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2024 U.S. Open Props Picks & Odds: Scheffler Heavy Betting Favorite at Pinehurst No. 2

Matt MacKay

Last Updated: June 11, 2024 2:28 PM EDT • 5 min 1 sec read.

Bryson DeChambeau of Crushers Golf Club tees off as we look at the best 2024 U.S. Open prop bets
Bryson DeChambeau of Crushers Golf Club tees off on the 17th hole during the second round of the LIV Golf Houston golf tournament at Golf Club of Houston. Photo by: Erik Williams/USA TODAY Sports

The third major of the 2024 PGA Tour season will send golfers to Pinehurst No. 2 on Thursday for the opening round of the U.S. Open, and we’ve provided props picks based on the odds from our best golf betting sites, which have Scottie Scheffler valued as a heavy outright betting favorite.  

Scottie Scheffler’s first win at The Memorial Tournament on Sunday has made the World No. 1 ranked golfer a massive betting favorite in the U.S. Open odds. He’s recorded five wins in 13 events this season, ranking top-five in all strokes gained metrics except putting.

Despite Scheffler’s incredible success, it’s going to be an uphill battle to win his second major at Pinehurst No. 2. Not only is this course a difficult track, with wire grass, sand, and native plants comprising most of the rough around the fairways, but it’s once again a loaded field with qualified players from the PGA Tour and LIV. 

Pinehurst No. 2 last hosted the 2014 U.S. Open, so not a lot of the field has previous experience playing here. Those who do will encounter Bermudagrass replacing previous bentgrass greens, which remain contoured and flanked by bunkers. Water hazards are minimized at Pinehurst No. 2, but accuracy off-the-tee and on approach will go a long way in determining the winner at this lengthy par 70 course. 

To accompany our U.S. Open Expert Picks to Win and our U.S. Open Long-Shot Picks, here are our U.S. Open props picks for Pinehurst No. 2 based on the odds from our best sports betting sites (confidence rating based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

U.S. Open props

  • Top LIV Player: Bryson DeChambeau (+370 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Top 20 Finishing Position]: Keegan Bradley (+260 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Tournament Matchup: Will Zalatoris vs. Cameron Young: Will Zalatoris (-110 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐

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Top LIV Player: Bryson DeChambeau ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Bryson DeChambeau has been in top form at both majors this season. His blend of power and accuracy is a potent combination off the tee and on approach. Although his putting has been inconsistent, DeChambeau is good at overcoming adversity. 

We’ve seen him record a T-6 finish at The Masters and a solo runner-up at the PGA Championship last month at Valhalla. With a late surge in the final round, he nearly forced a playoff against Xander Schauffele, and his confidence is soaring. 

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DeChambeau won the 2020 U.S. Open at Winged Foot Golf Club but has faltered a bit in recent outings, recording a T-20 finish at the Los Angeles Country Club last year, his best since posting the outright win four years ago. It’s time for him to contend for an outright major win once again, so expect to see DeChambeau’s name hovering near the top of the leaderboard on Sunday afternoon at Pinehurst No. 2. He’s undoubtedly going to be the top LIV player in the field.

Best odds: +370 via FanDuel

Top 20 Finishing Position: Keegan Bradley⭐⭐⭐⭐

It was an ugly finish for Keegan Bradley at Muirfield Village this past weekend but he’s one of the golfers in the field with prior experience playing in the 2014 U.S. Open at Pinehurst No. 2. 

Bradley finished T-4 at this event a decade ago, with a final scorecard of 1-over-par. This shows how difficult it can be to avoid bogeys and make birdies at this course. Bradley ranks 41st in strokes gained: approaching the green and 12th in total driving. These two aspects of his game should help him secure a top-20 finish by the end of the weekend.

If you’re still weary, know that before shooting 14-over-par in the final two rounds at Muirfield, Bradley had three consecutive finishes inside the top 25. This includes two finishes inside of the top 20 at Valhalla and Colonial. The value here is too good to pass up.

Best odds: +260 via BetMGM

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Tournament Matchup: Will Zalatoris vs. Cameron Young⭐⭐⭐

Two underachieving young stars are featured in a tournament matchup prop available at Caesars Sportsbook. According to our best sports betting sites, Will Zalatoris and Cameron Young are nearly a pick’em, with Young holding a slight edge in a 72-hole matchup at -120 odds. 

Zalatoris may not be in top form, but his performance has been marginally better than what we’ve seen from Young in the past few events he’s played on the PGA Tour. After choking away a potential outright win at Valspar to Peter Malnati, which would’ve been the first of his career, Young has taken a nosedive, recording finishes of T-62, T-34, T-63, MC, and T-50.

Zalatoris has had a similar downturn; ironically, both players recorded T-9 finishes at The Masters. Zalatoris did fare better at the second major at Valhalla, recording a T-41 finish compared to a T-63 for Young. Both players are accurate drivers and can hunt flagsticks well, while Young is a better putter in comparison. 

This is a three-star bet due to the volatility both players can produce at any given moment. However, historically speaking, Zalatoris has run circles around Young at U.S. Open events. This includes a T2 finish in 2022 at The Country Club, where Young missed the cut. We’re banking on Zalatoris to bring his A-game, but even if it’s another finish outside of the top 40, as long as Young continues to implode, we’ll cash this tournament matchup prop by backing Zalatoris at -110 odds.

Best odds: -110 via Caesars

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U.S. Open betting picks

How to bet on golf

Betting on golf involves understanding the various types of bets available and how to assess player performance. First, familiarize yourself with the different types of bets commonly offered in golf, including outright winner bets, each-way bets (which cover both a win and a top finish), head-to-head matchups between two players, and proposition bets on specific events within a tournament, such as hole-in-one occurrences or individual player performances on certain holes.

Once you've identified the types of bets you're interested in, research the players, course conditions, recent form, and other relevant factors that could influence outcomes. Pay attention to factors like player statistics, recent tournament performances, course history, and any injuries or changes in form that may affect a player's performance.

Here are our best golf betting sites:

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Written By:
Matt MacKay
Matt MacKay has handicapped golf, the NFL, NCAAF, and NHL since joining the sports betting industry as a writer in 2020. He’s worked for several prominent sites, recently expanding his coverage to include sports betting news and the regulatory industry. Bringing a background in communications and writing, earning a Masters Degree in Organizational Communication from Ohio University, Matt has co-hosted a fantasy football and sports betting podcast, while continuously refining his handicapping methods. This includes identifying recent trends, head-to-head statistics, and comparing individual and team strengths and weaknesses to accurately predict the outcome in certain betting markets before a game or event. He’s a daily bettor and tends to wager on FanDuel, with DraftKings and Hard Rock Bet as preferred sports betting app alternatives. An avid researcher, writer, editor, and podcaster, Matt is eager to dig into matchups to offer readers and subscribers value on his picks. He’s a big proponent of building bankroll by avoiding poor betting habits and tendencies, like chasing losses, placing too many wagers, and managing bankroll. His worst beats to date both came on two separate NFL parlays, losing due to Tyreek Hill and A.J. Brown dropping passes. NRFIs have quickly become one of Matt’s favorite betting markets, recently diving into MLB game props.