1st 5 ML OR +.5 What percentage of games are tied after first five innings?

[odog11]

Been playing 1st 5 +.5 and wondering if this really makes sense and if it might not be smarter to take the ML instead in some of these.

Anyone know what the usual percentage of games being tied after 5 is or a site that has stats like this?

[odog11]

Searched a little and have not found the numbers yet, but has to be out there on the interwebs somewhere. Going to track for a little bit and keep record of my 1st 5 plays here.

Day 1: 2 of 12 ended in 1st 5 tie.

Yesterday I played 4 1st 5 +.5 and one ML. Won all four +.5 and one would have pushed on the ML, lost the ML play. One of the plays would have lost if I had played 9 innings instead of the first 5.

Played +.5
Boston Won ML and 9
Seattle Won ML and 9
San Fran Push ML, lost 9.
Chi Cubs. Won ML and 9.

Played on ML
Philly Lost and lost 9.

Was looking atTampa ML 1st 5, but at -190 too much juice, -.5 is at -120.

[odog11]

Going with Houston 1st 5 +.5 even money.

Day two: 2 of 7 tied after 5.
Ytd: 4 of 20 tied after 5.

[odog11]

Going with Houston 1st 5 +.5 even money.

Day two: 2 of 7 tied after 5.
Ytd: 4 of 20 tied after 5.

Texas scoreless through 5, that's a W.

[odog11]

Twins 1st 5 ML +140.

Edit: I know the plays have been last minute, but I make most of my plays close to game time. Will try to post leans and then confirm plays when I make them.

[odog11]

Lost on the Twins.

Red Sox 1st 5 +.5 -135 is a play.

[BlurredOut]

i like that Red Sox pick. unless Cano hits a bomb or Gardner triples the Yankees aren't doing much to start off.

[odog11]

Sox first five a winner. Going with a total next.

San Fran/LA 1st five over 3 -140.

[odog11]

Thanks Josh and thank you Dodgers for taking the sh!tbum.

2-1 on first five plays for the day.

[odog11]

Thought about playing it on the +.5, but -185 a little too juicy so it's:

Detroit 1st 5 ML -145.

Edit
Day 3: 2 of 15 tied after 5.
YTD: 6 of 35
Of note: I have hit on the +.5 on 2 of the 6 that were tied, both were 0-0. Trend seems to indicate play ML when runs expected, take the +.5 when low scoring expected which just makes sense.

[odog11]

This one doesn't seem "sharp", but can't help myself.

KC/Chi Sox 1st 5 over 4 -120.

[odog11]

Late one again.

Seattle 1st five +.5 even money