[Fidel_CashFlow]

Feeling good you all

[Fidel_CashFlow]

The KVB NCAAB ATS/ML Fund has picked up...

754

21-Nov

TCU -11.5 (-105)

Hhhmmm

[KVB]

Hhhmmm

[Fidel_CashFlow]

Feelin good y0

[Fidel_CashFlow]

Got another brownie on deck
Ready to KO me when i close the shop

[DiggityDaggityDo]

Eva Medes getting Alyssa Milano‘s autograph in 1989.

[KVB]

So which Tinda Finga is better?

This...



Or this?

[KVB]

Got another brownie on deck
Ready to KO me when i close the shop

[DiggityDaggityDo]

So which Tinda Finga is better?

This...



Or this?

[DiggityDaggityDo]

[DiggityDaggityDo]

Whoa... Her ass is eating the pillow.

[Fidel_CashFlow]

Alright , this 10 o’clock curfew shit gonnahave to stop

[Fidel_CashFlow]

I’m officially back in the game though

[Fidel_CashFlow]

Which is really big news , I think

[Fidel_CashFlow]

[KVB]

Here's the KVB NCAAF Totals Fund through week 12 with links to each play and a crude closing line comparison.

This Fund was 1-2, -1.05 units this week and has fallen more than 11 units since the beginning of October, losing every week since then...

				1 Unit	Closing	Beat	BTC
	Record	Date	NCAAF Totals Fund	per bet	Line	Closer?	Average
136	0-1	29-Aug	G TECH/CLEMSON UNDER 61.5 (-105)	-1	60.5	Y	1
158	0-2	30-Aug	PURDUE/NEVADA UNDER 58.5 (-105)	-1	58.5	PUSH	0
181	0-3	31-Aug	SC/NC OVER 63 (-105)	-1	62	N	-1
216	0-3-1	1-Sep	HOU/OK UNDER 80 (-105)	0	80.5	N	-0.5
312	1-3-1	7-Sep	ARMY/MICH UNDER 48 (-105)	0.95	48	PUSH	0
376	1-4-1		NEVADA/OREGON UNDER 61.5 (-105)	-1	62	N	-0.5
392	2-4-1		ORE ST/HAWAII UNDER 77.5 (-105)	0.95	78	N	-0.5
106	2-5-1	13-Sep	KANSAS/BC UNDER 51 (-105)	-1	51	PUSH	0
108	3-5-1		WASH ST/HOU UNDER 74.5 (-105)	0.95	74	Y	0.5
128	4-5-1	14-Sep	SDSU/N MEX ST UNDER 51 (-105)	0.95	51	PUSH	0
138	4-6-1		ALABAMA/SC UNDER 61.5 (-105)	-1	59.5	Y	2
314	4-7-1	21-Sep	MIA (OH)/OHIO ST UNDER 56.5 (-105)	-1	56.5	PUSH	0
398	4-8-1		UCLA/WASH ST UNDER 58.5 (-105)	-1	59.5	N	-1
116	5-8-1	28-Sep	WAKE/BC UNDER 69.5 (-108)	0.93	69.5	PUSH	0
134	5-9-1		AKRON/UMASS UNDER 62.5 (-108)	-1	60.5	Y	2
142	6-9-1		M TENN ST/IOWA UNDER 52 (-102)	0.98	51	Y	1
146	7-9-1		WASH ST/UTAH UNDER 57 (-105)	0.95	57	PUSH	0
170	7-10-1		T TECH/OKLAHOMA UNDER 70.5 (-110)	-1	69	Y	1.5
341	7-11-1	5-Oct	LIBERTY/N MEX ST OVER 62.5 (-105)	-1	63.5	Y	1
367	7-12-1		W MICH/TOLEDO OVER 72.5 (-105)	-1	73.5	Y	1
385	7-13-1		AUBURN/FLORIDA OVER 48.5 (-109)	-1	48.5	PUSH	0
109	7-14-1	11-Oct	VA/MIA OVER 43 (-105)	-1	43.5	Y	0.5
168	8-14-1	12-Oct	MIA (OH)/W MICH UNDER 57 (-105)	0.95	57.5	Y	0.5
196	8-15-1		MASS/LOUIS TECH UNDER 63 (-105)	-1	64	Y	1
205	9-15-1		WYOMING/SDSU OVER 38 (-107)	0.93	37.5	N	-0.5
331	9-16-1	19-Oct	FLORIDA ST/WAKE OVER 68 (-110)	-1	68.5	Y	0.5
372	10-16-1		COLORADA/WASH ST UNDER 71 (-115)	0.87	68.5	Y	2.5
416	10-17-1		RICE/UTSA UNDER 42.5 (-105)	-1	43	N	-0.5
110	11-17-1	26-Oct	ILLINOIS/PURDUE UNDER 55.5 (-115)	0.87	54.5	Y	1
172	11-18-1		FL INT/M TENN ST UNDER 58 (-105)	-1	57.5	Y	0.5
201	11-19-1		TEX ST/ARK ST OVER 60.5 (-105)	-1	60.5	PUSH	0
346	12-19-1	2-Nov	COLORADO/UCLA UNDER 65 (-110)	0.91	64.5	Y	0.5
360	12-20-1		SMU/MEMPHIS UNDER 71.5 (-102)	-1	72	N	-0.5
362	12-21-1		UTSA/TEX A&M UNDER 53.5 (-105)	-1	55	N	-1.5
396	12-22-1		FRESNO ST/HAWAII UNDER 69.5 (-105)	-1	66	Y	3.5
145	12-23-1	9-Nov	PURDUE/N'WESTERN OVER 39.5 (-105)	-1	38.5	N	-1
154	12-24-1		USC/ARIZONA ST UNDER 55.5 (-105)	-1	54	Y	1.5
200	12-25-1		SJST/HAWAII UNDER 76.5 (-105)	-1	78.5	N	-2
342	12-26-1	16-Nov	UL MON/GA SOUTH UNDER 57.5 (-105)	-1	57.5	PUSH	0
351	12-27-1		AIR FORCE/COLO ST OVER 63.5 (-105)	-1	62	N	-1.5
382	13-27-1		OK/BAYLOR UNDER 67.5 (-105)	0.95	68.5	N	-1
	13-27-1		Total	-14.86		18-13-10	0.244

