Finding the best tail on Hockey Betting on SBR - I do the work, we all take the cash

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  • Scrivero
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 01-30-17
    • 673

    #1
    Finding the best tail on Hockey Betting on SBR - I do the work, we all take the cash
    This thread includes the picks I tail from other posters on Hockey Betting on SBR. These are NOT my original picks. I do tail them, but I did not pick them. This is the third system of my NHL-betting systems presented and followed here: http://www.sportsbookreview.com/foru...stem-more.html Right now I am up +34,28 units in my three systems, after starting the first one of them just less than a month ago. I am thinking of a fourth system too, which should start soonish.

    To make it more convincing, this thread includes the BEST NHL picks I can find from SBR. I read through tons of messages and threads daily and try to understand which posters pick the winning picks and when. I find them, I tail them, I post them for you to tail too.

    I do this because I think many people here are like me: We want to win cash but we can not make profitable picks ourselves. Some of us accept it, some of us dont. I have noticed and accepted that I just can not do it well enough, there are people who can however, and I try to find those people and those picks.

    DISCLAIMER: I strongly advice you to follow the original threads of the people (if they have a thread, some of the people I tail do not have their own thread). That is especially because you get much better odds if you catch some of the picks early. I post these tails at latest at ca 3pm EST.

    The record for the system so far:
    5-1, +3,95 units
    (started on the 1st of February 2017)

    Who I have tailed so far and how it has gone:
    Flea Hotel 3-0 +2,75 units.
    sedwards86 2-0 +2,20 units.
    oilcountry99 0-1 -1,00 units.
    Total: 5-1 +3,95 units


    I post the people I tail for my own follow up and to show who I trust with the picks. Of course the follow up also helps you see who I tail the most successfully. I mostly tail people who have their own threads but I do make some exceptions too. I mostly bet 1 unit per pick but with lower probability (only talking about higher odds in this case) bets I bet less. At least in the beginning I do not categorize my tails based on some type of "reliability" at all, meaning that I might at some point introduce a reliability-variable which is affected by me picking the right picks of posters. The reliability-rating would then have an effect on the size of my bet on each tail. These people may make more units, or less units than what my stats show. The statistics in this thread are only to see if I am able to tail the right people at the right time.

    Bit of a bummer that I do not have picks to tail for hockey tonight. There are most likely plenty of them but my moving to Pinnacle, cleaning the house, taking care of my child and other stuff that got in the way of reserach tonight. Luckily it is fun stuff. I could easily just tail each pick of certain posters even tonight but if I want to do this right, I must be patient. There should normally be ca 2 picks each night. This system is NOT about quantity like my Over/Under-system, this system is all about quality.
    (I did tail one NBA-game in this same system but I can not post that here in the hockey-forum. I might make a separate NBA-tails in the NBA-forum if they prove to be successful as well. I will however have those tails included in the stats of this system. Or not, I dont know if I should just keep the system stats all hockey too).

    So, I gotta now prove that I can do this. I am aiming high, I am aiming to make this a success right away. I know I can do it, so its just a matter of when you start trusting and "tailing my tails" Probably it is wise to start "tailing my tails" later when I have some track record to show, but of course it could start hot straight away as well. I will start slow and will start picking much more tails when I see how these official public tails go.

    I am in a spa for the whole weekend, so I might not be able to get this started before sunday, but we will see.
  • Scrivero
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 01-30-17
    • 673

    #2
    Our first public Tail system bets!!

    1. Montreal Over 2,5 goals, 1 unit -133 (Picked by Flea Hotel) (not sure if this should be listed as it was not posted on SBR anymore, I still list it this time. Flea or anyone else associated with Flea can let me know if I should take this down (directly from Flea, not just a hunch of what would be best) and what to do with future listings of his bets).
    2. NYR Money Line, 1 unit -153 (Picked by Wallco99/danhimal/system bet) (not sure if I will have system bets in the future or not, as they are not really "picked" by anyone).

    Tail the tails while you still have time!

    I will also have NBA in tonight's tails but will not post them in the hockey forum. I will see if I will have a separate thread for those in the future in the correct place. I have and will have them in the system stats though.

    Who I have tailed so far and how it has gone:
    Flea Hotel 4-0 +3,84 units.
    sedwards86 2-0 +2,20 units.
    oilcountry99 0-1 -1,00 units.
    Total: 6-1 +5,04 units

    Edit. And to clarify once more, these are NOT my picks. These are the picks I tail. The best tails on SBR NHL tonight. The odds are most likely worse than what the people picking them had and the people following their threads had. FOLLOW THE ORIGINAL THREADS IF YOU CAN AND IF THERE IS ONE!

