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Falcons vs. Saints Same-Game Parlay: Week 4 SGP Picks & Odds

Our Falcons vs. Saints same-game parlay for Week 4 features our best parlay picks for this three-leg SGP.

Brenden Schaeffer

Last Updated: October 5, 2026 3:00 PM EDT • 2 minute read

Pictured: Falcons running back Bijan Robinson (7) rushes as we break down our Falcons vs. Saints same-game parlay. Photo by Brett Davis / Imagn Images.

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My Falcons vs. Saints same-game parlay anticipates two vastly different levels of rushing production in this Monday Night Football matchup. What the Saints lack in ground-and-pound, though, they can make up through the air.

The Saints are a 2-point betting favorite, with kickoff from the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans set for 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN).

🏈 Falcons vs. Saints same-game parlay: Week 4

See the latest NFL odds and our experts' NFL picks for every game this season.

Parlay leg	Odds
Bijan Robinson Over 87.5 rushing yards	-112
Kendre Miller Under 26.5 rushing yards	-113
Tyler Shough 250+ passing yards	-135

Best SGP odds: +430 via DraftKings | Bet size: 1 unit

🚀 Falcons vs. Saints parlay picks

Bijan Robinson Over 87.5 rushing yards (-112)

Coming off an electric 194-yard rushing performance last Thursday against Green Bay, Bijan Robinson should be well-rested ahead of MNF -- with a dream matchup on tap.

The Saints have allowed the NFL’s fourth-most rushing yards per game to running backs so far this season, coughing up 115.6 per contest.

The FanDuel line on Robinson’s rushing output sits at 85.5, two yards to the good compared to the 87.5-yard line from DraftKings. However, after including our other two legs at better prices, we still get our 3-leg parlay to +430 at DraftKings compared to +411 from FanDuel.

Kendre Miller Under 26.5 rushing yards (-113)

Conversely, the Falcons have allowed the fewest rushing yards in the NFL this season, permitting just 144 yards on the ground through three games. This is a nightmare matchup for Kendre Miller, who is averaging a paltry 3.4 yards per carry on the campaign.

Miller has never demonstrated to be an efficient back in this league. With Travis Etienne on IR, it won’t be a surprise to see veteran Alvin Kamara default into the bulk role in the backfield after the plodding Miller runs into his own linemen a few times early.

Tyler Shough 250+ passing yards (-135)

The expectation for a quiet day on the ground for Miller correlates to my belief that the Saints will do their damage through the air against an Atlanta pass defense that has allowed an average of 263.0 passing yards per game (fourth-most in NFL).

Tyler Shough has been brilliant so far this season in terms of passing volume, racking up 917 passing yards in three games. He’s cleared a 250-yard passing line in all three of his contests.

📺 How to watch Falcons vs. Saints: Week 4

Date: Monday, Oct. 5
Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
Location: Caesars Superdome (New Orleans)
Streaming: ESPN

Written by:
Brenden Schaeffer

Brenden has covered the St. Louis Cardinals as a credentialed baseball writer for KMOV-TV since 2016. His sports writing has appeared in outlets including the Austin American-Statesman and Columbia Daily Tribune. Since 2021, Brenden has co-hosted 'The Big Show' during the afternoon drive for KTGR, the ESPN radio affiliate in Columbia, MO. He has appeared on radio stations around the country, including KMOX, and hosts a daily St. Louis Cardinals podcast. In the sports betting content space, Brenden has covered the NFL, college football, NBA, and college basketball for outlets including SBR since 2019. For his football handicapping, Brenden looks to target player prop markets using his NFL experience, as well as sharp underdog lines in college football. Brenden looks to reference FanDuel for his sports betting articles because of its consistently competitive odds on parlays. FanDuel's boost offerings are also customer-friendly, and its odds on the NFL Same Game Parlay articles he's written for SBR have historically been consistently competitive compared to other books.