OVER bets are 1-9 this season.

After some rising and then leveling off, the running avg. vs close is finally syncing up with the falling units.





The lack of plays this year and this year's running avg. vs. the close performance has been a good illustration of something gone wrong in play selection. The two year charts show two different Funds and as a last straw here the running avg. vs the close is now .506.

That's just too close to .5.





I try to run this real time by example and sometimes even in losses, we get a good example.

Average vs. the close, units, and worse of all a lack of plays can lead to a sudden drop. I can't wait to bring this Fund back over the next season or so.

I need a brownie...

[KVB]

Here's the KVB NCAAF ATS/ML Fund through week 12 with links to each play and a crude closing line comparison.

This Fund was 2-5, -3.05 units this week...

	Record	Date	NCAAF ATS/ML Fund	1 Unit	Closing	Beat	BTC ATS
	ATS			per bet	Line	Closer?	Average
141	1-0	29-Aug	KENT ST +24.5 (-105)	0.95	24.5	PUSH	0
144	1-1		BYU +6.5 (-105)	-1	5	Y	1.5
235	2-1		S DAKOTA ST +15.5 (-110)	0.91	14.5	Y	1
150	2-2	30-Aug	S FLORIDA +10.5 (-105)	-1	10	Y	0.5
161	3-2	31-Aug	FAU +27.5 (-105)	0.95	28	N	-0.5
183	3-3		DUKE +33.5 (-105)	-1	33.5	PUSH	0
204	3-4		PIT +2.5 (+100)	-1	2.5	PUSH	0
319	3-5	7-Sep	WV +14 (-107)	-1	13.5	Y	0.5
334	3-6		CLEMSON -16.5 (-105)	-1	-16.5	N	-0.5
349	4-6		SDSU +9 (-105)	0.95	7.5	Y	1.5
360	4-7		FAU +10.5 (-102)	-1	13.5	N	-3
364	4-8		KANSAS -7 (-110)	-1	-7	PUSH	0
389	4-8-1		MINNESOTA -3 (-110)	0	-3	PUSH	0
110	4-9-1	14-Sep	INDIANA +18 (-105)	-1	17.5	Y	0.5
114	5-9-1		WV +7 (-105)	0.95	7	PUSH	0
116	6-9-1		TEMPLE +7 (-105)	0.95	5	Y	2
121	7-9-1		E MICHIGAN +7 (+100)	1	7	PUSH	0
150	7-10-1		TULSA +14 (-103)	-1	14	PUSH	0
164	7-11-1		BGSU +12 (-105)	-1	12.5	N	-0.5
306	8-11-1	20-Sep	USC +3.5 (-105)	0.95	3.5	PUSH	0
307	8-12-1		FL INT +7.5 (-112)	-1	7	Y	0.5
347	9-12-1	21-Sep	N MEX ST +4.5 (-105)	0.95	4	Y	0.5
362	10-12-1		MISS ST -6 (-105)	0.95	-6	PUSH	0
370	10-13-1		TULSA -3.5 (-105)	-1	-5.5	Y	2
394	11-13-1		FLORIDA ST -6.5 (-110)	0.91	-6.5	PUSH	0
396	11-14-1		UTEP +14.5 (-112)	-1	14	Y	0.5
108	11-15-1	27-Sep	MD +6.5 (-109)	-1	6.5	PUSH	0
113	12-15-1	28-Sep	N'WESTERN +24.5 (-105)	0.95	23	Y	1.5
125	12-16-1		G TECH +8.5 (-102)	-1	9	N	-0.5
172	12-17-1		CHARLOTTE -1 (-105)	-1	1	N	-2
192	13-17-1		W KENTUCKY +3.5 (-110)	0.91	3	Y	0.5
308	14-17-1	4-Oct	CINCI +4 (-108)	0.93	3.5	Y	0.5
332	15-17-1	5-Oct	T TECH +10 (-109)	0.92	9.5	Y	0.5
333	15-18-1		KENT ST +35 (-107)	-1	35	PUSH	0
354	15-19-1		SMU -12.5 (-105)	-1	-12	N	-0.5
362	15-20-1		NEBRASKA -7 (-115)	-1	-7.5	Y	0.5
366	16-20-1		NAVY +3.5 (-110)	0.91	3	Y	0.5
382	17-20-1		GA ST +6.5 (-101)	0.99	6.5	PUSH	0
124	17-21-1	12-Oct	TULSA +1.5 (-108)	-1	-1	Y	2.5
136	18-21-1		PURDUE +3.5 (-110)	0.91	4	N	-0.5
160	18-22-1		AKRON +14.5 (-105)	-1	14.5	PUSH	0
170	19-22-1		S FLORIDA +5 (-103)	0.97	4.5	Y	0.5
