Three road dogs I really like Friday

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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #1
    Three road dogs I really like Friday
    SD +143 at San Francisco. Kelly has a live young arm, and while the Giants are coming off a sweep and rounding into their typical postseason form right now, Vogelsong's completely lost it. -155 against a divisional foe for a guy who has a career 7.47 ERA vs. the Pads and who's given up 35 ER in his last 29.1 IP?

    MIL +115 at Washington. Marcum hasn't won since early June and has looked a little shaky coming back from the DL, but Edwin Jackson's always fadeable and the Brewers are the hottest team this side of Baltimore right now.

    TOR +196 at Tampa Bay. Holy inflated line. I know the Rays are the superior team, but Villanueva's been an incredibly consistent starter for Toronto. Just wish Tampa hadn't pulled that miracle win out of their hat tonight; would've made this play a lot tastier. I'll still take my chances at this price.
  • lunchbawks
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-31-10
    • 12873

    #2
    like SD TT may not play game.. giants have been killing the ball
    laughed at the toronto line..how can jays be this bad?
    Comment
    • Hustler11
      SBR Sharp
      • 09-07-12
      • 356

      #3
      Tomorrows games are very hard to pick.
      Comment
      • PAULYPOKER
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 12-06-08
        • 36581

        #4
        OAKLAND
        Comment
        • face
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 01-31-11
          • 14740

          #5
          could definitely see padres smacking voglesong around. pitches are slow now
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          • EVPlus
            SBR MVP
            • 04-07-12
            • 1111

            #6
            I had a unit on the Pads today. What looked like an easy W turned into a one-run game. The bases were loaded with no outs at the bottom of the ninth. To Black's credit, he used five different relievers to close it out. So you have to factor in the emotional high of the win (a good spot for a let down) in addition to the tired bp. If you're going to take the Pads tomorrow (I'm not), be sure to check their bp status and know their starter has to go strong and deep into the game.
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            • No coincidences
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-18-10
              • 76300

              #7
              Originally posted by EVPlus
              I had a unit on the Pads today. What looked like an easy W turned into a one-run game. The bases were loaded with no outs at the bottom of the ninth. To Black's credit, he used five different relievers to close it out. So you have to factor in the emotional high of the win (a good spot for a let down) in addition to the tired bp. If you're going to take the Pads tomorrow (I'm not), be sure to check their bp status and know their starter has to go strong and deep into the game.
              True.
              Comment
              • NYSportsGuy210
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 11-07-09
                • 11347

                #8
                I am leaning Giants and Cardinals for Friday.
                Comment
                • tatddy
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 03-02-10
                  • 10779

                  #9
                  SD gets H Street back Friday as well. Good luck NC. Take them dogs on Friday.
                  Comment
                  • delpiero7
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 11-24-10
                    • 362

                    #10
                    Originally posted by face
                    could definitely see padres smacking voglesong around. pitches are slow now
                    Vogelsong recently hasn't been anywhere near what he was producing for the first 4 months of the season. He has been very hittable in his past 7 starts, with an ERA of over 10 in that span of games. So Padres should be able to register a few runs today.

                    However, Giant bats are also hot, having scored 52 runs in their last 10 home games. AT&T will be buzzing as always, especially with the Giants on the verge of making the postseason. It's highly possible that the Giants produce with the bat again tonight. That's without mentioning that the Pads have a rookie pitcher on the mound who has been roughed up in 2 of his 3 big league starts.

                    It is for that reason that I am going with OVER 7.5 runs at + money.
                    Comment
                    • tatddy
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 03-02-10
                      • 10779

                      #11
                      Total is 7.5 for a reason. Haven't checked this am but last night was heavily juiced and could drop to 7. It's there for a reason. Be careful.
                      Comment
                      • No coincidences
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 01-18-10
                        • 76300

                        #12
                        Also considering the White Sox at +121. Just trying to decide if there's enough of an advantage in the line, which seems about right given the circumstances. Every day is a good one to fade Ervin Santana.

                        I'd give Seattle a roll of the dice, but they're comatose at the plate right now.
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                        • No coincidences
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-18-10
                          • 76300

                          #13
                          Originally posted by tatddy
                          Total is 7.5 for a reason. Haven't checked this am but last night was heavily juiced and could drop to 7. It's there for a reason. Be careful.
                          Plus, the last few games in SF have gone over. Roll the dice again with an over there at your own peril.
                          Comment
                          • Ralphie1412
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 01-29-08
                            • 13963

                            #14
                            Just for the record....so you have abandoned TWO threads now both down 40 units

                            You dedicate your life to this and are down 80 units just recently.

                            Time for a new thread.
                            "This is why my basketball intelligence is unmatched on this site. I'm sure there are better cappers but no one can tell you the strategies of most coaches before the game even starts "
                            Goat Milk
                            Comment
                            • vyomguy
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 12-08-09
                              • 5794

                              #15
                              why jays?....must win games for rays now.
                              Comment
                              • BigDofBA
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 09-30-09
                                • 19313

                                #16
                                After sucking for the last three weeks I ripped off a 6-0 in soccer today....

                                I wonder how much I'll give back tonight in bases. I like the Brewers and Padres. Jays not so much. They always screw me.
                                Comment
                                • No coincidences
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 01-18-10
                                  • 76300

                                  #17
                                  Not really interested in the Brew Crew anymore.

                                  Toronto RL still a possibility.

                                  Who in the hell is backing Pittsburgh tonight?
                                  Comment
                                  • No coincidences
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 01-18-10
                                    • 76300

                                    #18
                                    White Sox are my favorite play at the moment.

                                    Pads TT over 3.5 looks good to at least roll the dice on.
                                    Comment
                                    • vyomguy
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 12-08-09
                                      • 5794

                                      #19
                                      look at arizona. gonzalez out and miley owns rockies.
                                      Comment
                                      • JamesBrown
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 04-07-08
                                        • 3860

                                        #20
                                        Like the Pads tonight NC. Worth a play IMO. BOL with your picks!
                                        Comment
                                        • No coincidences
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 01-18-10
                                          • 76300

                                          #21
                                          Going with the Pads, White Sox, Indians and maybe the Mariners. Good luck, ladies and germs.

                                          I like the D'Bags guys, but not at that price.
                                          Comment
                                          • No coincidences
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 01-18-10
                                            • 76300

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by JamesBrown
                                            Like the Pads tonight NC. Worth a play IMO. BOL with your picks!
                                            You too JB.
                                            Comment
                                            • NYSportsGuy210
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 11-07-09
                                              • 11347

                                              #23
                                              Another No Coin +EV post
                                              Comment
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