Today is the day I have been waiting for...playoff baseball! Nothing better then teams playing small ball, taking a pitch they would otherwise swing at, and playing like they are scared. Something like 70% of last years playoff baseball went UNDER the total. I look for that trend to continue today, and cash 2 EASY PLAYS. I have a strange feeling the dogs will bark also in one of the games.....I have evidence to support my theory. My playoff baseball bankroll is 50 units with each unit representing 100$ IE 5000$, my goal is to be at 15,000$ by the end.
Atlanta -172? Ok so it opened around -160 a "yankee like number" and early money has pushed it up a few points...that being said as a home favorite of -150 to -175 the total is 13-4 the last 17 games favoring the under!!! Medlen is on fire also and unless his nerves get the best of him....I see him shutting down that potent cards lineup. If you can get it at 7 pound it even at -125....it will dip to 6.5 at alot of places and that .5 run could mean a push or a loss. Also I will put in a small parlay with Atlanta and the under but the real money is in the under. Do not read too much into these games, there are no hidden traps in baseball like you see in football so often. (SIDENOTE...DO YOU REALLY THINK CHIPPER JONES DOSE NOT ADVANCE HERE, IN HIS LAST YEAR...)
Texas loses today......yes they do yes they do. I hate Baltimore as a city, i hate the people I hate the smell of the air. But it is in the cards that the orioles take this game....and I will take this ridiculous number of +200 and ride off into the sunset. It should be more like +125 but they are giving these rangers way to much credit. Yes the orioles just got bounced by the rays and yes texas is on a losing streak as of late. Oh and this stat they love to use that YU Darvish is 10-3 against teams he has never faced before....no shit he's been in the league how long? Baltimore is 15-9 as a road dog of +150 to +180....that is some serious profit there!!!The over and under is 9 and I am laughing all the way to the bank as again I pound the under. But the real value is in Buck Showalter and him pulling Joe Saunders at the first sign of a crinkle....and that bullpen is nasty. Do I think Yu is better then Joe...absolutely, but I like Baltimore to squeeze this one out and Davis to extend his homerun streak to 7 Games. I am on the under and the orioles. Also laying heavy on Baltimore + 1.5 as they are kings of one run games. Seriously you want to give me a run and a half and for no more the juice then a halftime line in football? Here are my Final Plays.
UNDER 7 RUNS ATLANTA FOR 2 UNITS
ATLANTA -172 AND UNDER 7 RUNS FOR 1 UNIT PARLAY
UNDER 9 RUNS BALTIMORE FOR 2 UNITS
BALTIMORE +195 FOR 1 UNITS
BALTIMORE +1.5 RUNS -125 FOR 4 UNITS
I am betting 20% of my playoff bankroll today and really hope these cash! Good luck All!!
Atlanta -172? Ok so it opened around -160 a "yankee like number" and early money has pushed it up a few points...that being said as a home favorite of -150 to -175 the total is 13-4 the last 17 games favoring the under!!! Medlen is on fire also and unless his nerves get the best of him....I see him shutting down that potent cards lineup. If you can get it at 7 pound it even at -125....it will dip to 6.5 at alot of places and that .5 run could mean a push or a loss. Also I will put in a small parlay with Atlanta and the under but the real money is in the under. Do not read too much into these games, there are no hidden traps in baseball like you see in football so often. (SIDENOTE...DO YOU REALLY THINK CHIPPER JONES DOSE NOT ADVANCE HERE, IN HIS LAST YEAR...)
Texas loses today......yes they do yes they do. I hate Baltimore as a city, i hate the people I hate the smell of the air. But it is in the cards that the orioles take this game....and I will take this ridiculous number of +200 and ride off into the sunset. It should be more like +125 but they are giving these rangers way to much credit. Yes the orioles just got bounced by the rays and yes texas is on a losing streak as of late. Oh and this stat they love to use that YU Darvish is 10-3 against teams he has never faced before....no shit he's been in the league how long? Baltimore is 15-9 as a road dog of +150 to +180....that is some serious profit there!!!The over and under is 9 and I am laughing all the way to the bank as again I pound the under. But the real value is in Buck Showalter and him pulling Joe Saunders at the first sign of a crinkle....and that bullpen is nasty. Do I think Yu is better then Joe...absolutely, but I like Baltimore to squeeze this one out and Davis to extend his homerun streak to 7 Games. I am on the under and the orioles. Also laying heavy on Baltimore + 1.5 as they are kings of one run games. Seriously you want to give me a run and a half and for no more the juice then a halftime line in football? Here are my Final Plays.
UNDER 7 RUNS ATLANTA FOR 2 UNITS
ATLANTA -172 AND UNDER 7 RUNS FOR 1 UNIT PARLAY
UNDER 9 RUNS BALTIMORE FOR 2 UNITS
BALTIMORE +195 FOR 1 UNITS
BALTIMORE +1.5 RUNS -125 FOR 4 UNITS
I am betting 20% of my playoff bankroll today and really hope these cash! Good luck All!!
