1st Daily Thread 8/9

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  • Stackzilla
    SBR MVP
    • 05-26-15
    • 3372

    #1
    1st Daily Thread 8/9
    Not much good action today, unless you want try your luck at the Olympic matches or one of the dozen frienemy matches that can either end the way you see it or the complete opposite aand about 80% of the time it's the complete opposite.

    Two nights ago I was looking ahead and decided to look into probably some of the toughest matches to cap and I after some research I got a few matches I think have a high % to win...

    EPL Cup....Tough to cap these your never sure if a team is playing to win or just wasting 90 mins. The team who wins the Cup gets an automatic entry for Europa League but a lot of these lower tier coaches wont play their best knowing that eventually a top tier team will beat them but there are some coaches who see this as an opportunity they wouldn't normally get once a year. Last League 2 team to make the final was Bradford City in 2012-2013 they beat Arsenal, Wigan, and Aston Villa.This Cup in particular is known for Giant Killers won't be any of those today top tier teams get a bye the 1st week so all we are dealing with is Championship, League 1, League 2 teams which doesn't make it any easier. I found a few trends that happen year after year road favs win at a high % and home favs are lose often. 2015 Home Fav W/L/D 9/9/3 Away Fav 7/4/4.....2014 Home Fav 9/6/2 Away Fav 8/1/2.....2013 Home Fav 12/4/3 Away Fav 8/3/1...There are a few games I disregarded if the odds were too clse together (ex. +135/+155). There is one team in particular who's coach has came out and said he will be playing his best team, also I have few teams playing are on my auto-fade list, and close to KO if I get line-ups of a few certain teams I may post others. Here's what I got....

    Nottingham +113
    Sheffield Wednesday +100
    Ipswich -177
    Shrewsbury +233

    Play or fade ...
    Last edited by Stackzilla; 08-09-16, 10:27 AM. Reason: Ipswich is playing Stevenage an auto-fade
  • O
    SBR MVP
    • 01-21-12
    • 1980

    #2
    Good luck man!
    Comment
    • chuda
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 05-27-14
      • 11076

      #3
      i was wondering no one this time makes english cup thread... i like to dip in but haven`t looked at anything all day... will check few team news....
      Comment
      • Stackzilla
        SBR MVP
        • 05-26-15
        • 3372

        #4
        Best bet chuda is Nottingham and if Shrewsbury has their new transfers Ivan Toney and Olly Lancashire should cash no problem
        Comment
        • Stackzilla
          SBR MVP
          • 05-26-15
          • 3372

          #5
          I was gonna look at France's Cup games and see if I could pick a draw


          Also I'm waiting to see Gillingham's +170 line-up Southend is a auto-fade
          Comment
          • chuda
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 05-27-14
            • 11076

            #6
            i like newport to win tonight against mk dons ...
            mk dons very young lineup... only gew first teamers on a bench.... at + money newport is worth for me...


            MK Dons starting XI to face Newport County: Nicholls; GB Williams, Wootton, Jackson, Tilney; Kasumu, Osei-Bonsu; Furlong, Rasulo, Thomas-Asante; Tshimanga.
            Comment
            • Stackzilla
              SBR MVP
              • 05-26-15
              • 3372

              #7
              I like it and if Newport gets those transfers in should cash, young players scare me tho you never know what their going to do but Nicholls the goalie has let in 26 goals in his last 20 starts only 6 clean sheets. I think I'm going to play the over. BOL to you
              Comment
              • chuda
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 05-27-14
                • 11076

                #8
                thinking to make something of this game maybe...
                mansfield blackburn
                both comes from defeats and both with strong lineups tonight... first XI with 3 - 4 changes for both...
                especially blackburn`s new boss wouldn`t want to get 2nd loss at helm and be out of cup in first week... blackburn is up @ 2.3 now...and i think strenghtwise bookies opening odds @ 1.9 on them was fair enough...
                will play inplay over goal line for half times there ...
                Comment
                • Stackzilla
                  SBR MVP
                  • 05-26-15
                  • 3372

