Yes, Kendrick is bad, and yes, the Phils are average (at best). I know Bailey's finally turned a corner, somewhat, but I can't justify this price or make sense of the line being that high. Can you?
tatddy
SBR Posting Legend
03-02-10
10779
#2
No. PHI are the play weather they win or lose. Game is a flip at +146.
Comment
YOUNGBUCK
SBR Hall of Famer
12-16-10
6510
#3
Homer gets easy W, no bias here
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#4
Originally posted by tatddy
No. PHI are the play weather they win or lose. Game is a flip at +146.
I have Cincy in the -140 to -145 range. I'm either way off, or I should throw a little on the Phils.
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#5
Originally posted by YOUNGBUCK
Homer gets easy W, no bias here
You think? I wouldn't hesitate, but I really don't like the idea of backing KK.
Comment
YOUNGBUCK
SBR Hall of Famer
12-16-10
6510
#6
Yes I'm really confident in Reds I'm on them
Comment
tatddy
SBR Posting Legend
03-02-10
10779
#7
Originally posted by YOUNGBUCK
Homer gets easy W, no bias here
You could well be right man. The line says that you are. But the point is that PHI's win probability in this spot doesn't justify the price you're being asked to pay. This line appears to be about 10 cents off. It's starting to steam in your direction too.
Kendrick had a fine start last year @ GA Ballpark and was a better pitcher on the road last year. I'm taking the +$ here in what I think is a coin flip.
Comment
YOUNGBUCK
SBR Hall of Famer
12-16-10
6510
#8
Tat Bol fam
Comment
tatddy
SBR Posting Legend
03-02-10
10779
#9
So now what? Just getting done with a dinner thing. Bets are cancelled?
Phi was def the right side Coiner
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#10
Originally posted by tatddy
So now what? Just getting done with a dinner thing. Bets are cancelled?
Phi was def the right side Coiner
Mine was canceled at my book. I hit the FF +0.5 though.
I'll take a toss up at that price every day of the week.
Might hit Philly again today. Leake is a gascan.
Comment
YOUNGBUCK
SBR Hall of Famer
12-16-10
6510
#11
Homerun Bailey with 10ks over 8
Comment
YOUNGBUCK
SBR Hall of Famer
12-16-10
6510
#12
O ya and 0 walks suck on that Coin!!!!
Comment
tatddy
SBR Posting Legend
03-02-10
10779
#13
Haha buck you know we had the right side at +145 bucker. Coin flip game just like I said. Homer is a witch though.
Hope your boys win now that my action was cancelled.
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#14
Originally posted by YOUNGBUCK
O ya and 0 walks suck on that Coin!!!!
Yeah, Bailey's really "getting it" finally. Still, I'll take +145 in a 0-0 game any day.
What do you think about tonight's matchup? Hard not to fade Leake at that price.
Comment
YOUNGBUCK
SBR Hall of Famer
12-16-10
6510
#15
Originally posted by tatddy
Haha buck you know we had the right side at +145 bucker. Coin flip game just like I said. Homer is a witch though.
Hope your boys win now that my action was cancelled.
Ill never say it was right side haha
Comment
YOUNGBUCK
SBR Hall of Famer
12-16-10
6510
#16
I agree Coin steep for Leake but with pub pounding Philly got me thinking he's steep for a reason here
Comment
YOUNGBUCK
SBR Hall of Famer
12-16-10
6510
#17
Bump this for my man Coin who forgot Ab Leakes big stick