177	19-23-1		MICHIGAN ST +10.5 (-105)	-1	8	Y	2.5
190	20-23-1		S MISS -3 (-105)	0.95	-3	PUSH	0
311	21-23-1	18-Oct	PITT -3.5 (-115)	0.87	-3.5	PUSH	0
328	21-23-2	19-Oct	MD +6 (-102)	0	6.5	N	-0.5
346	21-24-2		OHIO -7.5 (-105)	-1	-9	Y	1.5
356	22-24-2		BYU +7 (+100)	1	7	PUSH	0
362	23-24-2		BALL ST -2 (-105)	0.95	-3	Y	1
374	23-25-2		SC +5.5 (-107)	-1	3.5	Y	2
392	23-26-2		ARKANSAS +19.5 (-102)	-1	20	N	-0.5
114	24-26-2	26-Oct	GA ST -1.5 (-105)	0.95	-1	N	-0.5
123	25-26-2		UCF -12 (-103)	0.97	11	N	-1
148	25-27-2		NEW MEXICO +10 (-117)	-1	10	PUSH	0
174	25-28-2		ODU +14 (-115)	-1	13.5	Y	0.5
188	26-28-2		TCU +1 (-105)	0.95	-1.5	Y	2.5
196	27-28-2		KANSAS +5 (-103)	0.97	6	N	-1
212	28-28-2		UNLV +12.5 (-105)	0.95	11.5	Y	1
329	28-29-2	2-Nov	RUTGERS +20 (-105)	-1	18.5	Y	1.5
342	28-30-2		ND -17 (-105)	-1	-17.5	Y	0.5
356	28-31-2		RICE +11.5 (-105)	-1	11.5	PUSH	0
364	28-32-2		AIR FORCE -15.5 (-105)	-1	-17	Y	1.5
371	29-32-2		GEORGIA -6 (-105)	0.95	-6.5	Y	0.5
379	30-32-2		MISS ST -7.5 (-105)	0.95	-7	N	-0.5
126	31-32-2	9-Nov	MIAMI -7 (+100)	1	-6.5	N	-0.5
136	31-33-2		MICH ST -14.5 (-105)	-1	-15.5	Y	1
142	32-33-2		MINNESOTA +6.5 (-105)	0.95	6.5	PUSH	0
152	32-34-2		ODU -3.5 (+100)	-1	-3	N	-0.5
178	33-34-2		TROY +3 (-105)	0.95	2.5	Y	0.5
192	33-35-2		FRESNO -5.5 (-105)	-1	5	N	-0.5
196	34-35-2		CAL +7.5 (-105)	0.95	9	N	-1.5
306	35-35-2	15-Nov	MARSHALL -6.5 (-105)	0.95	-6.5	PUSH	0
346	35-36-2	16-Nov	TEXAS ST +7 (-103)	-1	7	PUSH	0
362	35-37-2		CAL +6.5 (-111)	-1	4	Y	2.5
372	35-38-2		AUBURN +3 (-105)	-1	3	PUSH	0
380	36-38-2		TTECH +3 (+100)	1	3.5	N	-0.5
398	36-39-2		MISS ST +18.5 (-105)	-1	19	N	-0.5
400	36-40-2		NEBRASKA +14.5 (-105)	-1	14.5	PUSH	0
	36-40-2		Total	-5.83		35-18-25	0.269

...This Fund doesn't share all the concerns of the Totals Fund, but while the Units are in a sideways pattern, I'd rather not have the closing line running average decline on the season anymore than it has. If it does, that could indicate trouble...

At the end 2018, the running average vs. the close was .362, the overall is down to .318...



This isn't a market function but it does track the contrarian market a little bit, so we can analyze the chart to a degree. We've seen the running average vs. the close go through a bit of a cycle and now the units are testing a level in the range, we could see a turn here, hopefully positive, but I'm not going to lay any technicals down yet...



I wouldn't go doubling my stake but I also wouldn't count out the ATS/ML Fund just yet.

By the way, the contrarian market in NCAAF took a major dump last weekend, and it shows in the Funds that track it.

On to the market functions, another type of tracking...

[KVB]

Here's the KVB NCAAF UPSET Basket through week 12 with links to each play and a closing line comparison.

This Fund had 7 plays for +1.36 units this week and was 3-4, -.03 in what was a volatile week against the close with some big numbers...