                  #9
                  Alright I gotta stop I'm gonna keep finding plays lol last one

                  Bristol City +100

                  yea i was looking at that game too, in-play may be the way to go, it's all the draws each team have threw me off it
                  Last edited by Stackzilla; 08-09-16, 12:37 PM.
                  Comment
                  • Stackzilla
                    SBR MVP
                    • 05-26-15
                    • 3372

                    #10
                    Damn...Parlay

                    Ipswich -185
                    Wallsall -141
                    Bristol City -110

                    .2u
                    Comment
                    • Stackzilla
                      SBR MVP
                      • 05-26-15
                      • 3372

                      #11
                      Damn he didnt start Modric, Rodriguez, or Danilo. I knew Benzema wasnt going to start but damn Morata needs to find the net early and often....Let's Go Real!!!
                      Comment
                      • Stackzilla
                        SBR MVP
                        • 05-26-15
                        • 3372

                        #12
                        https://www.youtube.com/playlist?lis...zljtGhHN2E_jk0 you can find the super cup here there's a bunch of streamers
                        Comment
                        • Stackzilla
                          SBR MVP
                          • 05-26-15
                          • 3372

                          #13
                          Parlay
                          Ipswich -185
                          Wallsall -141
                          Bristol City -110
                          .2u L
                          Bristol City +100 W
                          Shrewsbury +233 W
                          Gillingham +170 W
                          Sheffield Wednesday +100 L
                          Ipswich -177 L
                          Nottingham +113 ​W

                          also posted a draw play in chuda's +200
                          Comment
                          • O
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-21-12
                            • 1980

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Stackzilla
                            Parlay
                            Ipswich -185
                            Wallsall -141
                            Bristol City -110
                            .2u L
                            Bristol City +100 W
                            Shrewsbury +233 W
                            Gillingham +170 W
                            Sheffield Wednesday +100 L
                            Ipswich -177 L
                            Nottingham +113 ​W

                            also posted a draw play in chuda's +200
                            Wish I saw these!! Nice hit!
                            Comment
                            • Stackzilla
                              SBR MVP
                              • 05-26-15
                              • 3372

                              #15
                              Parlay
                              Ipswich -185
                              Wallsall -141
                              Bristol City -110
                              .2u L
                              Bristol City +100 W
                              Shrewsbury +233 W
                              Gillingham +170 W
                              Sheffield Wednesday +100 L
                              Ipswich -177 L
                              Nottingham +113 ​W

                              Sochaux/Ajaccio Draw +200 W
                              Newport/Milton Keys o2.5 -105 W

                              Today 6-3 +5.14u

                              Could've been better. Stay tuned.
                              Comment
                              • Stackzilla
                                SBR MVP
                                • 05-26-15
                                • 3372

                                #16
                                USA/Colomba u3.5 -140

                                I've told myself to not play unders but 3.5 this may get to 3 but I don't think it's hitting 4

                                BTW all plays are to win 1u
                                so the loss on Ipswich was 1.77u to win 1
                                Comment
                                • O
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-21-12
                                  • 1980

                                  #17
                                  I HATE unders. I played one in 6 months two days ago and lost in the last 4 mins. USA you never know. They could knock in 3 in the 1H. GL!
                                  Comment
                                  • Stackzilla
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 05-26-15
                                    • 3372

                                    #18
                                    Yea I know, but looking at the stats USA isnt running it up, their not playing that up tempo offense we're always seeing from them. Probably saving it for the next round just trying to get the W without conceding. I got something you'll like

                                    Sweden/China o2.5 +132 .5u

                                    Only going a half here, both teams can score and get scored on. From looking at the stats and watching a few clips the 1st game for both teams they looked flat but the 2nd game China came out hard 12 SOG's 18 SOffG and Sweden was just dominated by Brazil and managed to score late but they ony had 3 SOG's and vs South Africa they had 4 and won 1-0. I'm thinking 2-2 FT
                                    Comment
                                    • O
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-21-12
                                      • 1980

