1. #1
    Slanina
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    NHL "Let it Ride" system

    I'm testing this idea for rest of 2014/15 season. And until I can fully backtest it, Im betting very small until I know for sure it showed success in prior years. Bets are displayed by bet amount instead of units. As it's how the system works. This is for tracking purposes only. This could get ugly for me.

    Pittsburgh ML -160

    30 to win 18.75

  2. #2
    Slanina
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    Double checking Pittsburgh was not a play. There was no play today. So I got $30 on them for no reason. Ahh, growing pains...

  3. #3
    Slanina
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    Here we go.

    Carolina ML -195

    30 to win 15.38

  4. #4
    Slanina
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    Tampa Bay ML -370

    45.38 to win 12.26

  5. #5
    Slanina
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    1/10

    Saint Louis ML -210

    50.73 to win 24.16


    YTD:

    #1 +6.91

    #2 0.00

    #3 0.00

    #4 0.00

  6. #6
    a4u2fear
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    good luck slanina, what's your real name if you don't mind me asking? I will not have answers on back testing this weekend. It's a decent amount of code since I have to decipher between each day of games with your picks. So give me a little time.

  7. #7
    Slanina
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    Quote Originally Posted by a4u2fear View Post
    good luck slanina, what's your real name if you don't mind me asking? I will not have answers on back testing this weekend. It's a decent amount of code since I have to decipher between each day of games with your picks. So give me a little time.
    It's Brian. Yeah no rush on it. I tested all of 2013 and up until January this season and after the insane amount of math, my brain was fried. So I'm just looking to finish testing over next few months.

  8. #8
    Slanina
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    Nice comeback by Saint Louis to get the SO win.


    YTD:

    #1 +6.91

    #2 +13.75

    #3 0.00

    #4 0.00

  9. #9
    MickeyMan
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    Good luck Brian

  10. #10
    Slanina
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    1/11

    Chicago ML -241. System will get two wins tonight (#1 and #3) if Chicago comes through.

    61.07 to win 25.34.

  11. #11
    Slanina
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    Quote Originally Posted by MickeyMan View Post
    Good luck Brian
    Thank you, sir.

  12. #12
    Slanina
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    Chicago gets the win convincingly.

    YTD:

    #1 +15.07

    #2 +13.75

    #3 +22.56

    #4 +0.00

  13. #13
    Slanina
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    Washington ML -164

    55.67 to win 33.95



    Odd situation as Kings opened as favorites but Washington will close as favorites. Haven't factored this situation in as I'm still testing. But I'll run with the closing line for now. This will be a #4 system play. Which is as good as the system gets.

  14. #14
    Slanina
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    Washington takes it 2-1. Did not expect to get a #4 win this early. From what I've tested so far #4 wins on average only once per month. Could not ask for a better start. Tomorrow's play looks like it'll be Saint Louis. It'll be going for a #1 and #2 system win.

    ***Each loss is the equivalent to a 4 unit loss despite the amount being bet on any particular game.

    YTD:

    #1 +15.07

    #2 +13.75

    #3 +22.56

    #4 +40.88
    Last edited by Slanina; 01-13-15 at 12:34 AM.

  15. #15
    Slanina
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    1/13

    Saint Louis ML -270

    48.71 to win 18.04

    System will get two wins tonight (#1 and #2) if the Blues win. Locking in bet tonight as I think this line will move against me considering they're at home against the dreadful Oilers and have been lighting up the scoreboard lately.

    To give an idea how it's going to this point, YTD numbers are translated into units below. If you don't like daily math, this system will drive you insane.

    Realized units +12.30

    Unrealized units +2.49
    Last edited by Slanina; 01-13-15 at 02:16 AM.

  16. #16
    mickjam42
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    Any chance you would pm me with details of how the system works? Or post on here, if that is easier? TIA

  17. #17
    Slanina
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    Quote Originally Posted by mickjam42 View Post
    Any chance you would pm me with details of how the system works? Or post on here, if that is easier? TIA
    I have no problem sharing it. I'll send you the details later today. A few people have already messaged about it. Off to work on 4 hours sleep so it'll be sometime late this evening. If you do decide to bet it, you'll have to wait for a loss so the system resets. So you couldn't bet tonight anyways.

  18. #18
    Slanina
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    Saint Louis gets a 4-2 victory giving the system two more wins today (#1 and #2).


    YTD:

    #1 +24.11

    #2 +29.64

    #3 +22.56

    #4 +40.88

    Realized units +15.62

  19. #19
    Slanina
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    Los Angeles Kings ML -225. No part of the system gets a win tonight.

