Explain the Reds at + money to me tonight

[No coincidences]

I know Leake is awful and Burnett has "turned a corner," but that shouldn't change the fact that this is the Reds against the Pirates.

[rcene]

Looks like its just Frazier sitting tonight for Cincinnati. A few local places I bet at are inviting play on Cincy with +110/115. Very strange

[JZAL12]

First reaction was the same thing. Then I had to dig into the numbers.

Current Reds players are batting .200 against AJ with only 7 XBH in 160 ABs.

Bucs players are hitting Leake at .263 with 18 XBH in 171 ABs.

Wind is blowing out left at PNC which should give the edge to the Bucs. Factor in Cincy's superior bullpen though, and the game is more 50/50.

[No coincidences]

Looks like its just Frazier sitting tonight for Cincinnati. A few local places I bet at are inviting play on Cincy with +110/115. Very strange

I think I'll just pass. I hate backing the Reds when Leake pitches, but damn, this looks like a no-brainer.

[No coincidences]

And there she blows....

Leake is so awful. Line was speaking for itself.