Bears vs. Eagles Prediction & Odds for Black Friday: NFL Week 13 Betting Preview
Black Friday features two 8-3 teams from Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia (3 p.m. ET, Prime Video), and my Bears vs. Eagles prediction expects Chicago to prevent Philly from breaking it open.
The Eagles are the 7-point betting favorite, which is slightly too large for my liking. Along with backing the Bears to cover, I'm featuring a Saquon Barkley prop bet as part of our Week 13 NFL predictions.
✅ Bears vs. Eagles prediction & expert picks
See all of our experts' NFL picks for Week 13.
💵 Best Bears vs. Eagles bets
- Game prediction: Bears +7 (-108 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Over/Under pick: Under 44.5 (-110 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Best prop bet: Saquon Barkley Over 76.5 rushing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
🏈 Black Friday preview & score prediction
The Bears are actually good. Their ease of schedule, however, should prevent anyone from saying they're elite. They've won eight of the previous nine and four straight, but only one of those victories, against the 6-5 Pittsburgh Steelers, came against a team that is currently above .500.
That said, the Bears have an uncanny knack for playing in tight contests, with just three of those nine games decided by more than five points. Six of Chicago's previous eight games were decided by an average of 2.67 points.
The Eagles are in a similar boat, consistently playing up or down to their opponents' level. Only one of the Eagles' eight victories has come by more than seven points, against the two-win New York Giants at home in Week 8.
Take that victory out of the equation, and the Eagles' winning margin averages 5.14 points.
With that 18-point triumph, the Eagles' average winning margin is just 6.75 points. Two of their three losses came by four points or fewer. At +1.5, Chicago has the best turnover margin in the NFL. Even if they don't win the turnover battle, I'm not confident Philly can break it open.
In addition, wind gusts of up to 35 mph could wreak havoc on the field goal kickers, making it even more challenging to gain separation. If the Bears lose by six points or fewer, you'll earn $9.26 on a $10 bet at DraftKings.
Score prediction: Eagles 23, Bears 17
💡 More Week 13 predictions
Want more NFL betting advice? Check out all of our NFL analysis and expert predictions for every game in Week 13.
🆚 Key matchup to watch on Black Friday
Saquon Barkley vs. Bears' defense
Barkley has endured the most precipitous drop in level and production since last season.
However, he has hit the Over on this total in consecutive home games and is facing a Bears team with the sixth-worst defensive rush DVOA. It allows the third-most rushing yards per attempt (5.2) and the fifth-most rushing yards per game (138.1).
I'd be surprised if the Eagles don't try to exploit that poor run-stop unit, especially in what should be blustery conditions. Even if the wind is a non-factor, Philly will attempt to dictate time of possession with a heavy dose of Saquon.
FanDuel offers the lowest total (76.5 yards), and its odds are almost the same as the other best sports betting sites providing higher yardage totals. The -114 odds imply a 53.27% probability, and a winning $10 bet will profit $8.77.
Best prop bet: Over 76.5 rushing yards (-114 via FanDuel)
📊 Bears vs. Eagles odds
See live NFL odds for every game in Week 13.
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📈 Bears vs. Eagles betting trends
| Bears | Statistic | Eagles |
|---|---|---|
| 8-3 | W-L record | 8-3 |
| 7-4 | ATS record | 7-4 |
| 6-4-1 | O/U record | 5-6 |
| 5.7 | Yards per play | 5.2 |
| 6.1 | Yards allowed per play | 5.4 |
| +1.5 | Turnover margin | +0.5 |
| 4-1 | Last 5 games | 4-1 |
| W, 31-28 vs. Steelers | Previous result | L, 24-21 vs. Cowboys |
🚑 Bears vs. Eagles injury report
🌤️ Bears vs. Eagles weather
The temperature will be a cool and crisp 43 degrees, and the wind is expected to gust to 35 mph. While there is only a 2% chance of precipitation, expect the blustery conditions to impact both offenses and each team's kicking.
Check our NFL weather report for the latest forecasts and betting impacts for every game this week.
📺 How to watch Bears vs. Eagles Black Friday
- Date: Friday, Nov. 28
- Kickoff: 3 p.m. ET
- Location: Lincoln Financial Field (Philadelphia)
- TV: Prime Video
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