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New Hockey System "3-to-4" Trial For Live Betting (System Explanation Inside)
Researching for the best way to make money, I discovered a system I would like to call "3-to-4". I have been using this system recently to build my bankroll and decided I would share it with everyone here to help track its success rate. I will post the system in the next post.
This is a live betting system that is played ideally in the NHL when the score is 3-2 in the 1st, or 2nd period. When Team A is leading Team B 3-2 in the 1st or 2nd Period, bet the option "Race to 4 goals" and take Team A. Since Team A is winning 3-2, they will reach 4 most of the time before Team B. So, what we do is bet Team A "First to 4 goals". For example, the odds will roughly be -155 for Team A to reach 4. So if we bet $155 on Team A, and they score the next goal, you will win $100. HOWEVER, if Team B ties it up 3-3 this is when we HEDGE and bet the option " Team to score Next Goal" and take Team B to score next. The odds for both teams to score next will both be +money. So, we bet $100 on Team B at lets say +115 and we take our loses of $35 overall. This system gives you the option to cut your losses when it is 3-3 but also to make 3 times the amount you can potentially lose. Most of the time you will win when betting Team A to hit 4 first, but when it is 3-3, you will only lose a little when hedging. However, if Team A still scores to make it 4-3 you could potentially break even give or take a little. I will be tracking this system here and I hope others can track it too. When played everytime, it is projected to make you money. I am still studying the system, but input would be nice.
Will keep on eye on it tonight. Will be using Bet365
Some people might say "What if it finishes 3-2?" When it is 3-2 in the 2nd period (lets say, half way through the game) The game almost 90 percent of the time does not finish 3-2. 90 percent of the time another goal will be scored.
I would love to see something... anything... that proves "90%" of 3-2 NHL games in the second period don't finish 3-2.
Earlier in the 2nd period, higher the percentage.Originally Posted by James Marques
interesting concept Seaweed.
I personally think the "fade Russian Rocket" system is a lot more reliable ...
and it is tried and true
If both have been proven to be profitable, choose the system you have had a higher success rate at.
This strategy has an expected value of roughly -$3.50 for $100 units every time it is tried. Assuming your 90% figure earlier is accurate.
Last edited by James Marques; 11-09-14 at 04:41 PM. Reason: Forgot to include qualifying assumption.
Seaweed unlike homoranger...I actually will help you out here
I'm pretty sure you won't understand much...but nonetheless give it shot:
http://hockeyanalytics.com/Research_...e%20Hockey.pdf
Thanks for the article. I remember reading this in the Spring of 2008.
This can also be applied to games where the score is "2-1" with good value on team A. So here it is. Take Edmonton "Race to 3" vs New York. (Current score 2-1 in 2nd) Live Bet Oilers to 3 @-125
Need to add : Do not bet if line is over -160, only under when Team A is winning and the line to score is -160 or under.
So 8n play on TB
James you would have to look deep into his anal cavity, because that's where he pulled that number from
...and I'm pretty sure you don't want to do brother
and how did you apply those principals and stats into your formula here?
Did u bet live Oilers to 3?
ohh I know...you'll give me an answer with one minute left on the clock
Yes
I posted it so I played it. The one's I post are the ones I played. I wont be able to post all plays that fit into the criteria, but you can follow it as well.
ok I'm on bet365...let me know when and what you gonna do next I wanna see it
Comical watching 2 mentally challenged fukks discuss hockey scenariosohh I know...you'll give me an answer with one minute left on the clock
Go Rangers and seaweed...not a coincidence the new dumb and dumber movie comes out this week
yeah and you have a separate thread for that
That game did not qualify as a bet. Line was too high.
This is a separate thread to track strictly system plays.
Weeder you can still get Race to 3 at +135 for oilers.
Go all fukkin in.
got it
but you're going to count that towards your overall record right?
Blackhawks up 3-2
Seaweed so all the lines are now closed for that game
here comes the goal
Race to 4 -250...
Seaweed this system doesn't seem particularly promising.
System Plays:
1-0
No, do not bet it. Only -160 or under. Line is way too high.
of course
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