BMW Championship Second-Round Leader Prediction & Odds: Who Leads After Round 2 in Bellerive Country Club?

Second-round leader bets can be long-shot plays, but it only takes one hit to completely make your weekend - so who are we backing? Let’s dive in.
Wyndham Clark plays his shot from the first tee as he is featured in our BMW Championship Second-Round Leader prediction & odds.
Pictured: Wyndham Clark plays his shot from the first tee as he is featured in our BMW Championship Second-Round Leader prediction & odds. Photo by Steve Roberts-Imagn Images
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The BMW Championship second-round leader prediction and odds markets take center stage this week as the PGA Tour continues the FedExCup Playoffs at Bellerive Country Club in St. Louis, Missouri. After Thursday’s opening round, the 50-player field will look to build momentum and position themselves near the top of the leaderboard while earning valuable FedExCup points.

Bellerive Country Club features long par 4s, Bentgrass greens, and water hazards that can challenge players throughout the second round. With no cut, golfers can attack aggressively on Friday, making strong ball-striking and efficient putting especially important for players chasing the second-round lead.


Pick Best odds
Wyndham Clark +465 via FanDuel
Rory McIlroy +770 via DraftKings
Ludvig Aberg +1550 via FanDuel

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⛳ Who'll lead the BMW Championship after Round 2?

Wyndham Clark (+465)

Wyndham Clark is the pick to lead the BMW Championship after Round 2 following an impressive opening round at Bellerive Country Club. Clark fired a 6-under 64 on Thursday and sits tied for the lead, giving him an ideal position to attack the course again on Friday.

His recent form has been excellent, including a T5 finish at last week’s FedEx St. Jude Championship, while his strong approach play and putting profile fit Bellerive well. With momentum already on his side, Clark has a strong opportunity to separate himself in Round 2.

Rory McIlroy (+770)

Rory McIlroy is an appealing pick to lead the BMW Championship after Round 2, entering Friday at 6-under and tied forthe lead. After a strong opening round at Bellerive Country Club, McIlroy has put himself in excellent position to make another move up the leaderboard.

The former FedExCup champion remains one of the most talented players in the field and has plenty of experience handling pressure during the postseason. With his ability to generate birdie opportunities and attack scoring holes, McIlroy has a strong chance to overtake the leaders and claim the second-round lead.

Ludvig Aberg (+1550)

Ludvig Aberg is an intriguing pick to lead the BMW Championship after Round 2, entering Friday at 4-under and just two shots off the lead. The Swedish star has already shown strong form in the FedExCup Playoffs, finishing T7 at last week’s FedEx St. Jude Championship.

Aberg’s elite ball-striking gives him a major advantage at Bellerive Country Club, where precise approach play can create plenty of birdie opportunities. With another strong round, he has the talent and scoring ability to quickly erase the two-shot deficit and position himself atop the leaderboard heading into the weekend.

⏰️ When are first-round leader bets paid out?

The first-round leader market is decided once everyone in the field has completed their first 18 holes. This may be Friday morning in the event of a weather or darkness delay.


⛅ What to consider when betting on the second-round leader

Betting on the second-round leader of any golf tournament is far different than betting on the tournament winner or any prop market.

Here are the factors I always consider with my second-round leader picks:

  • Tee times
  • Weather
  • Course history
  • Round 1 and 2 scoring average
  • Recent form
  • Key stats for the week

The second-round leader betting market is much more volatile than the 72-hole event. As such, the odds for the tournament favorites are higher in this market, and the odds for the long shots are generally slightly shorter when betting on the 36-hole sample.

Early tee times are typically best to target for your picks. Courses are often at their softest and easiest, with no divots in the fairways or wear on the greens. But the weather can significantly change that line of thought. Monitor the weatherto be sure your desired golfers will be dodging the worst of the rain and wind, should any be in the forecast.

I also greatly reduce my timeframe when looking at recent performance entering Friday's second round.

Friday's weather at Bellerive Country Club

Weather from Accuweather:

Metric Forecast
🌡️ Temp. 77 degrees in the morning, high of 87 in the afternoon
💨 Wind 6 mph with gusts up to 10 mph
🌧️ Precipitation Cloudy with 48% cloud cover; 25% precipitation

📊 BMW Championship second-round leader odds

Here are the BMW Championship second-round leader odds via our best golf betting sites.