                                      #19
                                      I like it!! I may do the 1H BTTS and - 1 to see how things go 1H and then bang it hard 2H if it is goalless. GL!
                                      Comment
                                      • Stackzilla
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 05-26-15
                                        • 3372

                                        #20
                                        Total mismatch in Copa Sudamericana . Junior from Colombia has a #138 World Ranking where Lara has #2297 Rank. Also Lara doesn't have the goal scorer who got them into the tourney Etchmaite

                                        Junior +123

                                        Junior has full squad
                                        Comment
                                        • Stackzilla
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 05-26-15
                                          • 3372

                                          #21
                                          I may have 1 more Copa pick later waiting to see line-ups like I did with ^
                                          Comment
                                          • Stackzilla
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 05-26-15
                                            • 3372

                                            #22
                                            Seriously Junior scores in the 1st min then Lara scores in the 2nd wtf
                                            Comment
                                            • Stackzilla
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 05-26-15
                                              • 3372

                                              #23
                                              Tampa Bay +165 .5u

                                              Smyly is starting to get into form and playing well. I think Estrada gets shelled tonight.
                                              Comment
                                              • Stackzilla
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 05-26-15
                                                • 3372

                                                #24
                                                Colombian defenders looking like Keystone Cops when it hit the cross bar.....hahahaha
                                                Comment
                                                • O
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-21-12
                                                  • 1980

                                                  #25
                                                  Duuuuude! We might eek this one out!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Stackzilla
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 05-26-15
                                                    • 3372

                                                    #26
                                                    Nothing short of a miracle if the under holds. Junior and Lara still 1-1 wtf 1st goal 1st min, 2nd goal 2min then crickets...

                                                    Emelec+126
                                                    Emelec/U. de Deportes o2 -117
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Stackzilla
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 05-26-15
                                                      • 3372

                                                      #27
                                                      That's it im gonna go watch the sox and A Roid upset he's only playing 1 game penetrate that guy
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Stackzilla
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 05-26-15
                                                        • 3372

                                                        #28
                                                        Haha Junior scores to make it 1-2 whoo
                                                        Comment
                                                        • O
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-21-12
                                                          • 1980

                                                          #29
                                                          UNfing real..... dude that's my fault. I'm cursed today and on Sunday.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Stackzilla
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 05-26-15
                                                            • 3372

                                                            #30
                                                            Thats just crazy no one couldve expected them to win. No matter Junior just won at +123 covers some of the juice on the under. Now to hit this over, TB, and Emelec. I'm having another good day.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Stackzilla
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 05-26-15
                                                              • 3372

                                                              #31
                                                              Damn I wasn't even thinking, I don't think they even need to score. Goal differential I think they can ride this out 0-0 and both go on. I'm not sure about that though. Last pick of the night, I got some South Korea K-League games lined up but I'll start a new daily for those.

                                                              Zacatecas -1 -110
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Stackzilla
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 05-26-15
                                                                • 3372

                                                                #32
                                                                8/9 11-5 +9.6u
                                                                Almost hit +10 ...Stay Tuned
                                                                Any pick with juice was to win 1 unit
                                                                Parlay
                                                                Ipswich -185
                                                                Wallsall -141
                                                                Bristol City -110
                                                                .2u L
                                                                Bristol City +100 W
                                                                Shrewsbury +233 W
                                                                Gillingham +170 W
                                                                Sheffield Wednesday +100 L
                                                                Ipswich -177 L
                                                                Nottingham +113 ​W
                                                                USA/Colomba u3.5 -140 LSochaux/Ajaccio Draw +200 W
                                                                Newport/Milton Keys o2.5 -105 W
                                                                Sweden/China o2.5 +132 .5u L
                                                                Junior +123 W
                                                                Tampa Bay +165 .5u W
                                                                Emelec+126 W
                                                                Emelec/U. de Deportes o2 -117 W
                                                                Zacatecas -1 -110 W


                                                                End of Thread....
                                                                Comment
                                                                • O
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-21-12
                                                                  • 1980

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Good work man!!!
                                                                  Comment
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