	Date	NCAAF UPSET Basket	1 Unit	Closing	Beat	BTC ML
			per bet	Line	Closer?	Average
133	29-Aug	UCLA +140	-1	116	Y	0.25
137		FL INT +135	-1	128	Y	0.07
147	30-Aug	UTAH ST +150	-1	174	N	-0.24
175	31-Aug	MISSISSIPPI +145	-1	139	Y	0.06
193		SMU +140	1.4	105	Y	0.35
281		ILLINOIS ST +155	-1	220	N	-0.65
305	7-Sep	OHIO +160	-1	161	N	-0.01
317		SYRACUSE +115	-1	102	Y	0.13
343		ARKANSAS ST +115	1.15	-106	Y	0.21
355		N TEXAS +160	-1	152	Y	0.08
357		BYU +145	1.45	134	Y	0.11
385		STANFORD +135	-1	146	N	-0.11
401		KENNESAW ST -110	-1	165	N	-0.75
409		S ILLINOIS +145	1.45	190	N	-0.45
103	13-Sep	NC +150	-1	132	Y	0.18
125	14-Sep	AIR FORCE +155	1.55	130	Y	0.25
133		AKRON +140	-1	119	Y	0.21
153		IOWA -125	0.8	-123	N	-0.02
167		S MISS +130	1.3	130	PUSH	0.00
185		TCU +105	1.05	-155	Y	0.60
303	19-Sep	HOUSTON +155	-1	162	N	-0.07
321	21-Sep	UL LAFAYETTE +145	1.45	132	Y	0.13
343		MICHIGAN +150	-1	145	Y	0.05
347		N MEX ST +167	-1	159	Y	0.08
353		CAL -103	0.97	126	Y	0.29
357		GEORGIA ST +120	-1	119	Y	0.01
365		APP ST +140	1.4	109	Y	0.31
367		AUBURN +160	1.6	156	Y	0.04
369		WYOMING +135	-1	188	N	-0.53
105	27-Sep	DUKE +115	1.15	124	N	-0.09
123	28-Sep	BUFFALO +115	-1	-124	Y	0.39
137		MINNESOTA -110	0.91	108	N	-0.18
149		HAWAII +115	1.15	111	N	-0.04
157		KENTUCKY +110	-1	148	N	-0.38
165		K STATE +160	-1	165	N	-0.05
171		FAU -103	0.97	-126	Y	0.23
179		E CAROLNA -102	0.98	136	N	-0.38
197		HOUSTON +115	1.15	256	N	-1.41
321	5-Oct	BALL ST +160	1.6	152	Y	0.08
327		BAYLOR +110	1.1	-114	Y	0.24
343		ARIZONA +135	1.35	120	Y	0.15
367		W MICHIGAN +115	-1	106	Y	0.09
373		TCU +155	-1	137	Y	0.18
395		UTSA +105	1.05	-110	Y	0.15
101	9-Oct	APP ST +130	1.3	118	Y	0.12
107	10-Oct	SYRACUSE +155	-1	159	N	-0.04
109	11-Oct	VIRGINIA -103	-1	122	N	-0.25
123	12-Oct	NAVY +105	1.05	102	Y	0.03
141		BALL ST +102	1.02	102	PUSH	0.00
147		WASH ST +130	-1	-136	Y	0.66
181		SJST +125	-1	121	Y	0.04
197		FRESNO ST +155	-1	124	Y	0.31
317	19-Oct	DUKE +160	-1	149	Y	0.11
331		FLORIDA ST +125	-1	-136	Y	0.61
361		TOLEDO +110	-1	146	N	-0.36
383		S MISS +105	-1	-140	Y	0.45
389		BAYLOR +130	1.3	188	N	-0.58
395		TULANE +165	-1	121	Y	0.44
113	26-Oct	TROY -110	-1	-104	N	-0.06
119		E MICHIGAN +155	-1	119	Y	0.36
127		INDIANA -102	0.98	107	N	-0.09
129		C MICH +115	-1	114	Y	0.01
133		S FLORIDA +105	1.05	-104	Y	0.09
145		UTAH ST +130	-1	140	N	-0.10
151		ARIZONA +110	-1	133	N	-0.23
159		DUKE +160	-1	120	Y	0.40
163		MIA (OH) +110	1.1	116	N	-0.06
175		OHIO +135	1.35	111	Y	0.24
185		TULANE +160	-1	171	N	-0.11
187		TEXAS -110	-1	103	N	-0.13
207		NOTRE DAME +115	-1	-101	Y	0.16
315	2-Nov	TROY -110	-1	-123	Y	0.13
333		BC +115	1.15	131	N	-0.16
335		BUFFALO +105	1.05	-120	Y	0.25
337		VIRGINIA +110	1.1	-109	Y	0.19
339		BYU +155	1.55	129	Y	0.26
353		N ILLINOIS +105	-1	-120	Y	0.25
359		SMU +135	-1	163	N	-0.28
383		FAU +130	1.3	-123	Y	0.53
395		FRESNO ST +115	1.15	109	Y	0.06
119	9-Nov	FLORIDA ST +100	1	-105	Y	0.05
139		APP ST +160	1.6	202	Y	0.42
145		PURDUE -102	0.98	-102	PUSH	0.00
153		USC +100	1	-187	Y	0.87
171		W KENTUCKY +115	1.15	-102	Y	0.17
179		TENNESSEE +115	1.15	108	Y	0.07
191		UTAH ST +115	1.15	190	N	-0.75
303	12-Nov	W MICHIGAN -110	0.91	105	N	-0.15
307	13-Nov	N ILLINOIS +115	1.15	109	Y	0.06
315	15-Nov	LOUIS TECH +115	-1	192	N	-0.77
317		FRESNO ST +105	-1	115	N	-0.10
335	16-Nov	MINNESOTA +130	-1	148	N	-0.18
339		C MICH +130	1.3	106	Y	0.24
379		TCU +100	1	-172	Y	0.72
		Total	8.82		57-34-3	0.037