    41.81 to win 18.58



    Finished up testing 2009/2010 season last night. Results were +40.98 units. I've completed two seasons of testing. Other was 2013/2014 (+82 units). Great early numbers but still 3 full seasons of testing before I can truly believe this will work. So still betting small and mainly for tracking purposes.

  20. #20
    Slanina
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    I noticed an interesting pattern on the years I already tested. I haven't crunched the numbers but looks promising. It's the same system but with an extra filter, which resulted in only 80-100 plays over a full season. I'm going to track this as well. But it's in the middle of an 8 game win streak so I have to wait for a loss and I'll start tracking.

  21. #21
    a4u2fear
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    Brian, what am I missing? Four plays and up 12 units? 3u a play? What about prior years? Are those all betting 3u or?

  22. #22
    a4u2fear
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    I meant the realized units +15 not 12

  23. #23
    Slanina
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    Quote Originally Posted by a4u2fear View Post
    Brian, what am I missing? Four plays and up 12 units? 3u a play? What about prior years? Are those all betting 3u or?
    There were 6 plays starting with Carolina on the 8th and its had a play everyday so far. Getting to game #4 system play and winning it is rare. Which is why it's already up 15 units in less than a week. Going 6-0 gives the system 7 wins. #1 gets 3 wins. #2 gets 2 wins. #3 and #4 get 1 win each. Im risking 4 units total on each game. 1 unit for each #. Even though I'm actually betting more than 4 units on a game, anything over the 4 units is house money and it's not factored into YTD until system says it's a win. That's where the unrealized gains come from.
    Last edited by Slanina; 01-14-15 at 06:18 PM.

  24. #24
    Slanina
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    Kings get embarrassed at home for the system's first loss. Didnt expect to run 6 off in a row before a loss though. System resets with a juicy line tomorrow.

    Tampa Bay ML -279

    30 to win 10.75


    YTD:

    #1 +16.11

    #2 +22.14

    #3 +15.06

    #4 +33.38
    Last edited by Slanina; 01-15-15 at 02:55 AM. Reason: Updated YTD

  25. #25
    Slanina
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    Let it Ride *V2

    Tracking this one here on out. Betting small as well.


    Tampa Bay ML -231

    30 to win 12.99

  26. #26
    a4u2fear
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    What's going on here with V2, esp betting. A line much different than opening?

  27. #27
    Slanina
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    Quote Originally Posted by a4u2fear View Post
    What's going on here with V2, esp betting. A line much different than opening?
    Check your inbox.

  28. #28
    Bigbill365
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    cool ill follow with betpoints ill start with 20 points

  29. #29
    Slanina
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bigbill365 View Post
    cool ill follow with betpoints ill start with 20 points
    Dont try it yet. You have to wait for a loss to happen and system resets. I know it's only bet points but starting this late in the season is risky as a bad run could happen and possibly not enough time left in the season.

  30. #30
    Slanina
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    Close win by Tampa Bay tonight. Stopped joking around in the 3rd period and squeezed out a 3-2 win. Tomorrow's play will be determined close to start. It will be either Chicago or Anaheim for both systems. Also both will be going for a system win (#1). May not post as i'll be on the road.

  31. #31
    Slanina
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    Was hoping the play would be Anaheim but Chicago ran away with the line. Little nervous about this play but here we go. Both systems are going for a #1 system win tonight.


    Let it Ride:

    Chicago ML -235

    40.75 to win 17.34


    Let it Ride V2

    Chicago ML -235


    42.99 to win 18.29

  32. #32
    Bigbill365
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    ill lay off im on pitts with +EV Ill wait for the restart

  33. #33
    Slanina
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    Chicago loses at home yet again to the Jets. Better hope they don't have to face them in playoffs at home. And of course Anaheim wins easily. Both systems get a loss. Will update YTD after next system win or loss.

    Let it Ride:

    Blues ML -225

    30 to win 13.33




    Let it Ride V2

    Blues ML -225

    30 to win 13.33

  34. #34
    Slanina
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    1/18

    Nice win by The Blues. Individual game record is 7-2. Blues are 3-0. Both systems are going for a #1 win tonight with Detroit. You gotta think this is as safe play as it gets. But who knows.

    Let it Ride:

    Detroit ML -316

    43.33 to win 13.71



    Let it Ride V2:

    Detroit ML -316

    43.33 to win 13.71

  35. #35
    a4u2fear
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    "Safe", were fukked

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