🏀 NBA Player Props Today: NBA Playoffs Best Bets & Picks for Tuesday, April 21

Our top NBA player props and best bets today feature LeBron James Over 9.5 assists (+125), Donovan Clingan Under 9.5 points (-114), and more.
Los Angeles Lakers forward LeBron James (23), seen here gesturing during a game, is featured in our NBA player props today.
Pictured: Los Angeles Lakers forward LeBron James (23), seen here gesturing during a game, is featured in our NBA player props today. Photo by Kirby Lee / Imagn Images.
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📡 SBR Edge: LeBron Steps Up Again

My NBA player props today feature Jayson Tatum Over 9.5 rebounds (-130), as he has recorded 11 or more in eight of his last 10 games. My next NBA best bet is Donovan Clingan Under 9.5 points (-114). He has never scored more than seven points when facing Victor Wembanyama. I wrap up with LeBron James Over 9.5 assists (+125), as he has dished out 10 or more assists in eight of his last nine games without Luka Doncic.


πŸ€ Best NBA player props today: April 21

See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds.

πŸ’° Pick πŸ’‘ Best odds βš–οΈ Bet size 🧠 Why I'm making this bet
Jayson Tatum Over 9.5 rebounds -130 via FanDuel 1.3u -> 1u Has grabbed 11+ rebounds in 8 of last 10 games
Donovan Clingan Under 9.5 points -114 via BetRivers 1.14u -> 1u Has never scored 8+ points vs. Wembanyama
LeBron James Over 9.5 assists +125 via BetMGM 0.8u -> 1u Has recorded 10+ assists in last 8 of last 9 games w/o Luka

Total wagered: 3.24 units | Max profit: 3 units


πŸ’° Best NBA player prop bet today

The Celtics have the third-shortest odds to win the NBA Finals.

Jayson Tatum Over 9.5 rebounds (-130) vs. 76ers

Over the last four weeks, Tatum ranks second in the NBA with 11 defensive rebounds per game. Additionally, he has grabbed 10 or more rebounds in eight of his last 10 games, including an 11-rebound performance in Game 1.

Nikola Jokic and Wembanyama have similar rebounding stats over the last month, but you wouldn’t see them priced this low. FanDuel lists Tatum Over 9.5 rebounds at -130, but this bet is good up to -155 on the best sports betting sites. Meanwhile, our Shane Thurston backs Tatum to total 16+ rebounds + assists with his 76ers vs. Celtics player props.


πŸ”₯ More NBA player prop picks

Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.

Donovan Clingan Under 9.5 points (-114) at Spurs

Clingan’s first time facing Wembanyama this season was in Game 1, and his recent strong play did not translate against the Defensive Player of the Year. He scored just four points on 2-of-7 shooting from the field.

Over a larger sample, he has never gone over this line against Wembanyama, scoring seven or fewer points in each of their four career matchups. Don’t be contrarian in this spot - Clingan should continue to struggle against the Spurs star.

Clingan Under 9.5 points is -114 at BetRivers, but I would play this up to -135 on the best NBA betting sites.

LeBron James Over 9.5 assists (+125) vs. Rockets

James going Over on his assists without Doncic has been one of my favorite bets recently.

Doncic, James, and Austin Reaves lead the Lakers in assists per game this season, and James is the only one of the three who will play tonight. He recorded 13 assists in Game 1 and has dished out 10 or more assists in eight of his last nine games without Doncic.

BetMGM lists his Over 9.5 assists at +125, but I'd play this up to +105 on the best sports betting apps.


πŸš€ Best NBA parlay picks today

I like the Rockets to bounce back and even the series today, but I don't believe parlaying their ML with James over 9.5 assists should pay out +275, like bet365 is offering - it should be lower. Bet365 lists this two-legger at +275, while FanDuel offers the same parlay at +242.

💵 Best NBA parlay bet today

  • Rockets ML
  • LeBron James Over 9.5 assists

Best odds: +275 via bet365 (0.36u -> 1u)


πŸ’΅ My betting record for NBA picks

All NBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since Feb. 10.

Bet type Record Net profit ROI
Overall 129-151-4 -17.46 units βŒ -5.8% βŒ
Player props 115-109-4 -16.61 units βŒ -6% βŒ
Parlays 10-37 +0.04 units βœ… 0.3% βœ…
Spreads 2-3 -0.8 units βŒ -13.1% ❌
Totals 2-2 -0.09 units βŒ -4.1% βŒ

πŸ’‘ How I'm betting NBA player props today

I risked 1.3 units on Tatum's rebounding prop - I like the bet directionally, but it's not mispriced enough to justify a bigger stake. If I felt I had a larger edge, I'd go up to 2.5 units, or as high as 5 units in a once-in-a-year spot. I define 1 unit as 1% of my bankroll, which I have dedicated solely to sports betting.


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