ya one of the best vids on youtube when it comes to what we do. the channel as a whole is really good too. youtube can be a goldmine for sports bettors if you know the right places to dig.
I read a few snippets of Sloan when it happened about this topic, but I was unaware that the entire conference was available. Thanks for this, IB; i'll take a look when i get an hour to spare
Comment
EXhoosier10
SBR MVP
07-06-09
3122
#5047
Not impressed with Arizona's lienup today, NC. wRC+'s for Ari, Pit, leadoff through 8 hitters. wRC+ is weighted so 100 is average, 116 is 16% above avg, 95 is 5% below average
116, 95
116, 122
160, 129
91, 115
90, 98
87, 122
79, 100
34, 71
Averages to be 96 for ARI and 106 for PIT, median of 90 and 108. So 10-20% difference in offense, give or take. Seattle and houston's offense is usually 85-95 on average. Pitt's offense is slightly above league average.
Just some food for thought. +150 is still pretty good odds
Comment
EXhoosier10
SBR MVP
07-06-09
3122
#5048
only afternoon play for the day. Stl -120 ~ .75u
Stl -1RL +107 ~ 1.25u
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#5049
ARI FF +0.5 -105 (2.1U to win 2) ARI FF +142 (1U to win 1.42)
I will live bet accordingly if the Snakes are losing after 5.
Also like the Cards early.
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#5050
Originally posted by EXhoosier10
Not impressed with Arizona's lienup today, NC. wRC+'s for Ari, Pit, leadoff through 8 hitters. wRC+ is weighted so 100 is average, 116 is 16% above avg, 95 is 5% below average
116, 95
116, 122
160, 129
91, 115
90, 98
87, 122
79, 100
34, 71
Averages to be 96 for ARI and 106 for PIT, median of 90 and 108. So 10-20% difference in offense, give or take. Seattle and houston's offense is usually 85-95 on average. Pitt's offense is slightly above league average.
Just some food for thought. +150 is still pretty good odds
Hope the numbers mean nothing, Ex. At +130, I'm not interested in this one. I still think the price is right now though.
Comment
EXhoosier10
SBR MVP
07-06-09
3122
#5051
Originally posted by No coincidences
Hope the numbers mean nothing, Ex. At +130, I'm not interested in this one. I still think the price is right now though.
Earlier in the season I would have played this with you no doubt. Trying to be more selective as the season winds down. You've got it right fading Locke though. Hope zona lights him up for ya
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#5052
Originally posted by EXhoosier10
Earlier in the season I would have played this with you no doubt. Trying to be more selective as the season winds down. You've got it right fading Locke though. Hope zona lights him up for ya
ARI TT over 3 (1.25U to win 1)
I'm sure Locke will have what has become a typical day for him: 6 IP, 21 H, 12 BB, 2 ER.
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#5053
Also think the BoSox win, but no play there.
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#5054
4-4, +3.41U Friday
458-464, +55U thread
Comment
pacocn
SBR Posting Legend
07-05-10
12934
#5055
Originally posted by No coincidences
4-4, +3.41U Friday
458-464, +55U thread
Coiner, great work!!!!!!Keep it going
Comment
EXhoosier10
SBR MVP
07-06-09
3122
#5056
Almost played boston as well, but backed off due to kuroda.
8/17 Evening Leans:
TB -150 and probably RL +139 (2u)
SF -136/+120 RL (2u)
Det -180/+110 RL (2u)
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#5057
Originally posted by EXhoosier10
Almost played boston as well, but backed off due to kuroda.
8/17 Evening Leans:
TB -150 and probably RL +139 (2u)
SF -136/+120 RL (2u)
Det -180/+110 RL (2u)
I want to hammer Detroit.
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#5058
Leaning DET, WAS, CHW, SEA and NYM for later.
Comment
EXhoosier10
SBR MVP
07-06-09
3122
#5059
TB -150 ~ 2u
TB -1RL -106 ~ 2u
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#5060
Teflocke.
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#5061
About time this bum gets his shit caved in.
Comment
EXhoosier10
SBR MVP
07-06-09
3122
#5062
Nice call with 'zona, NC.
Lines look like they'll fall for Det and SF IMO, so i'm holding off a bit longer before playing them
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#5063
Originally posted by EXhoosier10
Nice call with 'zona, NC.
Lines look like they'll fall for Det and SF IMO, so i'm holding off a bit longer before playing them
Not sure what to think about SF, but they've played well the past few games so that's probably a good bet.
Tigers always burn me, but this is a huge pitching mismatch, no matter what happened last night.
Comment
EXhoosier10
SBR MVP
07-06-09
3122
#5064
Beautiful play by Jon Jay. Starlin catches a popup with bases loaded no outs and Castro puts his head down after the catch while jay tags up and scores. I wish the cubs traded him last year
Comment
El Nino
SBR Posting Legend
05-03-12
18426
#5065
Originally posted by No coincidences
About time this bum gets his shit caved in.
So Hurdle could have yanked Locke at 5-0 and it still is a game. Yet he lets him get hit 2 more times and gives up a dinger to Prado? Where's the logic there? Have to yank him with 2 outs anyway. Could be 5-4 or 6-4 and still a ball game.
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#5066
Originally posted by EXhoosier10
Beautiful play by Jon Jay. Starlin catches a popup with bases loaded no outs and Castro puts his head down after the catch while jay tags up and scores. I wish the cubs traded him last year
Instead they give him a huge extension, thus giving him zero reason/motivation to improve.
Castro is such a f\*\*k up. Lazy piece of shit.
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#5067
Originally posted by El Nino
So Hurdle could have yanked Locke at 5-0 and it still is a game. Yet he lets him get hit 2 more times and gives up a dinger to Prado? Where's the logic there? Have to yank him with 2 outs anyway. Could be 5-4 or 6-4 and still a ball game.
I've never been convinced Hurdle is that good of a manager, but whatever.
"Team of destiny"....
Comment
t-bone
SBR MVP
03-18-08
3732
#5068
Originally posted by No coincidences
ARI FF +0.5 -105 (2.1U to win 2) ARI FF +142 (1U to win 1.42)
I will live bet accordingly if the Snakes are losing after 5.
Also like the Cards early.
......you are the fvckin man! Awesome plays.
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#5069
Originally posted by t-bone
......you are the fvckin man! Awesome plays.
Thanks t.
Comment
El Nino
SBR Posting Legend
05-03-12
18426
#5070
Originally posted by No coincidences
I've never been convinced Hurdle is that good of a manager, but whatever.
"Team of destiny"....
Yeah, thought leaving him out there after Cahill knocked 2 in that he's just telling him team, "We'll win the series tomorrow." Two more hits then he's facing Prado, Goldy, and Hill who is on fire. I know there was 2 outs, but Locke was basically a human pitching machine. He wasn't beating anyone.
Comment
EXhoosier10
SBR MVP
07-06-09
3122
#5071
Playing TB, SF, and Det each -1 for 1.5u and ML for 1u.
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#5072
DET -172 (3.44U to win 2) WAS +110 (1U to win 1.1)
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#5073
CHW FF -140 (2.8U to win 2) WAS FF -110 (1.1U to win 1)
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#5074
Originally posted by EXhoosier10
Playing TB, SF, and Det each -1 for 1.5u and ML for 1u.