July 16 Ganchalysis

[Ganchrow]

White Sox 53% - Both starters are likely to get hit here. Wright has been pitching well of late, but the White Sox lineup is a strong step up from the lineups he did well against recently. The Yankees have a diminished offense right now, but they should still be productive against Garcia. Wright's likely low inning total will hurt the Yankees, because the powerful White Sox lineup will get a decent look at the Yankees' vulnerable setup relievers.

Florida 54% - Both of the young starters for this game have a high degree of uncertainty to their likely performances. Buchholz has been batting a sore finger, which is not a good sign. Olsen has been sharp at home and is more likely to have a strong outing.

[Ganchrow]

Angels 68% - Colon is likely to have another strong start. The Tampa Bay lineup is weak right now, and they are similar to the Seattle lineup Colon threw so well against in his last start. Fossum is also likely to have a better than average start for him, but the Angels will have a moderate edge in all ares of this game, combining to give them a substantial edge overall.

[Ganchrow]

Milwaukee 53% - Bush has been very effective for a while now, and he is likely to be so again here. Vargas is less likely to have a strong game, and Milwaukee will have a solid lineup edge as well. Milwaukee's bullpen has been awful for some time now, and that is likely to factor in here, greatly reducing their edge for the game overall.

[Ganchrow]

Mets 58% - Marshall has had trouble of late, and has been very bad in the daytime this year, and going up against the Mets' strong lineup will likely continue that trend for one more game. Hernandez is very erratic but his extended rest due to the break is likely to benefit him. Many of his recent starts have been very sharp, and he is likely to have another quality start here. Still, he has also had problems in the daytime this year, and his volatility is a cause for concern. The Mets do also have more talent and depth in their bullpen, giving them an edge if both starters get hit. Wagner vs Dempster gives the Mets another big edge in the closer category.