Cain/Giants only -110 against Gallardo/Brewers?

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  • Spedizzo
    SBR MVP
    • 12-16-11
    • 1557

    #1
    Cain/Giants only -110 against Gallardo/Brewers?
    Sharps help me out here...

    Giants lost 2 to Brewers already... and this game is to avoid a sweep. Giants are the defending World Series champs and have their ace on the mound who hasn't won a game yet (nor has the team in any of the 3 games he has pitched.) Gallardo has been inconsistent, and this is the perfect game for the sometimes lackluster Giants offense to score some runs behind a solid pitcher in Matt Cain.

    All logic would point to a Giants win. I was originally expecting a line in the area of -150. Regardless of the last few games, Giants are a public team and Cain is a public pitcher. Fukking Kershaw was like -260 yesterday.

    However, the line was at -135 and went down as low as -105 at some places, despite a majority of the public being on the Giants. Posey was a 20 cent drop? Smells fishy. I know you shouldn't read to heavily into the lines, especially in baseball, but what gives? Is Brewers the play?

  • onacloud
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 10-14-10
    • 5360

    #2
    Gallardo has been sober for 3 days he will throw a 7 inning shut out

    Cubs hit two HRs off Cain wouldn't back him right now
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    • NOboy
      SBR High Roller
      • 11-16-11
      • 235

      #3
      scutaro is likely to be replaced by nick noonan as well. so not just posey
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      • Hotnicks
        SBR Sharp
        • 06-04-10
        • 423

        #4
        Same thing happened 2 days ago. Line opened, dropped, and the public was all over giants. Then zito got his titties lit up. I followed the steam and cashed last time so I'm hoping for a repeat.
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        • NOboy
          SBR High Roller
          • 11-16-11
          • 235

          #5
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          • EVPlus
            SBR MVP
            • 04-07-12
            • 1111

            #6
            Cain hasn't displayed the 2012 form. Also, everyone talks about Mil bp but SF bp hasn't been much to write home about.

            PRIOR to last night's game, the stats:

            Giants BP 4.44 ERA/1.274 WHIP/12 RUNS/22 HITS/4 HRs/9 WALKS/23 K's on the Road

            Brewers BP 4.85 ERA/1.517 WHIP/19 RUNS/34 HITS/6 HRs/11 WALKS/30 K's at Home

            As you can see, there isn't a big of a difference as most people think. I passed SF/MIL yesterday and will probably pass today as I see more interesting angles to exploit.
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