#trendisourfriend or Deep Deep Stats by EP36

[EaglesPhan36]

Well the first two months have been squishy on my bankroll with trying team totals again this year, so I am switching directions to see if 50 games or so of stats has yielded enough trend info to build a winning strategy. I'm looking at totals here only. Will include the trend info as much as possible. Fade. Follow. Seppuku.

#trendisourfriend Play #1 [5-28]
Blue Jays-Braves Over 9 [-105]
Blue Jays 30/50, 17/29 at home = OVER
Braves 28/49, 18/29 on the road = OVER
Morrow: 7/9 starts, 4/5 at home = OVER
Maholm: 7/10 starts, 4/6 on the road = OVER
Blue Jays: Five straight OVER
Braves: 4/6 OVER

[baazigar]

jays TT over 4 - let's go

[2daBank]

played jays and over as well..gl ep

[baazigar]

7 in the first

[EaglesPhan36]

Looking trendy so far.

[EaglesPhan36]

#trendisourfriend Play #2 [5-28]
Dodgers-Angels Over 8 [-115]
Dodgers 27/46, 18/29 at home = OVER
Angels 32/51, 15/26 on the road = OVER
Ryu: 7/9 starts, 3/4 at home = OVER
Blanton: 7/10 starts, 3/5 on the road = OVER
Dodgers: 3/4 overall & 8/12 at home = OVER
Angels: After Loss, 19/27 = OVER

[gilbert91016]

Nice hot EP. Bol whit the next game

[EaglesPhan36]

Record: 1-1 [-0.15]

Never had a chance in LA. Ryu was lights out and Blanton was able to do enough against the Dodgers wishy washy bats. Onward.

[EaglesPhan36]

#trendisourfriend Play #3 [5-29]
Orioles-Nationals Under 8.5 [-110]
Tillman: 6 of the last 9 starts = UNDER or PUSH.
Tillman: At home, 5/6 starts = UNDER/PUSH on 8 with an average of 6.50 runs.
Zimmerman: 1/10 starts has gone over 8 runs.
Nationals: 13 out of last 17 on road have hit UNDER/PUSH on 8.

[baazigar]

#trendisourfriend Play #3 [5-29]
Orioles-Nationals Under 8 [-110]
Tillman: 6 of the last 9 starts = UNDER or PUSH.
Tillman: At home, 5/6 starts = UNDER/PUSH on 8 with an average of 6.50 runs.
Zimmerman: 1/10 starts has gone over 8 runs.
Nationals: 13 out of last 17 on road have hit UNDER/PUSH on 8.

good luck man, both teams can hit
Os especially

[EaglesPhan36]

Nats suck. Third worst team BA & bottom five in runs scored. Baltimore certainly can rake.

[Vasco]

Don't like that it went to 8.5. But I still like the under.

[KnucklePuck]

Love the play, Zimmerman is a monster and has only given up 3 runs once this entire season. Bryce sitting out is the icing on the cake.

[EaglesPhan36]

#trendisourfriend Play #4 [5-29]
Astros Team Total Under 4 [-115]
Chatwood: One run allowed in last three starts.
Astros: Only 3 of last 18 have they scored more than 4 on the road.
Rockies: 9/14 at home with four runs or less allowed.

[EaglesPhan36]

Unders do make me sick.

[EaglesPhan36]

#trendisourfriend Play #5 [5-29]
Padres Team Total Over 4 [-120]
Saunders: Road starts - 11.25 ERA
Saunders: Road starts - 4 ERs or more given up 5/5
Padres: Vs. Lefty starters - 9/16 games scoring 4 or more by game's end, including 6 of the last 8
Mariners: Six straight road games allowing 5 runs or more, including 46 runs overall in that stretch
Mariners: 5.17 road ERA

[EaglesPhan36]

So far this is going about as well as the team totals. Patience. God do I hate unders.

[baazigar]

it's all fvked up. hang in there EP

[EaglesPhan36]

Record: 1-4 [-3.60]

[EaglesPhan36]

#trendisourfriend Play #6 [5-30]
Rangers-Diamondbacks Over 9.5 [-115]
Weather: South Winds 17-20 MPH (In from RF) create Wind Tunnel Blowing OUT
Rangers Ballpark: 9/14 OVERs 2012-2013 when South Winds 10-20 MPH
Rangers Ballpark: Only 7/21 OVERS, 4/6 when Winds Blowing in from RF

*Considering the heavy UNDER trends of the pitchers/Ballpark otherwise, I am really interested to see how this pans out. Have ridden the Wind Theory @ Rangers Ballpark many a time though to OVERs cashes. #trendisourfriend

[EaglesPhan36]

Finally, back with another W! The Wind Tunnel Theory strikes again!

[EaglesPhan36]

#trendisourfriend Play #7 [5-30]
Orioles-Nationals Over 9.5 [-110]
Orioles: 7-0-1 in favor of OVERs in their last 8.
Nationals: 7-2-1 in favor of OVERs in their last 10.
Haren: 7/10 starts = OVER
Garcia: 4/5 starts = OVER

[EaglesPhan36]

Figures. I get the over when I go under and the under when I go over with these dolts.

[EaglesPhan36]

Record: 2-5 [-3.70]

[EaglesPhan36]

#trendisourfriend Play #8 [6-1]
Phillies-Brewers Over 9 [-120]
Peralta: 9/11 starts for MIL = OVER
Peralta: 9/11 starts have finished w/9 runs or more.
Cloyd: 2/3 starts = OVER
Phillies: 16/25 @ home = OVER
Phillies: 7 of last 10 = OVER
Brewers: 6 of last 10 = OVER, including 5 of the last 6.

[EaglesPhan36]

#Isuck

[EaglesPhan36]

#trendisourfriend Play #9
Brewers Team Total Over 4.5 [+100]
A's: In six Millone road starts, the opposition has scored at least five in 5/6.
Millone: 4 of his last 6 starts, he has given up four runs or better.
A's: 4/5 on the road, have given up at least 5 runs.
Brewers: 4/6 have scored five or more.

[EaglesPhan36]

10 picks ain't much, but I think the baseball Gods have spoken and this is not my year.