Spawn of the CFL thread NCAA style

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  • HeeluvaGuy
    SBR MVP
    • 02-15-14
    • 3449

    #1
    Spawn of the CFL thread NCAA style
    This one's for you CBass...

    Post 'em if you got 'em fellas.

    GL to all!
  • HeeluvaGuy
    SBR MVP
    • 02-15-14
    • 3449

    #2
    Here are my first contributions:

    9/3 Tulane +9 (originally posted in the CFL thread on 8/29, line is down to 7.5)
    9/3 UTSA/Arizona o52.5 (originally posted in the CFL thread on 8/27, line is up to 59 - note: there's an error in this one, Arizona does not have a BYE week this season)

    I will have at least one more for Thursday. GL with whatever you play!
    Comment
    • noddse
      SBR Rookie
      • 05-10-14
      • 33

      #3
      i prefer a bet on tulane over 19.5/20.5.



      duke has lost it's entire front 6 and should have trouble containing an up tempo offense i guess.
      Comment
      • BamaCBass
        SBR MVP
        • 10-07-09
        • 1252

        #4
        Originally posted by HeeluvaGuy
        This one's for you CBass...

        Post 'em if you got 'em fellas.

        GL to all!

        Nice thread title as well!

        GL fellas (ladies welcome)!
        Comment
        • BamaCBass
          SBR MVP
          • 10-07-09
          • 1252

          #5
          Originally posted by HeeluvaGuy
          Here are my first contributions:

          9/3 Tulane +9 (originally posted in the CFL thread on 8/29, line is down to 7.5)
          9/3 UTSA/Arizona o52.5 (originally posted in the CFL thread on 8/27, line is up to 59 - note: there's an error in this one, Arizona does not have a BYE week this season)

          I will have at least one more for Thursday. GL with whatever you play!
          I'd say you got the best of that Zona total! Nice
          Comment
          • HeeluvaGuy
            SBR MVP
            • 02-15-14
            • 3449

            #6
            Originally posted by BamaCBass
            Nice thread title as well!

            GL fellas (ladies welcome)!
            We're expecting big things out of the Bama guy in this thread.
            Comment
            • Jayvegas420
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 03-09-11
              • 28213

              #7
              This is gonna be awesome!!!!!!
              Comment
              • BamaCBass
                SBR MVP
                • 10-07-09
                • 1252

                #8
                Alright, let's get it rollin...

                UNC 1st Half ML +105 1U

                ML Par (TCU/AU/Bama/OSU) 1.1U pays 1.02

                Will be eyeballing AU 2nd half as I think it will be tight in the first and will pull away in 2nd, as it's essentially a home game for Tigers.

                Vandy is tempting as that knot one gets in their stomach when considering backing a team like Vandy usually suggests the right side... lol. This may be a case of false perception as one team is so high and the other so low. As OG Porkchop has pointed out, this line has moved an enormous amount. Second year coach usually makes a huge difference and Vandy was extremely young and inexperienced last year. How many Jimmy's and Joe's are going to see that high powered offense of W Ky and look at that dangling nugget of -2.5, and say, "just need to be a fg better vs a pathetic, bottom dwelling Vandy?" Thoughts welcome.
                Last edited by BamaCBass; 09-03-15, 02:19 PM.
                Comment
                • HeeluvaGuy
                  SBR MVP
                  • 02-15-14
                  • 3449

                  #9
                  One more for tonight:

                  S Utah +31 (it was 32 when I wrote it up): https://docs.google.com/document/d/1...p=docslist_api

                  GL to all
                  Comment
                  • BamaCBass
                    SBR MVP
                    • 10-07-09
                    • 1252

                    #10
                    Utes 1st H -3 -105 .5U
                    Vandy ML +120 1U
                    Comment
                    • KVB
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 05-29-14
                      • 74817

                      #11
                      I know the game stated already but it seems like just about everybody was on Utah today so I took Michigan +5.

                      That's about all the market analysis I have for tonight...lol.

                      Second half is on, could be close.

                      Comment
                      • HeeluvaGuy
                        SBR MVP
                        • 02-15-14
                        • 3449

                        #12
                        2-1 on the day with two easy winners (Arizona over and S Utah - almost won SU) and a total clunker (thanks for nothing Tulane).

                        Nothing for me on Friday. Have one for Saturday that I'll post with a shorter writeup than the others.

                        Comment
                        • HeeluvaGuy
                          SBR MVP
                          • 02-15-14
                          • 3449

                          #13
                          Here's what I have for Saturday so far:

                          UTEP/Arkansas o50

                          GL on your plays!
                          Comment
                          • BamaCBass
                            SBR MVP
                            • 10-07-09
                            • 1252

                            #14
                            Illini -13 -105 1U
                            Charlotte +7 +105 .5U
                            Comment
                            • HeeluvaGuy
                              SBR MVP
                              • 02-15-14
                              • 3449

                              #15
                              Originally posted by BamaCBass
                              Illini -13 -105 1U
                              Charlotte +7 +105 .5U
                              Nice job on Charlotte!
                              Comment
                              • BamaCBass
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-07-09
                                • 1252

                                #16
                                Originally posted by HeeluvaGuy
                                Nice job on Charlotte!
                                Thanks man; just easing into this first week so far.

                                Nice job on those early hits.

                                adding:
                                Boise St 1st Q -3 -120 1U

                                Sat:
                                Bowling Green +21
                                Last edited by BamaCBass; 09-04-15, 07:57 PM.
                                Comment
                                • HeeluvaGuy
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 02-15-14
                                  • 3449

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by BamaCBass
                                  Thanks man; just easing into this first week so far.