    Edit 2: Asked Flea about the matter and will do as he wishes when he replies. Will not post any reply here, will just do as he wishes.
    Comment
    • Scrivero
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 01-30-17
      • 673

      #3
      3. Canadiens Money Line, 1 unit, -114 (picked by sedwards86)

      Posted this exceptionally only after the first tails, will try to get everything in 1 post in the future, but still as early as possible.
      Comment
      • spiffking
        SBR Rookie
        • 01-31-17
        • 13

        #4
        Thank you for putting this together. I love to be able to grab info and go.....Boss lears over my shoulder all day. BOL to all of us.
        Comment
        • Scrivero
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 01-30-17
          • 673

          #5
          Originally posted by spiffking
          Thank you for putting this together. I love to be able to grab info and go.....Boss lears over my shoulder all day. BOL to all of us.
          You are welcome! I hope I can pick the best picks for us and you

          Results:
          1. Montreal Over 2,5 goals, 1 unit -133 (Picked by Flea Hotel) LOSS -1 unit
          2. NYR Money Line, 1 unit -153 (Picked by Wallco99/danhimal/system bet) WIN!! +0.64 units
          3. Canadiens Money Line, 1 unit, -114 (picked by sedwards86) LOSS -1 unit

          Total: -1,36 units.

          Who I have tailed so far and how it has gone:
          Flea Hotel 4-1 +2,84 units.
          sedwards86 2-1 +1,20 units.
          Wallco99/danhimal/system bet 1-0 +0,64 units
          oilcountry99 0-1 -1,00 units.
          Total: 7-3 +3,68 units
          Comment
          • Romanovik
            SBR High Roller
            • 08-11-13
            • 121

            #6
            I like that thread !
            Comment
            • Scrivero
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 01-30-17
              • 673

              #7
              Thanks man! More picks coming tomorrow!
              Comment
              • oilcountry99
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 08-29-10
                • 707

                #8
                Scriv...I rarely if ever post plays the one you tailed may have been my only one. LOL. Sorry for the loss. Thanks for feeling strong enough to tail.

                Good luck!
                Comment
                • Scrivero
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 01-30-17
                  • 673

                  #9
                  Originally posted by oilcountry99
                  Scriv...I rarely if ever post plays the one you tailed may have been my only one. LOL. Sorry for the loss. Thanks for feeling strong enough to tail.

                  Good luck!
                  Lol yea I have seen you on another forum and have liked the way you think. That pick caught my eye from the Flea Hotel -thread, I think it was Toronto over 2,5, sounded very plausible I shall tail you again if I ever see another pick in here.
                  Comment
                  • Scrivero
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 01-30-17
                    • 673

                    #10
                    I said in the first post that this thread is about quality, not quantity. That is why I will be posting max 1 pick per day, with some comments:

                    Today's pick, 0,5 units:


                    Colorado ML +155 (picked by TimeTraveler75)

                    Comments: Well, the guy is a time traveler, duh! Also, if he can post ca 20 picks and put one of them in the title of the whole thread, it is bound to hit. If he hits, I will trust him even more.

                    Who I have tailed so far and how it has gone:
                    Flea Hotel 4-3 +1,84 units.
                    sedwards86 2-1 +1,20 units.
                    Wallco99/danhimal/system bet 1-0 +0,64 units
                    oilcountry99 0-1 -1,00 units.
                    Total: 7-3 +2,68 units

                    Another rule: I will no longer play or post any picks outside of this forum.
                    Comment
                    • Scrivero
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 01-30-17
                      • 673

                      #11
                      RESULTS:
                      Today's pick, 0,5 units:
                      Colorado ML +155 (picked by TimeTraveler75) WIN!!

                      Comments: He travelled to the future to find us that pick.

                      Who I have tailed so far and how it has gone:
                      Flea Hotel 4-3 +1,84 units.
                      sedwards86 2-1 +1,20 units.
                      TimeTraveler75 1-0 +0,795 units
                      Wallco99/danhimal/system bet 1-0 +0,64 units
                      oilcountry99 0-1 -1,00 units.
                      Record: 8-5, +3,475 units


                      We shall continue with the next pick tonight.
                      Comment
                      • JoeDeagan
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 12-19-16
                        • 143

                        #12
                        Scrivero, you know that Flea Hotel now post his plays on his blog because of some issues with this site.

