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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #1
    Thursday afternoon
    Some interesting numbers and intriguing matchups.

    I'd like to fade the Tigers, because Fister is way overvalued (he's struggled lately) and Mendoza has been halfway decent. They smell blood, though. Might have to consider KC TT over at the very least.

    I'll probably take Milwaukee, given I'm expecting the Reds to rest damn near everyone. Peralta's looked good so far for the Brew Crew, and I'm not sure how deep Latos will go here.

    Pittsburgh might be worth a small flyer. They're reeling, but Dickey's overpriced given the rest of the two teams are pretty much even. In reality, Dickey should probably be about -170 here -- not -200.

    I might like Seattle +190 most, depending on what happens tonight with the rest of this game. Iwakuma has been a very steady starter for the M's, and Haren is Haren.

    I don't see why you couldn't take these four big dogs and go 2-2 minimum with a profit. I probably like Milwaukee and Seattle more than Kc and Pittsburgh, though.
  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #2
    Angels won. Kind of like the Tigers -- hard to fade their momentum. Might give SEA +1.5 a try. I still love the idea of fading Haren, especially at that price.

    I'm guessing the Reds scab lineup will be announced tomorrow morning and the Brewers will close in the +110-115 range.
    Comment
    • BennyFang
      SBR MVP
      • 12-27-09
      • 1412

      #3
      I definitely look for value but the last couple weeks of the season get weird i.e. personal records, teams in must wins, others give up, AAA lineups. True value plays are hard to come by now; we're out of the daily grind phase. Both the Mets and Tigers are overvalued, true enough, but the Tigers have some drive right now as you stated....also last home game. The Mets are playing a team that has essentially quit. I doubt they'll be very disciplined today trying to hit a knuckleball. Dickey going for win 20 on the Mets last home date.

      I won't play that much chalk and I don't like -1 or runlines with home teams (potentially only 8 innings to bat), so I'm parlaying the two. Best of luck.
      Comment
      • OhMyEli
        SBR MVP
        • 07-17-12
        • 1164

        #4
        Thank you for some great fade fodder nocoin.
        Comment
        • Omaga
          SBR Sharp
          • 07-10-12
          • 460

          #5
          NC like your angles here..BOL. I took MIL (ML) TT O3.5 & No RUNS in the 1st. Also leaning TEX TT O5
          Comment
          • No coincidences
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-18-10
            • 76300

            #6
            Regular lineup for the Reds. Surprised.

            No play there.
            Comment
            • colts
              SBR MVP
              • 01-09-10
              • 1563

              #7
              In the late games, wash looks good @ -129 except the weather is bad. How about TB against wsox? Peavy is inconsistent.
              Comment
              • No coincidences
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 01-18-10
                • 76300

                #8
                Originally posted by colts
                In the late games, wash looks good @ -129 except the weather is bad. How about TB against wsox? Peavy is inconsistent.
                Hard to get a read on the White Sox or Peavy. TB's on fire, and Shields is "Big Game James." Something's telling me to steer clear, though.
                Comment
                • No coincidences
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 01-18-10
                  • 76300

                  #9
                  Going to roll the dice with the Pirates and KC +1.5.
                  Comment
                  • PAULYPOKER
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 12-06-08
                    • 36581

                    #10
                    You are playing power ball with the pirates coin...............
                    Comment
                    • No coincidences
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 01-18-10
                      • 76300

                      #11
                      Originally posted by PAULYPOKER
                      You are playing power ball with the pirates coin...............
                      I know.
                      Comment
                      • colts
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-09-10
                        • 1563

                        #12
                        Originally posted by No coincidences
                        Hard to get a read on the White Sox or Peavy. TB's on fire, and Shields is "Big Game James." Something's telling me to steer clear, though.
                        Thanks for the info. I took the giants.
                        Comment
                        • No coincidences
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-18-10
                          • 76300

                          #13
                          Going to go ahead and take Seattle RL and ML. See what happens.

                          GL on the Giants, colts.
                          Comment
                          • tatddy
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 03-02-10
                            • 10779

                            #14
                            GL today.
                            Comment
                            • italianbandit
                              SBR MVP
                              • 05-17-11
                              • 2622

                              #15
                              Can't pass up a Zito fade with + $. Actually liked LTs writeup on them today. GL all.
                              Comment
                              • No coincidences
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 01-18-10
                                • 76300

                                #16
                                Originally posted by tatddy
                                GL today.
                                You too tat.

                                Originally posted by italianbandit
                                Can't pass up a Zito fade with + $. Actually liked LTs writeup on them today. GL all.
                                Zito's actually been relatively OK lately. Don't see why the under isn't being considered there -- juice might be too high, though.
                                Comment
                                • colts
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-09-10
                                  • 1563

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by No coincidences
                                  Going to go ahead and take Seattle RL and ML. See what happens.

                                  GL on the Giants, colts.
                                  I can see the value in the sea lines...and as you stated Haren is Haren. GL to you too.
                                  Comment
                                  • No coincidences
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 01-18-10
                                    • 76300

                                    #18
                                    Faves 4-0 so far and leading two of the remaining three games.

                                    Unreal September for laying the juice this season.
                                    Comment
                                    • No coincidences
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 01-18-10
                                      • 76300

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by OhMyEli
                                      Thank you for some great fade fodder nocoin.
                                      Hope you enjoyed losing today.
                                      Comment
                                      • No coincidences
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 01-18-10
                                        • 76300

                                        #20
                                        I'll take a little flier with Miami RL (-125), ML (+178) and TT (over 3 -110) tonight.
                                        Comment
                                        • colts
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-09-10
                                          • 1563

                                          #21
                                          No coin - nice job with the Mariners ML and RL.
                                          Comment
                                          • No coincidences
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 01-18-10
                                            • 76300

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by colts
                                            No coin - nice job with the Mariners ML and RL.
                                            Thanks colts. Shouldn't have gone with the Marlins, though. Just a bunch of losers.

                                            Giants killed it for you. Weird line there.
                                            Comment
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