                                  Nice job on those early hits.

                                  adding:
                                  Boise St 1st Q -3 -120 1U
                                  Yep. First week of the season can be dicey. Nice not to lay a complete egg. You're off to a nice start here, and I like the Boise St play. GL
                                  Comment
                                  • BamaCBass
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 10-07-09
                                    • 1252

                                    #18
                                    4-1-1
                                    +2.075
                                    Illini cancelled due to weather, ML par pending, BG tomorrow
                                    Comment
                                    • HeeluvaGuy
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 02-15-14
                                      • 3449

                                      #19
                                      I don't have time to write this one up:

                                      Illinois St +11 (noon)

                                      GL!

                                      ETA link to writeup
                                      Last edited by HeeluvaGuy; 09-05-15, 09:07 AM.
                                      Comment
                                      • HeeluvaGuy
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-15-14
                                        • 3449

                                        #20
                                        Added a writeup for the Illinois St. play. Line is now +14. Also, by my count Massey is 18-7 on sides so far:



                                        GL today gents!
                                        Comment
                                        • HeeluvaGuy
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 02-15-14
                                          • 3449

                                          #21
                                          KVB - I know you're busy, but what are the chances you can do a post-mortem on the money flow in this Illinois St. game? Line was 9.5 last night then jumped to 11. This morning it went up to 14 about two hours before game time and then quickly dropped back to 9.5.
                                          Comment
                                          • BamaCBass
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 10-07-09
                                            • 1252

                                            #22
                                            Uber pist I failed to get back on Illini as thought game time was 2 central, not eastern. Started these comments and realized game underway:

                                            I like teams losing coaches and players, as the opposite side often becomes overvalued. Think Illini D should be much stronger and let's face it, Illinois is not winning any popularity contests.

                                            28-0 at the end of the first... LOL
                                            Comment
                                            • PorkChop
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 09-18-08
                                              • 8193

                                              #23
                                              Ill add some plays in here
                                              Comment
                                              • BamaCBass
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 10-07-09
                                                • 1252

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by PorkChop
                                                Ill add some plays in here
                                                Please do!

                                                Adding: AU/Louisville 2nd H over 23.5 1U
                                                4 turnovers in first half; Louisville D will get tired; and Pet will get some O going or garbage pts
                                                Comment
                                                • HeeluvaGuy
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 02-15-14
                                                  • 3449

                                                  #25
                                                  1-1 for me today with an easy winner on the Arky over and a big loser with Ill St.

                                                  CBass is carrying the thread right now. Pay attention folks
                                                  Comment
                                                  • BamaCBass
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 10-07-09
                                                    • 1252

                                                    #26
                                                    Yuck. Finished 1-1 also. Gotta get number of plays up but should be able to as we've got a little more information now...


                                                    5-2-1
                                                    +1.97
                                                    Comment
                                                    • HeeluvaGuy
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 02-15-14
                                                      • 3449

                                                      #27
                                                      For Sunday:

                                                      Purdue/Marshall o61.5

                                                      GL on your plays!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Tboonepickem
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 09-21-13
                                                        • 1113

                                                        #28
                                                        nice writeup!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • HeeluvaGuy
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 02-15-14
                                                          • 3449

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Tboonepickem
                                                          nice writeup!
                                                          They're all good on paper...
                                                          Comment
                                                          • KVB
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 05-29-14
                                                            • 74817

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by HeeluvaGuy
                                                            KVB - I know you're busy, but what are the chances you can do a post-mortem on the money flow in this Illinois St. game? Line was 9.5 last night then jumped to 11. This morning it went up to 14 about two hours before game time and then quickly dropped back to 9.5.

                                                            This is a little wierd. Not every house jumped the line like that. It seemed pretty stable. I'm just not sure. Could have been an over reaction by 5 Dimes and then copied at a couple of other places.

                                                            We need a week or two to get underway to try to determine where what type of money sits. Then I'll have more input. Yesterday I picked up a couple of live lines...BYU +9.5 and Florida St -32.5. Not a whole lot of analysis behind them outside of perception, paid some vig, but I got lucky.


                                                            Good write-ups Guy. The first two weeks of the season can be both the easiest time to bet and the toughest. We should see some overreactions in next weeks lines, but it's still so early in the season that surprise teams are yet to show themselves.

                                                            Good Stuff.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • BamaCBass
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 10-07-09
                                                              • 1252

                                                              #31
                                                              Marshall -3 2H +100 1U
                                                              Comment
                                                              • BamaCBass
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 10-07-09
                                                                • 1252

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by HeeluvaGuy
                                                                For Sunday:

                                                                Purdue/Marshall o61.5

                                                                GL on your plays!


                                                                Originally posted by BamaCBass
                                                                Marshall -3 2H +100 1U


                                                                6-2-1
                                                                +2.97
                                                                (OSU ML pending for ML Par)
                                                                Comment
                                                                • HeeluvaGuy
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 02-15-14
                                                                  • 3449

                                                                  #33


                                                                  Marshall made it interesting down the stretch but we got the best of this one. 1-0 today for me and 4-2 on the weekend. Let's do it again next week!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • BamaCBass
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 10-07-09
                                                                    • 1252

                                                                    #34
                                                                    OSU 1st Q -4 .5U
                                                                    OSU 1st H -7 (buying half pt) -130 .5U
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • HeeluvaGuy
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 02-15-14
                                                                      • 3449

                                                                      #35
                                                                      GL buddy. I honestly didn't even look at this one. Not really my cup of tea.
                                                                      Comment
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