March Madness Final Four AI Predictions Today: Who Does ChatGPT Pick to Win Auburn-Florida & Duke-Houston?

We turned to the popular chatbot to predict the winner (and best prop bets) for this weekend's NCAA Tournament semifinal matchups in San Antonio.
Final Four AI Predictions & March Madness Best Bets Today: 2025 NCAA Tournament Picks & Props
Pictured: The March Madness logo is seen on a basketball. Photo by Robert Goddin via Imagn Images.

We've reached the final weekend of March Madness, and our AI bracket predictions have held up well through all of today's chaos (or lack thereof). But can our Final Four AI predictions find the same success in the NCAA Tournament semifinals?

Duke and Florida are the favorites to advance by the latest March Madness odds in a potentially all-time weekend with all four No. 1 seeds advancing to the Final Four in San Antonio. We've turned to ChatGPT to offer its predictions, best bets, and exact score for both semifinal games on Saturday.

๐Ÿ‘‰ Need help with your bets? Check out all of our March Madness Final four expert picks.

๐Ÿค– Final Four AI predictions & best bets

Our AI-generated projections for the Final Four were generated using the ChatGPT 4o model - which relied on probabilistic modeling to generate its exact score projections, best bets, and top player prop for each NCAA Tournament Final Four matchup on Saturday.

The baseline model has been trained on decades of NCAA Tournament data, but we also trained it using 2025 team metrics for all four finalists including:

  • Adjusted offensive + defensive ratings
  • Tempo
  • Luck factor
  • Strength of schedule
  • NET rating differential

To be clear: ChatGPT is a large language model and not specifically designed for predicting sporting events, so these should be viewed as primarily entertainment. That said, the AI model can often spot trends or insights that bettors might overlook.

๐Ÿ“Š NCAA Tournament betting lines: March Madness odds | Final Four odds & predictions

๐Ÿ€ Auburn vs. Florida AI prediction, picks & player prop bets

๐Ÿ“… Date: Saturday, April 5
๐Ÿ•– Time: 6:09 p.m. ET
๐Ÿ“ Location: San Antonio
๐Ÿ“บ TV: CBS
๐Ÿ“Š Odds: Florida -2.5 | O/U 153.5

๐ŸŽฏ AI score prediction: Florida 80, Auburn 74

โœ… ATS pick: Florida -2.5 (-108 via DraftKings)
โœ… ML pick: Florida (-148 via DraftKings)
โœ… O/U pick: Under 160 (-110 via Caesars)

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๐Ÿ” Who will win Auburn vs. Florida?

Florida owns the No. 2 offensive rating (129.1) and plays at a faster pace than Auburn. Auburnโ€™s No. 8 defense (92.4) keeps this close, but Florida's balance, superior efficiency, and current form give it the edge in a high-possession game. The Gatorsโ€™ luck factor is slightly negative, suggesting their performance may be underrated relative to their record.

๐Ÿ”ฅ Best player prop bet: Walter Clayton Jr. Over 20.5 points

๐Ÿ“Š Best odds: -115 via BetMGM
๐Ÿค– AI projection: 21.7 points

Clayton has averaged 22.3 PPG in the NCAA Tournament and faces an Auburn team that struggles to keep opponents from getting to the free-throw line, where Clayton excels. Given Floridaโ€™s tempo and Clayton's usage rate, he should surpass this number for the fourth time in five games in a fast-paced matchup.

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๐Ÿ€ Duke vs. Houston AI prediction, picks & player prop bets

๐Ÿ“… Date: Saturday, April 5
๐Ÿ•– Time: 8:49 p.m. ET
๐Ÿ“ Location: San Antonio
๐Ÿ“บ TV: CBS
๐Ÿ“Š Odds: Duke -5 | O/U 136.5

๐ŸŽฏ AI score prediction: Duke 72, Houston 66

โœ… ATS pick: Duke -5 (-110 via bet365)
โœ… ML pick: Duke (-250 via FanDuel)
โœ… O/U pick: Over 136.5 (-110 via Caesars)

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๐Ÿ” Who will win Duke vs. Houston?

This is a classic elite offense vs. elite defense battle, as Dukeโ€™s No. 1 offense (130.1) meets Houstonโ€™s No. 1 defense (87.4). Duke also owns the highest net rating in the country (+39.63) and boasts a deeper offensive bench. Houston slows its pace to a crawl, which keeps the game lower-scoring. But Dukeโ€™s tempo edge and overall efficiency push the Blue Devils past the Cougars in the final minutes.

๐Ÿ”ฅ Best player prop bet: Cooper Flagg Over 7.5 rebounds

๐Ÿ“Š Best odds: -135 via BetMGM
๐Ÿค– AI projection: 10.1 rebounds

Flagg should thrive against a Houston team that struggles on the defensive glass due to its lack of size and conservative approach. Flagg is averaging 7.8 rebounds in the NCAA Tournament, and his length gives him a clear edge in this Final Four matchup.

๐Ÿ”ฎ NCAA Tournament championship look-ahead lines

If our AI model plays out correctly, expect a thrilling Duke vs. Florida matchup in Mondayโ€™s national championship game in San Antonio. We broke down that potential matchup in our March Madness look-ahead odds, which you can bet at FanDuel for every hypothetical matchup entering the Final Four.

๐Ÿ€ Can't get enough March Madness? Check out our March Madness MVP predictions and our March Madness Final Four survivor pool picks.

๐Ÿ†š Final Four game predictions

๐Ÿ€ Best March Madness odds, predictions & expert picks for Final Four

๐Ÿ‘‘ Best March Madness betting sites

Ready to place your March Madness bets? Check out the best March Madness betting promos from the best March Madness betting sites as determined by our expert team at Sportsbook Review.

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