NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds 2025-26: Tyler Warren Favorite as Jeanty, Hampton Struggle
After a tough start to the season for Las Vegas Raiders running back Ashton Jeanty and Los Angeles Chargers running back Omarion Hampton, the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds have a new front-runner.
Indianapolis Colts tight end Tyler Warren is atop the board early in the NFL season, despite a tight end never having won the award in the Super Bowl era. The first-round pick out of Penn State has a chance to do what Kyle Pitts and Brock Bowers couldn't and become the first at his position to win OROY since Mike Ditka in 1961.
However, is Warren really the best rookie to target for your NFL picks, seeing as Bowers and Pitts couldn't take home the award after surpassing 1,000 yards as rookies?
📊 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds 2025-26
Our 2025 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds update in real time based on the latest NFL odds.
📈 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year betting insights
NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year betting insights via BetMGM.
| Highest ticket percentage | Highest handle percentage |
|---|---|
| Cam Ward, Titans (8%) | Cam Ward, Titans (14%) |
| TreVeyon Henderson, Patriots (7.8%) | Ashton Jeanty, Raiders (10%) |
| Omarion Hampton, Chargers (7.8%) | Shedeur Sanders, Browns (9.5%) |
| Emeka Egbuka, Buccaneers (7.5%) | Omarion Hampton, Chargers (7.6%) |
| Ashton Jeanty, Raiders (7.3%) | Emeka Egbuka, Buccaneers (6.6%) |
🏆 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds favorite
See our NFL player prop odds tool for the best NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year futures odds on any player.
🐴 Tyler Warren (+480)
Without a doubt, Warren has been one of the best rookies off the bat, which comes as no surprise for anyone who watched the John Mackey Award winner carry the Nittany Lions to a College Football Playoff berth last season. But can the 14th overall pick do something that no tight end has done during the Super Bowl era?
The 23-year-old is on pace for 1,318 yards on 94 receptions, which would break Bowers' rookie record for receiving yards by a tight end (1,194). Still, Bowers, who also set the rookie tight end receptions record (112), came second to Jayden Daniels for the award last year, receiving just one first-place vote.
If Warren can keep up his pace, which seems unrealistic, he still has to beat out two wide receivers who have shone early. Carolina Panthers first-round pick Tetairoa McMillan is on pace for more receiving yards than Warren (1,428), and Tampa Bay Buccaneers first-round pick Emeka Egbuka is on pace for more touchdowns (26).
Plus, he's competing with the No. 1 pick in Tennessee Titans QB Cam Ward, who plays a position that's taken home the award in four of the last six years, and several brand-name running backs. While Warren deserves love early, these odds are a bad value, paying just a $48 profit on a $10 bet.
👀 My NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year best bet
🏴☠️ Ashton Jeanty (+500)
The sky seems to be falling with this rookie running back class disappointing early. Players like Jeanty, Hampton, New England Patriots running back TreVeyon Henderson, and Denver Broncos running back RJ Harvey were supposed to take the league by storm. Instead, Cleveland Browns fourth-round pick Dylan Sampson leads all rookie running backs in fantasy points.
Jeanty, who opened as a +250 favorite to win the award, has seen his NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds double after a sluggish start. But that's why I'm buying in on him now, with these odds paying a $50 profit on a $10 winning bet. The No. 6 overall pick is due to break out any week now; we just need Chip Kelly to commit to using him.
Jeanty set the college football record for forced missed tackles on rushes at Boise State last season (152) while running for nearly 2,000 yards after contact (1,970). His contact balance is for real, and we've seen it in spurts early in his rookie season.
Jeanty leads all rookies in forced missed tackles (8) and trails only Bijan Robinson and Jonathan Taylor overall - he also leads all rookies in rushing yards after contact (84). Between his volume and the early flashes, I'm buying Jeanty now before these odds shorten.
🔢 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year opening odds
Odds via BetMGM.
- Ashton Jeanty, Raiders: +250
- Cam Ward, Titans: +250
- Travis Hunter, Jaguars: +550
- Tetairoa McMillan, Panthers: +1300
- Omarion Hampton, Chargers: +1500
- Tyler Shough, Saints: +2000
- Quinshon Judkins, Browns: +2000
- TreVeyon Henderson, Patriots: +2000
- Matthew Golden, Packers: +2200
- Colston Loveland, Bears: +2500
- Jaxson Dart, Giants: +2500
- Shedeur Sanders, Browns: +2500
- RJ Harvey, Broncos: +3000
- Tyler Warren, Colts: +3500
- Kaleb Johnson, Steelers: +3500
- Emeka Egbuka, Buccaneers: +4000
- Luther Burden III, Bears: +4000
- Will Howard, Steelers: +5000
- Jalen Milroe, Seahawks: +5000
- Jalen Royals, Chiefs: +5000
- Tre Harris, Chargers: +5000
💰 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds history
| Season | Player | Team | Preseason odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Jayden Daniels, QB | Commanders | +500 |
| 2023 | C.J. Stroud, QB | Texans | +850 |
| 2022 | Garrett Wilson, WR | Jets | +2000 |
| 2021 | Ja'Marr Chase, WR | Bengals | +1800 |
| 2020 | Justin Herbert, QB | Chargers | +3000 |
| 2019 | Kyler Murray, QB | Cardinals | +150 |
| 2018 | Saquon Barkley. RB | Giants | +155 |
| 2017 | Alvin Kamara, RB | Saints | +5000 |
| 2016 | Dak Prescott, QB | Cowboys | +900 |
| 2015 | Todd Gurley, RB | Rams | +1350 |
| 2014 | Odell Beckham Jr., WR | Giants | +2500 |
❓NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year FAQs
Who is the favorite for NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?
Indianapolis Colts tight end Tyler Warren is the betting favorite to win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year, with +480 odds. That implies a 17.24% chance that he'll win the award, according to our odds calculator. A winning $10 bet would return a $48 profit.
Who was the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year last year?
Washington Commanders quarterback Jayden Daniels won the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award after entering the season with +500 odds.
Has a tight end ever won NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?
Former Chicago Bears tight end Mike Ditka is the only tight end to win AP NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year. Ditka did it in 1961, and no tight end has won the award during the Super Bowl era. However, tight ends Charle Young, Robert Awalt, Keith Jackson, and Jeremy Shockey have won various rookie of the year awards from other selection committees.
Has a team ever had both the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year and Defensive Rookie of the Year?
With C.J. Stroud winning OROY and Will Anderson winning DROY for the Houston Texans two years ago, it marked the fourth time in league history that both winners were on the same team.
The previous three times were with the New York Jets in 2022 (Garrett Wilson and Sauce Gardner), New Orleans Saints in 2017 (Alvin Kamara, Marshon Lattimore), and the Detroit Lions in 1967 (Mel Farr, Lem Barney).
Has a rookie ever won NFL MVP?
Jim Brown is the only rookie to ever win NFL MVP. He won both Offensive Rookie of the Year and MVP in 1957 for the Cleveland Browns after leading the league with 942 rushing yards.
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