🏀 Final Four Odds for March Madness 2026: Illinois Leads Following Sweet 16 Win
After an upset win over No. 2 seed Houston, Illinois is now atop the Final Four odds following the first day of Sweet 16 play.
The No. 3 seed Fighting Illini are -270 to reach the Final Four, with No. 9 seed Iowa being their Elite Eight opponent.
The three remaining No. 1 seeds, Arizona (-260), Michigan (-165), and Duke (-110), all have an implied probability above 52% of reaching Indianapolis, too.
Prepare for the Sweet 16 with our March Madness predictions.
📊 Final Four odds 2026
Final Four odds via FanDuel.
| Team | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Illinois | -270 | 73.0% |
| Arizona | -260 | 72.2% |
| Michigan | -165 | 62.3% |
| Duke | -110 | 52.4% |
| Purdue | +200 | 33.3% |
| Iowa | +210 | 32.3% |
| Iowa State | +290 | 25.6% |
| Connecticut | +370 | 21.3% |
| Michigan State | +440 | 18.5% |
| St. John's | +500 | 16.7% |
| Tennessee | +800 | 11.1% |
| Alabama | +1000 | 9.1% |
🤖 March Madness AI bracket predictions
Want some help with your bracket? Our C Jackson Cowart trained the latest version of Claude for its best 2026 March Madness AI predictions.
🔢 Final Four opening odds
Odds via FanDuel.
- Houston: +185
- Duke: +200
- UConn: +210
- Purdue: +220
- Gonzaga: +290
- Louisville: +310
- Kentucky: +320
- Arizona: +340
- Illinois: +340
- Texas Tech: +430
- BYU: +430
- Alabama: +430
- St. John's: +430
- Florida: +490
- Michigan: +500
- Iowa State: +750
- Arkansas: +750
- North Carolina: +750
- Tennessee: +750
- Kansas: +800
- NC State: +1300
- Baylor: +1300
- Indiana: +1300
- Vanderbilt: +1300
- UCLA: +1300
- Creighton: +1300
- Wisconsin: +1500
- Michigan State: +1500
💰 Final Four betting history
| Year | March Madness champion | Preseason Final Four odds |
|---|---|---|
| 2024-25 | Florida | +2000 |
| 2023-24 | UConn | +2000 |
| 2022-23 | UConn | +8000 |
| 2021-22 | Kansas | +1400 |
| 2020-21 | Baylor | +800 |
| 2018-19 | Virginia | +1350 |
| 2017-18 | Villanova | +2700 |
| 2016-17 | North Carolina | +1900 |
| 2015-16 | Villanova | +2500 |
| 2014-15 | Duke | +900 |
| 2013-14 | Connecticut | +6500 |
| 2012-13 | Louisville | +700 |
❓Final Four FAQs
Who are the 2026 Final Four odds favorites?
The 2026 Final Four odds favorites are Illinois (-270), Arizona (-260), Michigan (-165), and Duke (-110). The odds for all four programs imply a probability greater than 52% of reaching the Final Four, according to our odds calculator.
When is the 2026 Final Four?
The 2026 Final Four will be played on Saturday, April 4, with the championship game on Monday, April 6.
Where is the 2026 Final Four?
The Final Four and NCAA Championship game will be played at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis.
When is the national championship game?
The 2026 March Madness tournament will begin with Selection Sunday on Sunday, March 15. The NCAA Championship will be played on Monday, April 6.
Who was in last year's Final Four?
Auburn, Duke, Florida, and Houston reached the Final Four of the NCAA Tournament. All four teams were No. 1 seeds, which marked the second time in tournament history that all four top seeds reached the Final Four.
Florida and Houston advanced to meet in the national championship game. The Gators won that game 65-63 to secure their first national title in nearly two decades.
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