Mine is Red Sox over 82.5, -105. The starting pitching going to carry them to at least 85 wins.
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Come on, folks, let's get some discussion going in here -- I'll be in Vegas on Thursday and may want to get some plays down.Comment -
Toronto Under 89 is my favorite
I like Boston to bounce back, but their rotation is a bunch of low #2 / #3 pitchers. It's going to hard to them to beat up on anyone's ace. Yes their offense will be good and their bullpen should stabilize a bit with hanrahan, but who is going to be the guy to go up against against sabathia, kuroda, any 1-4 of Toronto, Price, Moore, etc? Lester's stats have been falling off for 3 years now and velo is down to 92.6 from 93.7, so i'm betting it won't be him.
I don't like the win total market much this year for the teams i've looked at, so toronto is my only play at the momentComment -
Thanks for your thoughts, Hoos. But what's your reasoning behind the Toronto under?Comment -
They were a 70ish win team last year after removing luck from hit sequencing and such using pythagorean wins.
I expect regression from Encarnacion and Morrow, Bautista for a full year will pretty much wash that out. So DIckey Reyes JJ Buehrle need to net more than a 17 win difference to hit the over. Lawrie being hurt and Rasmus not getting any better doesn't bode well for them breaking out. I don't project Reyes to play an entire season and JJ isn't a #1 based on his second half numbers from last year.
Overall, they need all star years from dickey reyes jj and even buehrle to get 90 wins, and i don't see that happening.Comment -
Like the analysis, Hoos, you are a bad-ass mofo.
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