Last year this Fund was +2.5 units with a record of 88-35-3 against the close. The average by season end was .14 cents. I've gone into some large moves affecting the overall chart level and keep emphasizing the improvement over the close, the steady climb in the season chart is what we want to see.

So while this volatile week led to a dip below .04 cents on the season and below .099 cents over both seasons, it's important to remember that it came on the heels of two of the best weeks against the close all year.

I mention the record against the close last year and point out that this year isn't too far off; the record is decent even if the season average is .037.

I think the small pullback against this close is fine here as the season chart still trends upward after this sideways action. It's something to watch...





As a psychological barrier it would be nice to see this chart get up and over .05 cents as moves towards .10 cents.

[KVB]

...This Fund is not out of the sideways market just yet and with a run like that, I wouldn't be surprised if we run into a pull back...

...Runs like that don't go forever and we can expect some sideways to help form that upper Bollinger Band and maybe even a little pullback...

We saw a further rise in the Fund units before seeing a little sideways move, which started to form that upper band...



The development we have worth noting this week is the 20 play simple moving average. Notice how it's slipped above the lower bollinger band.

I highlighted other instances where this has happened when the units rose. The condition doesn't last long and when we get into back testing, we can see that it goes for a good 5 plays, but it doesn't mean that there will be a direction change after those 5 plays.

I suspect we hit a top, expect that we ride sideways below that top, then break out one way or another.

I didn't put the line between season in that chart above but last year are the first 126 plays.

Here's last year's chart, let's hope thisyear doesn't do the same after peaking, but that initial sideways move after the peak is what I anticipate over the next few plays...

[KVB]

Here's the KVB NCAAF Visiting Dog Fund through week 12 with links to each play and a crude closing line comparison.

This Fund was 3-6, -3.27 units this week but was 6-0-3 against the close for a running average of .833 for week 12...

