SBR $10k bowl contest discussion

[daneblazer]

Once they release the spreadsheet I can run something to tally the amount of plays on a certain team. Just by giving it a brief look, Air Force/w mich, western Kentucky, Bama/ohio state, Colorado state/Utah, Baylor/mich state GT/miss st are shaping up to be big swing games. USC on a ton of teams

[daneblazer]

USC on 39 teams now compared to 4 for Nebraska

[newguy]

They post spreadsheet yet?

[BigDeem5]

Lotta donkeys or what?

[newguy]

Team	1	2	3	Total Units
201 Nevada -1	5	5	4	27
202 Louisiana-Lafayette +1	6	6	3	27
203 UTEP +10	9	6	2	27
204 utah st -10	2	1	4	16
205 Utah -3	3	10	11	56
206 colorado st +3	9	13	6	53
207 W. MICHIGAN+1.5	12	6	16	72
208 Air Force. -1.5	7	6	6	37
209 South Alabama -3	5	3		11
210 Bowling Green +3	4	10	7	45
211 BYU +1.5	3	2	3	16
212 memphis-1.5	9	5	11	52
213 Northern Illinois + 10	12	11	12	70
214 Marshall -10	2		3	11
215 Navy +3	3	7	10	47
216 SAN DIEGO ST.-3	5	9	5	38
217 Central Michigan +3.5	2	5	6	30
218 Western Kentucky -3.5	6	7	12	56
219 Fresno State +2	4	3		10
220 Rice -2	9	3	6	33
221 Illinois +6	4	2	1	11
222 Louisiana Tech -6	6	6	6	36
223 Rutgers +3	4	2		8
224 North Carolina -3	7	6	4	31
225 NC State +2	1	4	1	12
226 UCF - 2	6	5	10	46
227 Virgina Tech +3	5	5	3	24
228 Cincinnati -3	3	7		17
229 Duke +7.5	6	8	6	40
230 ARIZONA ST.-7.5	4	5	3	23
231 Miami -4	6	3	1	15
232 South Carolina +4	6	9	9	51
233 Penn State +2.5	7	4	2	21
234 Boston College -2.5	5	6	5	32
235 Nebraska +6.5	2	1	2	10
236 USC -6.5	9	12	19	90
237 West Virginia -3.5	1	1	1	6
238 Texas A&M +3.5	6	5	6	34
239 Clemson +3	2	2	3	15
240 Oklahoma -3	12	13	4	50
241 Texas +6	1	2		5
242 Arkansas. -6	4	8	4	32
243 LSU -7	3	5	3	22
244 LSU - 7	11	6	8	47
245 Louisville +6.5	5	2	5	24
246 Georgia -6.5	6	10	6	44
247 Maryland +14	3	1	2	11
248 Stanford -14	2	7	5	31
249 Ole Miss +3	2	1	4	16
250 TCU -3	11	11	13	72
251 Boise State +3.5	5	10	12	61
252 Arizona -3.5	5	8	11	54
253 Georgia Tech +6.5	13	4	4	33
254 Mississippi State -6.5	8	5	1	21
255 Wisconsin +6.5	4	1	3	15
256 Auburn -6.5	8	9	8	50
257 MICHIGAN ST.+3	8	10	11	61
258 Baylor -3	4	5	7	35
259 minnesota +5	8	6	2	26
260 MISSOURI-5	5	6	4	29
261 florida st+9.5	11	11	16	81
262 Oregon -9.5	4	2	4	20
263 Ohio State +9.5	7	6	11	52
264 Alabama -9.5	6	3	8	36
265 Pitt -3	6	4	5	29
266 Houston +3	3	4		11
267 IOWA+3.5	7	2	3	20
268 Tennessee -3.5	6	5	2	22
269 UCLA +1	7	8	13	62
270 Kanas State -1	7	3	5	28
271 Oklahoma State +5.5	2	3		8
272 Washington -5.5	3	7	7	38
273 East Carolina +7	8	8	7	45
274 Florida -7	2	2		6
275 Toledo -3	5	9	13	62
276 Arkansas State +3	1	3		7

[newguy]

Someone should probably check that math - I tried to correct data errors but sure I missed some

[playersonly69]

One HELL of a job NEWGUY!

