Originally Posted by
MobFade
The Eagles of last year are a great example of how a team can not live up to expectations and never bounce back because they weren't the team everyone thought they were. They were 4-12 ATS because they were overrated all year. The NYG look a lot like that right now. This week isn't a good week to hope for a bounce-back with their line still in shambles and that defense looking like it might as well just stay home. The NYG showed down the stretch last year that they weren't a good team, and they're showing it again.
The 49ers have some real problems too in their secondary and in their WR corps. Neither could be considered good, and the areas of the team that masked these deficiencies is falling apart ATM. Short week going to STL to play a team designed to beat them might not be the spot to see if Kaepernick has his head on right yet.
I see where your head is at with the contrarian bounce-back stuff, but these aren't the only spots where there is value because of public perception. Teams like Carolina are flying under the radar, and teams like NYJ, TEN, ARI are going to play a lot of games close. These are the kind of spots I would look for. Healthy teams that play good D taking on public teams and getting too many points.