				1 Unit	Closing	Beat	BTC
	Record	Date	NCAAF Visiting Dog Fund	per bet	Line	Closer?	Average
385	0-1	7-Sep	STANFORD +3.5 (-115)	-1	3	Y	0.5
387	1-1		CAL +14 (-110)	0.91	13.5	Y	0.5
401	1-2		KENNESAW ST +1.5 (-120)	-1	3.5	N	-2
423	1-3		G WEBB +28 (-120)	-1	31	N	-3
425	2-3		MAINE +10.5 (-120)	0.83	7.5	Y	3
427	2-4		NC A&T +29.5 (-120)	-1	27.5	Y	2
117	2-5	14-Sep	MIA (OH) +16 (-105)	-1	17	N	-1
133	2-6		AKRON +6 (-105)	-1	2.5	Y	3.5
147	3-6		UNLV +20 (-105)	0.95	18.5	Y	1.5
171	4-6		OHIO +5.5 (-105)	0.95	4	Y	1.5
225	5-6		WEBER ST +10 (-120)	0.83	7.5	Y	2.5
233	5-7		MISSOURI ST +29 (-120)	-1	31.5	N	-2.5
339	5-8	21-Sep	W MICHIGAN +5.5 (-110)	-1	3.5	Y	2
343	5-9		MICHIGAN +3 (+100)	-1	3	PUSH	0
361	5-10		KENTUCKY +6 (-102)	-1	6	PUSH	0
367	6-10		AUBURN +4 (-105)	0.95	4	PUSH	0
411	7-10		S ILLINOIS +21.5 (-120)	0.83	23	N	-1.5
111	8-10	27-Sep	ARIZONA ST +5.5 (-105)	0.95	4	Y	1.5
113	9-10	28-Sep	N' WESTERN +24 (-105)	0.95	23	Y	1
123	9-11		BUFFALO +2 (-110)	-1	2.5	N	-0.5
135	9-12		RUTGERS +27.5 (-110)	-1	27.5	PUSH	0
143	9-13		UNLV +9.5 (-105)	-1	8	Y	1.5
153	10-13		INDIANA +14.5 (-110)	0.91	14	Y	0.5
163	10-14		KANSAS +16 (-105)	-1	14.5	Y	1.5
167	10-15		MISS ST +11 (-105)	-1	7.5	Y	3.5
187	11-15		UTEP +25.5 (-110)	0.91	26	N	-0.5
325	12-15	5-Oct	PITT +5 (-107)	0.93	3.5	Y	1.5
337	13-15		V TECH +13.5 (-105)	0.95	14	N	-0.5
349	14-15		CAL +18 (-105)	0.95	21	N	-3
355	14-16		IOWA +4 (-105)	-1	4	PUSH	0
359	14-17		RICE +8.5 (-105)	-1	10	N	-1.5
361	15-17		N'WESTERN +7 (-110)	0.91	7.5	N	-0.5
373	15-18		TCU +4 (-105)	-1	3	Y	1
391	15-19		MICHIGAN ST +20 (-111)	-1	20	PUSH	0
109	15-20	11-Oct	VIRGINIA +3 (-115)	-1	2.5	Y	0.5
131	16-20	12-Oct	GTECH +18.5 (-105)	0.95	18	Y	0.5
143	17-20		ODU +14.5 (-110)	0.91	16.5	N	-2
163	18-20		ARKANSAS +7.5 (-110)	0.91	3.5	Y	4
175	19-20		UNLV +16.5 (-110)	0.91	15	Y	1.5
177	19-21		MICHIGAN ST +10.5 (-110)	-1	8	Y	2.5
181	20-21		SJST +4 (-110)	0.91	3	Y	1
205	21-21		WYOMING +4.5 (-105)	0.95	3.5	Y	1
317	21-22	19-Oct	DUKE +4 (-105)	-1	3.5	Y	0.5
319	22-22		G TECH +18 (-105)	0.95	18.5	N	-0.5
333	23-22		COAST CAR +7 (-125)	0.8	7	PUSH	0
339	24-22		TULSA +17.5 (-105)	0.95	16	Y	1.5
353	24-23		NEVADA +21.5 (-105)	-1	22.5	N	-1
359	24-24		ARIZONA ST +13.5 (-105)	-1	16	N	-2.5
365	25-24		OREGON ST +11.5 (-105)	0.95	10.5	Y	1
375	26-24		KENTUCKY +25 (-105)	0.95	24	Y	1
385	26-25		ODU +16 (-105)	-1	16.5	N	-0.5
411	26-26		CHARLOTTE +9 (-102)	-1	9.5	N	-0.5
421	27-26		MICHIGAN +9 (-107)	0.93	7.5	Y	1.5
127	28-26	26-Oct	INDIANA +1 (-110)	0.91	2.5	N	-1.5
129	28-27		C MICHIGAN +3 (-105)	-1	2.5	Y	0.5
141	28-28		CALIFORNIA +19 (-110)	-1	21	N	-2
143	28-29		NEVADA +13.5 (+100)	-1	13	Y	0.5
149	29-29		W KENTUCKY +6 (-120)	0.83	3.5	Y	2.5
189	30-29		MIAMI +5.5 (-105)	0.95	4.5	Y	1
193	30-30		AKRON +23 (-105)	-1	22	Y	1
199	30-31		WISCONSIN +14.5 (-105)	-1	14.5	PUSH	0
303	31-31	31-Oct	GA SOUTHERN +17 (-110)	0.91	13.5	Y	3.5
313	32-31	2-Nov	ODU +17 (+100)	1	17.5	Y	0.5
325	32-32		N'WESTERN +12.5 (-105)	-1	8.5	Y	4
329	32-33		RUTGERS +19 (-105)	-1	18.5	Y	0.5
337	33-33		VIRGINIA +2.5 (+100)	1	-1	Y	3.5
339	34-33		BYU +6 (-115)	0.87	3	Y	3
387	35-33		MIAMI +4.5 (-105)	0.95	3	Y	1.5
389	35-34		N MEXICO +6.5 (-115)	-1	3.5	Y	3
121	36-34	9-Nov	G TECH +16.5 (-105)	0.95	16	Y	0.5
125	36-35		LOUISVILLE +6.5 (+105)	-1	6.5	PUSH	0
135	37-35		ILLINOIS +13.5 (-105)	0.95	15.5	N	-2
143	37-36		VANDERBILT +25 (-105)	-1	27	N	-2
145	38-36		PURDUE +1 (-105)	0.95	1	PUSH	0
151	39-36		UTSA +4.5 (-105)	0.95	3	Y	1.5
155	40-36		WYOMING +13 (-105)	0.95	16.5	N	-3.5
165	41-36		S ALABAMA +7 (-105)	0.95	7	PUSH	0
175	41-37		UAB +4.5 (-105)	-1	7	N	-2.5
181	41-38		MISSOURI +17 (-105)	-1	18.5	N	-1.5
193	42-38		IOWA +8.5 (-110)	0.91	7.5	Y	1
197	43-38		NEVADA +17 (-110)	0.91	17	PUSH	0
305	43-39	13-Nov	BG +17 (+100)	-1	17	PUSH	0
319	44-39	16-Nov	WV +14.5 (-110)	0.91	14	Y	0.5
329	45-39		SYRACUSE +11 (-115)	0.87	9	Y	2
335	45-40		MINNESOTA +3 (-105)	-1	3	PUSH	0
367	45-41		UTEP +18 (-115)	-1	14.5	Y	3.5
369	45-42		SC +11 (-109)	-1	10.5	Y	0.5
387	45-43		MICHIGAN ST +14 (-110)	-1	13.5	Y	0.5
393	46-43		RICE +13 (-105)	0.95	13	PUSH	0
407	46-44		INCARNATE WORD +8.5 (-120)	-1	8	Y	0.5
	46-44		Total	-1.55		51-24-15	0.472

This Fund has an error with a missed Purdue +17.5 from Oct. 19th.

