🏀 NBA Player Props Tonight: NBA Playoffs Expert Picks for Friday, April 24
📡 SBR Edge: Back LeBron Over 8.5 Assists
My NBA player props tonight feature Donovan Clingan Over 9.5 rebounds (-137), as his line is too low - even if Victor Wembanyama plays. My next NBA best bet is LeBron James Over 8.5 assists (+102). He has dished out 10+ assists in eight of his last 10 games without Luka Doncic. My final pick is Paul George Under 2.5 three-pointers made (+112), as he has gone under this line in four consecutive games.
π Best NBA player props tonight: April 24
See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds.
| π° Pick | π‘ Best odds | βοΈ Bet size | π§ Why I'm making this bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Clingan Over 9.5 rebounds | -137 via Caesars | 1.37u -> 1u | Wembanyama's concussion helps this bet, regardless of his status |
| LeBron James Over 8.5 assists | +102 via FanDuel | 0.98u -> 1u | Has recorded 10+ assists in 8 of last 10 games w/o Luka |
| Paul George Under 2.5 three-pointers | +112 via FanDuel | 0.89u -> 1u | Has gone Under in 4 straight games |
Total wagered: 3.24 units | Max profit: 3 units
π° Best NBA player prop bet tonight
Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.
Donovan Clingan Over 9.5 rebounds (-137) vs. Spurs
If Wembanyama plays Friday, he may be more cautious around the rim, which could open up additional rebounding opportunities for Clingan.
If he sits, Clingan would benefit from facing weaker competition on the boards. Either way, there is value on Clingan to record 10+ rebounds regardless of Wembanyama's availability.
Caesars lists Clingan Over 9.5 rebounds at -137, but this bet is good up to -165 on the best sports betting sites. I previously posted this bet (at better odds) in C Jackson Cowart's Victor Wembanyama injury update.
π₯ More NBA player prop picks
The Lakers have the eighth-shortest odds to win the NBA Finals.
LeBron James Over 8.5 assists (+102) at Rockets
James going Over on his assists without Doncic has been one of my favorite edges lately.
Doncic, James, and Austin Reaves lead the Lakers in assists per game this season, and James could be the only one of the three playing tonight. He recorded 13 assists in Game 1 and has dished out 10 or more in eight of his last 10 games without Doncic.
James Over 8.5 assists is +102 at FanDuel, but I would play this up to -120 on the best NBA betting sites.
LeBron James player prop trends
Hereβs a look at how LeBron James has performed recently, as well as against the Rockets:
| Bet | Best odds | Last 5 games | Last 5 vs. Rockets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 23.5 points | -117 via DraftKings | 3-2 β | 2-3 β |
| Over 6.5 rebounds | -141 via Caesars | 3-2 β | 2-3 β |
| Over 8.5 assists | +102 via FanDuel | 3-2 β | 1-4 β |
| Over 1.5 three-pointers made | -120 via BetMGM | 3-2 β | 2-3 β |
James has a median of 11 assists in his last five games overall.
🏀 More Lakers vs. Rockets player props
I feature LeBron James and Reed Sheppard in my Lakers vs. Rockets player props for Game 3.
Paul George Under 2.5 three-pointers (+112) vs. Celtics
I'm impressed this is available at plus odds. George has made two or fewer 3-pointers in four straight games and has attempted a total of just seven in this series.
A very popular - and profitable - betting angle is to take Celtics opponents under their team total when Boston is coming off a loss, so why would we bet Overs on 76ers players tonight?
FanDuel lists his Under 2.5 three-pointers made at +112, but I'd play this up to -105 on the best sports betting apps. Meanwhile, our Shane Thurston targets two Boston players in his Celtics vs. 76ers player props.
ποΈ Most-bet NBA player props tonight
Betting insights via BetMGM.
| Player | Team | Bet | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Quentin Grimes | 76ers | Under 7.5 points | -145 |
| Adem Bona | 76ers | Under 3.5 points | +105 |
| De'Aaron Fox | Spurs | Under 1.5 three-pointers made | -115 |
| Andre Drummond | 76ers | Under 8.5 rebounds | -125 |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. | 76ers | Under 5.5 rebounds | -120 |
π Best NBA parlay picks tonight
I believe there is a large enough edge on George Under 2.5 three-pointers made that combining it with 76ers +7.5 - which, in theory, should be a 50-50 bet - has value if you're getting +301 odds or greater.
💵 Best NBA parlay bet tonight
- Paul George Under 2.5 three-pointers made
- 76ers +7.5
Best odds: +330 via bet365 (0.3u -> 1u)
π‘ More NBA expert picks tonight
- Celtics vs. 76ers player props
- Lakers vs. Rockets player props
- Spurs vs. Trail Blazers player props
- NBA play of the day: Spurs ML
- Victor Wembanyama injury update
π΅ My betting record for NBA picks
All NBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since Feb. 10.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 139-161-4 | -13.39 units β | -4.2% β |
| Player props | 125-113-4 | -10.67 units β | -3.7% β |
| Parlays | 10-43 | -1.83 units β | -11% β |
| Spreads | 2-3 | -0.8 units β | -13.1% β |
| Totals | 2-2 | -0.09 units β | -4.1% β |
My betting record in the NBA postseason
Tracked since April 14.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-35 | +3.64 units β | 7.4% β |
| Player props | 26-14 | +8.86 units β | 23.6% β |
| Parlays | 2-16 | -2.83 units β | -51.8% β |
| Spreads | 1-3 | -2.3 units β | -52.5% β |
| Totals | 2-2 | -0.09 units β | -4.1% β |
π‘ How I'm betting NBA player props tonight
I put 1.37 units on Clingan's rebounding prop in Portland - my standard sizing for a player prop - because I like the bet directionally and think the line is mispriced. That said, the number isn't far enough off from where I'd set it to justify going heavier. If I thought I had a larger edge, I would risk up to 2.5 units, and in a rare, high-conviction spot, I'd go as high as 5.
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