[seaborneq]

Someone should probably check that math - I tried to correct data errors but sure I missed some

LSU -7 twice instead of ND+7. Otherwise looks good

[newguy]

Team	1	2	3	Total Units
201 Nevada -1	5	5	4	27
202 Louisiana-Lafayette +1	6	6	3	27
203 UTEP +10	9	6	2	27
204 utah st -10	2	1	4	16
205 Utah -3	3	10	11	56
206 colorado st +3	9	13	6	53
207 W. MICHIGAN+1.5	12	6	16	72
208 Air Force. -1.5	7	6	6	37
209 South Alabama -3	5	3		11
210 Bowling Green +3	4	10	7	45
211 BYU +1.5	3	2	3	16
212 memphis-1.5	9	5	11	52
213 Northern Illinois + 10	12	11	12	70
214 Marshall -10	2		3	11
215 Navy +3	3	7	10	47
216 SAN DIEGO ST.-3	5	9	5	38
217 Central Michigan +3.5	2	5	6	30
218 Western Kentucky -3.5	6	7	12	56
219 Fresno State +2	4	3		10
220 Rice -2	9	3	6	33
221 Illinois +6	4	2	1	11
222 Louisiana Tech -6	6	6	6	36
223 Rutgers +3	4	2		8
224 North Carolina -3	7	6	4	31
225 NC State +2	1	4	1	12
226 UCF - 2	6	5	10	46
227 Virgina Tech +3	5	5	3	24
228 Cincinnati -3	3	7		17
229 Duke +7.5	6	8	6	40
230 ARIZONA ST.-7.5	4	5	3	23
231 Miami -4	6	3	1	15
232 South Carolina +4	6	9	9	51
233 Penn State +2.5	7	4	2	21
234 Boston College -2.5	5	6	5	32
235 Nebraska +6.5	2	1	2	10
236 USC -6.5	9	12	19	90
237 West Virginia -3.5	1	1	1	6
238 Texas A&M +3.5	6	5	6	34
239 Clemson +3	2	2	3	15
240 Oklahoma -3	12	13	4	50
241 Texas +6	1	2		5
242 Arkansas. -6	4	8	4	32
243 Notre Dame +7	3	5	3	22
244 LSU - 7	11	6	8	47
245 Louisville +6.5	5	2	5	24
246 Georgia -6.5	6	10	6	44
247 Maryland +14	3	1	2	11
248 Stanford -14	2	7	5	31
249 Ole Miss +3	2	1	4	16
250 TCU -3	11	11	13	72
251 Boise State +3.5	5	10	12	61
252 Arizona -3.5	5	8	11	54
253 Georgia Tech +6.5	13	4	4	33
254 Mississippi State -6.5	8	5	1	21
255 Wisconsin +6.5	4	1	3	15
256 Auburn -6.5	8	9	8	50
257 MICHIGAN ST.+3	8	10	11	61
258 Baylor -3	4	5	7	35
259 minnesota +5	8	6	2	26
260 MISSOURI-5	5	6	4	29
261 florida st+9.5	11	11	16	81
262 Oregon -9.5	4	2	4	20
263 Ohio State +9.5	7	6	11	52
264 Alabama -9.5	6	3	8	36
265 Pitt -3	6	4	5	29
266 Houston +3	3	4		11
267 IOWA+3.5	7	2	3	20
268 Tennessee -3.5	6	5	2	22
269 UCLA +1	7	8	13	62
270 Kanas State -1	7	3	5	28
271 Oklahoma State +5.5	2	3		8
272 Washington -5.5	3	7	7	38
273 East Carolina +7	8	8	7	45
274 Florida -7	2	2		6
275 Toledo -3	5	9	13	62
276 Arkansas State +3	1	3		7

[newguy]

Added a couple of columns - not saying this means anything at all but just so you don't have to do the math if you care

