Is everyone at SBR gonna take a bath on the under tonight?

[Jayvegas420]

In the last 20 game sevens played in the MLB .....14 have been overs with one push.
Game sevens tend to drain the bullpens so, I would have been on board with the under but, it appears that game sevens are more often than not overs.
Whether they are set at 6.5 or 7 or 7.5.
I haven't read a post all day where members have the over.
Not cheering for anyone to lose the under but, I'll go on record as the apparent 1st over bettor tonight.
OVER 6.5 -130
OVER 7 +120

[aufordboy]

I'm on O 6.5 -110 for a large play...BOL tonight

[turbozed]

Lots of stranded runners for SF last game and Lohse wasn't sharped and bailed out. Cain looked good but not unbeatable. Weather looks to be windy and terrible. Might ride the over with you.

Maybe O 3.5 first five for +115. Haven't seen that line in a while.

[Jayvegas420]

Bet Confirmation - XX1838999320I - Internet Time of bet: 10/22/2012 14:20:59 Print

Selections

1 CHI Bears -7.5 DET Lions @ CHI Bears (Point Spread) 10/22/2012 None +115 To Run 2 (K Lohse & Matt Cain must start) Over 7.0 Pitcher details STL Cardinals(K Lohse) @ SF Giants(M Cain) (Game Totals) 10/22/2012 None +115 To Run

Parlays Round Robin/2 Play Parlays 1 20.00 20.00 72.45

The line moved right before I bet it.
That's a typical maneauver at 365.
anyway, not a huge bet as standards go at SBR but, none the less, it's not an air bet & it's all I had left.

[yisman]

Maybe O 3.5 first five for +115. Haven't seen that line in a while.

Why do you say that? There have been games with lower totals this postseason.

[Jayvegas420]

I think game one Yanks/Det was 3 flat.

[yisman]

A lot of games with 6.5 totals this postseason. There have even been a few 6s (and obviously the first five total is heavily correlated).

[Jayvegas420]

What do you have tonight Yis?

[yisman]

I'm taking the Cardinals but I have no advice.

[Jayvegas420]

Good to hear.
I don't like fading your picks!
GL

[yisman]

I can't bet with Bovada, but if I could, I'd bet +400 on no homer tonight.

[Jayvegas420]

Calvin Ayer's site.
Good luck getting paid!
Canadian Criminal!

[yisman]

Heritage had that bet for Game 6 but they didn't post it for tonight

[dredmahawkus]

I can't bet with Bovada, but if I could, I'd bet +400 on no homer tonight.

mistake? +400?

[yisman]

It was the same line for game 6.

[yisman]

I just went to Heritage chat and they refused to post the prop for tonight.

[yisman]

Two props:

yes score in first +150 (DSI)
over 22.5 HRE (-130) - Bet Islands

[turbozed]

Why do you say that? There have been games with lower totals this postseason.

I don't remember there being a 3.5 over at + money in this series but I could be mistaken. I took it at -115 in Game 4.

[yisman]

Heritage just posted the no homer prop at +350

[yisman]

I don't remember there being a 3.5 over at + money in this series but I could be mistaken. I took it at -115 in Game 4.

game 2 had the same total as this game

[turbozed]

Lots of stranded runners for SF last game and Lohse wasn't sharped and bailed out. Cain looked good but not unbeatable. Weather looks to be windy and terrible. Might ride the over with you.

Maybe O 3.5 first five for +115. Haven't seen that line in a while.

That was easy

[yisman]

nice pick jay

[yisman]

one thing I've noticed about games at SF:

money always comes in late on the under (at least it has since June, when I've been betting totals), so I can wait and get a better line.

at heritage you can move the line up to 1.5 runs down so I waited and:

49355982-1	10/22/2012 5:07PM	Total	312.00	150.00	Baseball - 927 St. Louis Cardinals/San Francisco Giants over 5 -208 buying 1½ for Game
49355996-1	10/22/2012 5:08PM	Total	37.25	25.00	Baseball - 927 St. Louis Cardinals/San Francisco Giants over 5½ -149 buying 1 for Game

unfortunately I'm going to lose my cards bets, but oh well.

[turbozed]

one thing I've noticed about games at SF:

money always comes in late on the under (at least it has since June, when I've been betting totals), so I can wait and get a better line.

at heritage you can move the line up to 1.5 runs down so I waited and:

49355982-1	10/22/2012 5:07PM	Total	312.00	150.00	Baseball - 927 St. Louis Cardinals/San Francisco Giants over 5 -208 buying 1½ for Game
49355996-1	10/22/2012 5:08PM	Total	37.25	25.00	Baseball - 927 St. Louis Cardinals/San Francisco Giants over 5½ -149 buying 1 for Game

unfortunately I'm going to lose my cards bets, but oh well.

Thanks for the info as I will probably bet some totals in the WS.

[yisman]

no problem, it's pretty strange to have the movement always going one way, but I have never seen late money come in on the over on a game in SF.

Several times the total was 7, late money sent it down to 6.5, and I was then able to get over 5 (which is my favorite baseball bet when I can do it).

[yisman]

late meaningless Belt homer buried my no homer bet

[yisman]

re: san francisco totals

it just happened again

10/24/12 07:47:11pm	6½ Over +108 Under -119
10/24/12 07:44:30pm	6½ Over +106 Under -117
10/24/12 07:43:48pm	6½ Over +104 Under -115
10/24/12 07:27:17pm	6½ Over +102 Under -113
10/24/12 07:25:23pm	6½ Over +102 Under -112
10/24/12 06:29:08pm	6½ Over -102 Under -108
10/24/12 04:59:25pm	6½ Over -105 Under -105
10/24/12 04:42:17pm	6½ Over -110 Under +100
10/24/12 04:42:13pm	7 Over +124 Under -137
10/24/12 12:36:16pm	7 Over +121 Under -134
10/24/12 11:40:10am	7 Over +120 Under -133
10/24/12 11:34:33am	7 Over +119 Under -131
10/24/12 04:37:16am	7 Over +118 Under -130
10/24/12 03:39:48am	7 Over +114 Under -126
10/24/12 01:07:06am	7 Over +120 Under -133
10/23/12 01:43:53pm	7 Over +120 Under -132
10/23/12 11:22:40am	7 Over +115 Under -127
10/23/12 11:22:24am	7 Over +113 Under -125