NFL Player Props for Week 5: Best Over/Under Prop Bets & TD Picks This Week

I showcase three feature picks in my NFL player props for Week 5 while offering seven appealing bets.
Pictured: Commanders quarterback Jayden Daniels in action as we break down our NFL Player Props for Week 5. Photo by Kevin Jairaj-Imagn Images.
Pictured: Commanders quarterback Jayden Daniels in action as we break down our NFL Player Props for Week 5. Photo by Kevin Jairaj-Imagn Images.
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Despite the Houston Texans' Week 4 defeat, Nico Collins impressed in his return to the lineup. He’s spotlighted in my NFL player props for Week 5, along with Aaron Jones and Jayden Daniels, the latter of whom returns after a two-week injury layoff. 

All featured picks, along with four others, are part of our NFL Week 5 predictions.


NFL player prop bets for Week 5

See the latest NFL odds and our experts' NFL picks for every game this season.

Player Prop bet Best odds
Nico Collins  Over 5.5 receptions  -122 via FanDuel 
Aaron Jones Over 72.5 rushing yards  -114 via FanDuel 
Jayden Daniels  Over 198.5 passing yards  -114 via FanDuel 
Nico Collins  Most receiving yards in Texans vs. Titans -130 via FanDuel 
C.J. Stroud  Over 239.5 passing yards  -114 via FanDuel 
Amon-Ra St. Brown  Anytime TD -140 via BetMGM
Jacoby Brissett  Over 1.5 TD passes -130 via FanDuel 

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Best NFL player props this week

Search the best NFL player prop odds for any team or player across every market from legal sportsbooks in your area.

Nico Collins Over 5.5 receptions (-122 via FanDuel)

Collins was back in full force last week, catching seven passes against an admittedly poor Dallas Cowboys secondary. Collins also caught seven passes in the season opener against the Buffalo Bills before missing Weeks 2 and 3 with an injury. 

Collins caught 87.5% of the passes thrown his way against the Cowboys, looking so sure-handed he could have caught a marble on a 30-yard toss. 

He should be a focal point yet again for C.J. Stroud, who targets his main man 28.6% of the time. The Titans allow 12.5 receptions to opposing wide receivers and have the third-worst defensive pass DVOA. 

Aaron Jones Over 72.5 rushing yards (-114 via FanDuel)

Jones easily eclipsed this total in two of the previous three games, scampering for 94 yards against the Miami Dolphins last week and 105 against the Chicago Bears in Week 2. 

He should get a ton of work against a New Orleans Saints team with the worst defensive rush DVOA and the third-most rushing yards against per attempt (5.1). Jones has averaged 20 attempts per game in the previous three weeks, and if he sustains his 4.1-yards-per-carry average, he’ll surpass the 72.5-yard threshold with room to spare. 

And it’s not like the Saints don’t see it coming, as teams run against them 47.18% of the time, the seventh-most.

Jayden Daniels Over 198.5 passing yards (-114 via FanDuel)

Daniels is back, baby. While presuming he’ll hit his passing yards Over after missing two weeks with an elbow injury has its risks, Daniels has feasted on the New York Giants defense, averaging 222.7 passing yards in three previous meetings. 

The Giants pass defense is mediocre in terms of EPA per play, ranked 15th. It’s also a fairly low total, which makes sense considering Daniels has only finished one game this season. In it, he accumulated only 164 yards against the Philadelphia Eagles. 

However, the Giants allowed 318 passing yards to the Los Angeles Rams in their only away game thus far.

💡 More NFL predictions

Want more NFL betting advice? Check out all of our NFL analysis and expert predictions for every game this season.