Team	1	2	3	Total Units	% Units	% Bets
201 Nevada -1	5	5	4	27	50.0%	48.3%
202 Louisiana-Lafayette +1	6	6	3	27	50.0%	51.7%
203 UTEP +10	9	6	2	27	62.8%	70.8%
204 utah st -10	2	1	4	16	37.2%	29.2%
205 Utah -3	3	10	11	56	51.4%	46.2%
206 colorado st +3	9	13	6	53	48.6%	53.8%
207 W. MICHIGAN+1.5	12	6	16	72	66.1%	64.2%
208 Air Force. -1.5	7	6	6	37	33.9%	35.8%
209 South Alabama -3	5	3		11	19.6%	27.6%
210 Bowling Green +3	4	10	7	45	80.4%	72.4%
211 BYU +1.5	3	2	3	16	23.5%	24.2%
212 memphis-1.5	9	5	11	52	76.5%	75.8%
213 Northern Illinois + 10	12	11	12	70	86.4%	87.5%
214 Marshall -10	2		3	11	13.6%	12.5%
215 Navy +3	3	7	10	47	55.3%	51.3%
216 SAN DIEGO ST.-3	5	9	5	38	44.7%	48.7%
217 Central Michigan +3.5	2	5	6	30	34.9%	34.2%
218 Western Kentucky -3.5	6	7	12	56	65.1%	65.8%
219 Fresno State +2	4	3		10	23.3%	28.0%
220 Rice -2	9	3	6	33	76.7%	72.0%
221 Illinois +6	4	2	1	11	23.4%	28.0%
222 Louisiana Tech -6	6	6	6	36	76.6%	72.0%
223 Rutgers +3	4	2		8	20.5%	26.1%
224 North Carolina -3	7	6	4	31	79.5%	73.9%
225 NC State +2	1	4	1	12	20.7%	22.2%
226 UCF - 2	6	5	10	46	79.3%	77.8%
227 Virgina Tech +3	5	5	3	24	58.5%	56.5%
228 Cincinnati -3	3	7		17	41.5%	43.5%
229 Duke +7.5	6	8	6	40	63.5%	62.5%
230 ARIZONA ST.-7.5	4	5	3	23	36.5%	37.5%
231 Miami -4	6	3	1	15	22.7%	29.4%
232 South Carolina +4	6	9	9	51	77.3%	70.6%
233 Penn State +2.5	7	4	2	21	39.6%	44.8%
234 Boston College -2.5	5	6	5	32	60.4%	55.2%
235 Nebraska +6.5	2	1	2	10	10.0%	11.1%
236 USC -6.5	9	12	19	90	90.0%	88.9%
237 West Virginia -3.5	1	1	1	6	15.0%	15.0%
238 Texas A&M +3.5	6	5	6	34	85.0%	85.0%
239 Clemson +3	2	2	3	15	23.1%	19.4%
240 Oklahoma -3	12	13	4	50	76.9%	80.6%
241 Texas +6	1	2		5	13.5%	15.8%
242 Arkansas. -6	4	8	4	32	86.5%	84.2%
243 Notre Dame +7	3	5	3	22	31.9%	30.6%
244 LSU - 7	11	6	8	47	68.1%	69.4%
245 Louisville +6.5	5	2	5	24	35.3%	35.3%
246 Georgia -6.5	6	10	6	44	64.7%	64.7%
247 Maryland +14	3	1	2	11	26.2%	30.0%
248 Stanford -14	2	7	5	31	73.8%	70.0%
249 Ole Miss +3	2	1	4	16	18.2%	16.7%
250 TCU -3	11	11	13	72	81.8%	83.3%
251 Boise State +3.5	5	10	12	61	53.0%	52.9%
252 Arizona -3.5	5	8	11	54	47.0%	47.1%
253 Georgia Tech +6.5	13	4	4	33	61.1%	60.0%
254 Mississippi State -6.5	8	5	1	21	38.9%	40.0%
255 Wisconsin +6.5	4	1	3	15	23.1%	24.2%
256 Auburn -6.5	8	9	8	50	76.9%	75.8%
257 MICHIGAN ST.+3	8	10	11	61	63.5%	64.4%
258 Baylor -3	4	5	7	35	36.5%	35.6%
259 minnesota +5	8	6	2	26	47.3%	51.6%
260 MISSOURI-5	5	6	4	29	52.7%	48.4%
261 florida st+9.5	11	11	16	81	80.2%	79.2%
262 Oregon -9.5	4	2	4	20	19.8%	20.8%
263 Ohio State +9.5	7	6	11	52	59.1%	58.5%
264 Alabama -9.5	6	3	8	36	40.9%	41.5%
265 Pitt -3	6	4	5	29	72.5%	68.2%
266 Houston +3	3	4		11	27.5%	31.8%
267 IOWA+3.5	7	2	3	20	47.6%	48.0%
268 Tennessee -3.5	6	5	2	22	52.4%	52.0%
269 UCLA +1	7	8	13	62	68.9%	65.1%
270 Kanas State -1	7	3	5	28	31.1%	34.9%
271 Oklahoma State +5.5	2	3		8	17.4%	22.7%
272 Washington -5.5	3	7	7	38	82.6%	77.3%
273 East Carolina +7	8	8	7	45	88.2%	85.2%
274 Florida -7	2	2		6	11.8%	14.8%
275 Toledo -3	5	9	13	62	89.9%	87.1%
276 Arkansas State +3	1	3		7	10.1%	12.9%

[Iwinyourmoney]

Good info

[daneblazer]

Two big games tomorrow. Navy/sdsu big swing game

[newguy]

If you had bet every game where 75% or more of the units were bet on one side (i.e. followed the consensus) - you would be 8-5 right now. There are 5 more games left (note these were the lines the consensus was bet on):

Auburn -6.5
Florida St +9.5
East Carolina +7
Washington -5.5
Toledo -3

Can the consensus keep winning? Or can you fade these and go at least 3-2?

[daneblazer]

If you had bet every game where 75% or more of the units were bet on one side (i.e. followed the consensus) - you would be 8-5 right now. There are 5 more games left (note these were the lines the consensus was bet on):

Auburn -6.5
Florida St +9.5
East Carolina +7
Washington -5.5
Toledo -3

Can the consensus keep winning? Or can you fade these and go at least 3-2?

looks like no

[mp5070]

[brooks85]

so many people on toledo tonight

[daneblazer]

so many people on toledo tonight

Ya...don't think anybody within punching distance has Ark St and nobody took them as a 3*. If they don't cover it leaves several more teams in it for the final game, but the standings won't really even change.

If Toledo covers, I have a shot at 1st place with one team and last with another. Anyone ever do that before?