...The last couple weeks I've mentioned that if we can get the closing line average to stabilize that it's a matter of time before Units follow. It looks like the Units are trying to follow...

The running average vs. the close remains stable as we get a little give and take at the top of the two year UNIT chart...

[KVB]

Here's the KVB NCAAF Visiting Dog ML Fund through week 12 with links to each play and a closing line comparison.

This Fund had 12 plays for -3.4 units and remains dead even against the close on the season...

	Date	NCAAF Visting Dog ML	1 Unit	Closing	Beat	BTC ML
			per bet	Line	Closer?	Average
361	7-Sep	W KENTUCKY +265	2.65	262	Y	0.03
373		ARKANSAS +230	-1	194	Y	0.36
387		CAL +415	4.15	447	Y	0.32
133	14-Sep	AKRON +195	-1	119	Y	0.21
139		E CAROLINA +235	-1	237	N	-0.02
189		FLORIDA ST +240	-1	241	N	-0.01
307	20-Sep	FL INT +275	-1	222	Y	0.53
309		AIR FORCE +260	-1	274	N	-0.14
351	21-Sep	COLORADO +240	2.4	260	N	-0.20
361		KENTUCKY +230	-1	196	Y	0.34
371		S CAROLINA +290	-1	308	N	-0.18
375		OK ST +170	-1	241	N	-0.71
377		BGSU +290	-1	328	N	-0.38
393		LOUISVILLE +265	-1	205	Y	0.60
103	26-Sep	NAVY +320	-1	326	N	-0.06
111	27-Sep	ARIZONA ST +180	1.8	173	Y	0.07
127	28-Sep	NC ST +160	-1	212	N	-0.52
143		UNLV +310	-1	281	Y	0.29
145		WASH ST +210	-1	188	Y	0.22
167		MISS ST +325	-1	258	Y	0.67
183		ARKANSAS ST +215	2.15	215	PUSH	0.00
201		USC +315	-1	380	N	-0.65
203		UCLA +245	-1	138	Y	1.07
309	4-Oct	N MEXICO +220	-1	211	Y	0.09
313	5-Oct	BC +160	-1	156	Y	0.04
321		BALL ST +184	1.84	152	Y	0.32
325		PITT +175	1.75	151	Y	0.24
337		V TECH +415	4.15	447	N	-0.32
347		OREGON ST +190	1.9	163	Y	0.27
353		TULSA +370	-1	351	Y	0.19
355		IOWA +170	-1	174	N	-0.04
357		ILLINOIS +425	-1	427	N	-0.02
359		RICE +270	-1	318	N	-0.48
361		N'WESTERN +230	-1	258	N	-0.28
375		VANDY +225	-1	214	Y	0.11
121	12-Oct	LOUISVILLE +210	2.1	216	N	-0.06
129		NEBRASKA +230	-1	244	N	-0.14
133		GA ST +220	2.2	143	Y	0.77
139		HAWAII +340	-1	356	N	-0.16
153		MISSISSIPPI +340	-1	369	N	-0.29
161		N ILLINOIS +210	2.1	177	Y	0.33
163		ARKANSAS +240	-1	168	Y	0.72
165		T TECH +310	-1	314	N	-0.04
167		MIA (OH) +415	-1	376	Y	0.39
177		MICH ST +310	-1	296	Y	0.14
179		FLORIDA +400	-1	450	N	-0.50
185		M TENN ST +345	-1	353	N	-0.08
189		N TEXAS +170	-1	123	Y	0.47
193		CHARLOTTE +180	-1	195	N	-0.15
205		WYOMING +165	-1	154	Y	0.11
307	17-Oct	UCLA +290	2.9	159	Y	1.31
309	18-Oct	MARSHALL +180	1.8	150	Y	0.30
315		UNLV +425	-1	537	N	-1.12
333	19-Oct	COAST CAR +195	-1	237	N	-0.42
345		KENT +240	-1	253	N	-0.13
359		ARIZONA ST +415	-1	533	N	-1.18
365		OREGON ST +340	3.4	325	Y	0.15
369		ARIZONA +275	-1	350	N	-0.75
371		COLORADO +415	-1	381	Y	0.34
403		S FLORIDA +370	-1	527	N	-1.57
411		CHARLOTTE +320	-1	275	Y	0.45
413		M TENN ST +275	-1	228	Y	0.47
417		TEMPLE +220	-1	273	N	-0.53
421		MICHIGAN +240	-1	250	Y	0.10
109	26-Oct	ILLINOIS +240	2.4	269	N	-0.29
121		MISS ST +320	-1	327	N	-0.07
135		SYRACUSE +300	-1	328	N	-0.28
143		NEVADA +400	-1	403	N	-0.03
149		W KENTUCKY +210	-1	151	Y	0.59
155		COLORADO ST +415	4.15	401	Y	0.14
169		OK ST +265	2.65	335	N	-0.70
189		MIAMI +180	1.8	174	Y	0.06
201		TEXAS ST +415	-1	323	Y	0.92
203		AUBURN +325	-1	357	N	-0.32
303	31-Oct	GA SOUTHERN +490	4.9	456	Y	0.34
309	2-Nov	NC STATE +280	-1	245	Y	0.35
325		N'WESTERN +340	-1	281	Y	0.59
327		AKRON +195	-1	159	Y	0.36
345		COLORADO +180	-1	198	N	-0.18
357		UNLV +290	-1	259	Y	0.31
359		SMU +180	-1	163	Y	0.17
365		OREGON ST +225	2.25	167	Y	0.58
373		TCU +165	-1	-108	Y	0.73
377		TULSA +275	-1	306	N	-0.31
387		MIAMI +165	1.65	135	Y	0.30
389		N MEXICO +210	-1	144	Y	0.66
101	5-Nov	KENT ST +240	-1	136	Y	1.04
103		BALL ST +240	-1	204	Y	0.36
105	6-Nov	MIA (OH) +210	2.1	221	N	-0.11
125	9-Nov	LOUISVILLE +170	-1	215	N	-0.45
135		ILLINOIS +340	3.4	528	N	-1.88
151		UTSA +165	1.65	131	Y	0.35
155		WYOMING +350	-1	524	N	-1.74
165		S ALABAMA +225	-1	224	Y	0.01
167		LSU +225	2.25	182	Y	0.43
173		IOWA ST +400	-1	438	N	-0.38
175		UAB +225	-1	225	PUSH	0.00
183		K STATE +195	-1	241	N	-0.46
185		N TEXAS +195	-1	176	Y	0.19
189		FLOR INT +310	-1	334	N	-0.24
191		UTAH ST +170	1.7	190	N	-0.20
193		IOWA +290	-1	292	N	-0.02
199		SJST +225	-1	250	N	0.25
313	14-Nov	NC +165	-1	167	N	-0.02
315	15-Nov	LOUIS TECH +215	-1	192	Y	0.23
325	16-Nov	INDIANA +425	-1	474	N	-0.49
329		SYRACUSE +320	3.2	272	Y	0.48
341		UL MONROE +225	-1	190	Y	0.35
353		WYOMING +210	-1	176	Y	0.34
365		COAST CAR +325	-1	415	N	-0.90
369		S CAROLINA +310	-1	334	N	-0.24
377		TEXAS +195	-1	212	N	-0.17
387		MICHIGAN ST +415	-1	424	N	-0.09
393		RICE +340	3.4	399	N	-0.59
403		STANFORD +310	-1	325	N	-0.15
		Total	-11.21		57-56-2	0.006

