • 1900

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Down 6 and he makes the second out at 2nd base.

                                                                    Sox on the under here? This is ridiculous how many they have left.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • captrobey
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 09-02-10
                                                                      • 34384

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Going to be close hope it stays Under for you guys looks like most took it. My Rangers game was 9-0 now it's 9-5 B7th Rangers need them To hold On.
                                                                      Comment
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