                        Comment
                        • Scrivero
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 01-30-17
                          • 673

                          #13
                          Originally posted by JoeDeagan
                          Scrivero, you know that Flea Hotel now post his plays on his blog because of some issues with this site.

                          https://thefleahotel.wordpress.com/
                          Yea I tailed some of his picks from there, even posted one in this thread. I might still some day tail some of his picks but in this thread and in this system right now I will just tail one pick per day and from this forum. That is because its much easier to compare the "reliability" of the poster at that moment and the pick when they are posted in the same place.
                          Comment
                          • Scrivero
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 01-30-17
                            • 673

                            #14
                            Today's pick, 1,0 units:
                            Sabres ML +104 (picked by MJ4thQuarter92)

                            Comments: This guy has some convincing statistical back up for his picks. Seems to play both ML and TTs.

                            Who I have tailed so far and how it has gone:
                            Flea Hotel 4-3 +1,84 units.
                            sedwards86 2-1 +1,20 units.
                            TimeTraveler75 1-0 +0,795 units
                            Wallco99/danhimal/system bet 1-0 +0,64 units
                            oilcountry99 0-1 -1,00 units.
                            Record: 8-5, +3,475 units
                            Comment
                            • Joe'Dad
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 08-11-16
                              • 183

                              #15
                              I got 2 for you.
                              Boston ml
                              St. Louis O 2.5 TT
                              New coaches mean players will play better
                              Comment
                              • Scrivero
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 01-30-17
                                • 673

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Joe'Dad
                                I got 2 for you.
                                Boston ml
                                St. Louis O 2.5 TT
                                New coaches mean players will play better
                                Nice one man. That is exactly what I would tail.

                                Sabres did not hit. We did however tail other picks from the same dude and 3/4 of those did hit.

                                Who I have tailed so far and how it has gone:
                                Flea Hotel 4-3 +1,84 units.
                                sedwards86 2-1 +1,20 units.
                                TimeTraveler75 1-0 +0,795 units
                                Wallco99/danhimal/system bet 1-0 +0,64 units
                                MJ4thQuarter92 3-2 +0,061 units
                                oilcountry99 0-1 -1,00 units.

                                Record: 11-7, +3,536 units


                                Will post the total from now on just after telling the night's results.
                                Comment
                                • Scrivero
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 01-30-17
                                  • 673

                                  #17
                                  Tonight's tail, 0,5 units:
                                  Wild -1,5 +186 (GzaTheGenius)
                                  - The guy has been on FIRE with his picks.
                                  Comment
                                  • Scrivero
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 01-30-17
                                    • 673

                                    #18
                                    RESULTS
                                    Wild -1,5 +186 (GzaTheGenius) LOSS 0,5 units

                                    Tonight's tail,0,5 units:
                                    Colorado ML +235 (TimeTraveler75)
                                    - The guy is a time traveler. We tail until proven otherwise.

                                    Who I have tailed so far and how it has gone:
                                    Flea Hotel 4-3 +1,84 units.
                                    sedwards86 2-1 +1,20 units.
                                    TimeTraveler75 1-0 +0,795 units
                                    Wallco99/danhimal/system bet 1-0 +0,64 units
                                    MJ4thQuarter92 3-2 +0,061 units
                                    GzaTheGenius 0-1 -0,5 units
                                    oilcountry99 0-1 -1,00 units.

                                    Record: 11-8, +3,036 units

                                    Posted the stats now as I posted the results for last game just now.
                                    Comment
                                    • Scrivero
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 01-30-17
                                      • 673

                                      #19
                                      We lost our one tail. We must also admit at this point that this system does not seem to be a system at all. Seems to be just me choosing randomly a tail for the day. And I dont seem to be very good at that. Can be very clearly seen from my comments of picks So we need to either end this system or make it an actual system by creating variables that we use to make the tails. These could be e.g. the record of the person picking, the previous nights record of the person etc. We will probably make a break in this one before we come up with something. Even though this system is still +units, it does not seem to work. Any suggestions of improvement?

                                      Who I have tailed so far and how it has gone:
                                      Flea Hotel 4-3 +1,84 units.
                                      sedwards86 2-1 +1,20 units.
                                      Wallco99/danhimal/system bet 1-0 +0,64 units
                                      MJ4thQuarter92 3-2 +0,061 units
                                      TimeTraveler75 1-1 +0,295 units
                                      GzaTheGenius 0-1 -0,5 units
                                      oilcountry99 0-1 -1,00 units.

                                      Record: 11-9, +2,536 units
                                      Comment
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