This Fund has an error with a missed Baylor +170 on Oct. 19th.

Last week we expected a drop in the average vs. the close and hoped the units stayed steady and that's what happened.

This week we saw a further drop and the units seemed to have no choice but to drop as well, bouncing off the season low...






This Fund takes patience, and patience that could go into next year.

Right now the Fund is 29-86, or 25.2%. Here are past years...

Year	%	Units
2018	0.260163	-7
2017	0.282258	4.54
2016	0.325	27.15
2015	0.308824	13.86
2014	0.333333	30.49
2013	0.268519	-3.18
2012	0.236364	-18.07
2011	0.300885	15.35
2010	0.349206	41.83
2009	0.244094	-10.01
2008	0.269565	1.78
2006	0.263636	3.28
2005	0.381679	59.98

Finally, here is the big chart, to get an idea of just what kind of retraction we are in and how it's happened in the past...

[KVB]

Here's the KVB NCAAF Family of Funds summary of summaries for week 12.

There were 38 plays for -9.41 units, erasing last weeks 8.5 unit gain but given the downturn in the contrarian markets this last weekend, I'd say the Funds might have been lucky...

NCAAF	Week 12		Season	to Date
Funds	# Plays	Units	# Plays	Units
Totals	3	-1.05	41	-14.86
ATS/ML	7	-3.05	78	-5.83
UPSET Basket	7	1.36	94	8.82
Visiting Dog	9	-3.27	90	-1.55
Visiting Dog ML	12	-3.4	115	-11.21
Total:	38	-9.41	418	-24.63

[KVB]

There, caught up with NCAAF.

[Fidel_CashFlow]

guys an animal

[Fidel_CashFlow]

btw, someone find DaManster and tell him to report to this thread.

[DiggityDaggityDo]

KVB are you risking 1 unit each bet instead of betting to win 1 unit?

[DiggityDaggityDo]

I don't remember this scene.

[DiggityDaggityDo]

[DiggityDaggityDo]

I'm about to have an exxciting lunch.

[DiggityDaggityDo]

[DiggityDaggityDo]

[dlowilly]

Is she this girl's sister?



That home must have been really fuked up

[DiggityDaggityDo]

Would love a three-some with them.

I would fuk the one girl's ear hole while the other one choked me out with her thighs.

[dlowilly]

Would love a three-some with them.

I would fuk the one girl's ear hole while the other one choked me out with her thighs.

Diggity you have almost as many issues as those two

[DiggityDaggityDo]

Diggity you have almost as many issues as those two