1. #3676
    l3randonf
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    Great call on the under!

  2. #3677
    brnsnd
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    Quote Originally Posted by l3randonf View Post
    Great call on the under!
    Waaayy too early for that. Don't Jinx it

  3. #3678
    frugalgambler
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dollars2Donuts View Post
    This is going to be a battle in the trenches IMO. NO way SA hits for 62% thru the first 18 minutes like they did last game....the ball will be in Lebron's hands more than anyone elses and he ALWAYS takes the ball up the court slowly. There are a ton of reasons I like the under here....those are just a few. If both teams (somehow) come out hot and the total climbs I will hit it again throughout the game.
    Glad I listened to you D2D. Both teams have butterflies, looks to be a pretty low-scoring game, barring an OT. Go Spurs!

  4. #3679
    Coreos
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    Still looking for the score to cascade down before trying to hit the middle. It's at 177 right now, but I think it's still a little high.

  5. #3680
    frugalgambler
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    Quote Originally Posted by Coreos View Post
    Still looking for the score to cascade down before trying to hit the middle. It's at 177 right now, but I think it's still a little high.
    It was at 172, now at 175.

  6. #3681
    Dollars2Donuts
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    Quote Originally Posted by frugalgambler View Post
    It was at 172, now at 175.
    It SHOULD be at 164, but they cant hit it that hard yet...it would cost the book too much. Battier could slow down for us too, that would help.

  7. #3682
    Dollars2Donuts
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    This is weird...they are keeping the o/u very high (178) for where I believe it should be....I know they are starting to score the ball a little better....but still. The 2nd half should be very tight, especially in a close game or if the Heat get ahead (they tend to slow things down as opposed to SA who will keep pushing)...

    I would love to middle this sucker, but I just don't think 10 points is enough yet. I will reevaluate at the half.

  8. #3683
    Dollars2Donuts
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    Also, we had a nice turn of events when the Tigers homered in the 9th to win that game for us....very nice. The Rockies lost, but that was a one unit bet....if the Cards can pick it up that would be great.

  9. #3684
    Coreos
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dollars2Donuts View Post
    This is weird...they are keeping the o/u very high (178) for where I believe it should be....I know they are starting to score the ball a little better....but still. The 2nd half should be very tight, especially in a close game or if the Heat get ahead (they tend to slow things down as opposed to SA who will keep pushing)...

    I would love to middle this sucker, but I just don't think 10 points is enough yet. I will reevaluate at the half.
    I'm right there with you man, the 2Q is actually pretty high scoring, but I agree w/you that I think 2H should be low. Just a weird game for me. May not try to middle and just hope it stays under.

  10. #3685
    Dollars2Donuts
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    I blew it....I could have had 174.5 at one point for a 13.5 point middle....now it is gone. No way I am going to bet the other way at 184.5.

    And again, to all of you that said 'great job on the under'....why would you do that in the first Q? Jeez. This game has turned big time....but I still expect at some point for these guys to forget they are playing basketball and begin to realize that this game is for EVERYTHING. Right now both teams are playing like this is Game #39 in the regular season against a non-divisional opponent. That cannot continue IMO. We may not win this.....but I still think the smart $ is on the under.

  11. #3686
    frugalgambler
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    Quote Originally Posted by Coreos View Post
    I'm right there with you man, the 2Q is actually pretty high scoring, but I agree w/you that I think 2H should be low. Just a weird game for me. May not try to middle and just hope it stays under.
    The 2nd half is at 94.5 now. Hard to read for me. Spurs will surely keep pushing so it might go over, especially in the 3rd quarter.

  12. #3687
    Nicksweger42
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    Yea I think under is still the side to be on.. I agree completely D2D, I'm not a very superstitious person, but why the hell can't people jus keep their mouth closed until the game is over, or at least the 4th quarter lol... No need to congratulate on a bet that still has 3 fuckin quarters left!!!

  13. #3688
    Dollars2Donuts
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    Boys...I laid it off at the last second....I just couldn't help it.

    184648515-1 6/20/13 10:33pm $220.00 $200.00 Pending 6/20/13 9:00pm NBA Basketball 713 San Antonio Spurs/Miami Heat 2nd Half Over 94½ -110*

  14. #3689
    Dollars2Donuts
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    The pace is staying high....I just started to doubt my own feelings....and it has already been a good day. Also, OT is still a possibility.

    Ugh...maybe I will get lucky and hit the (small) middle.

  15. #3690
    Dollars2Donuts
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    Down to 183.5 now.....will probably still come down. I believe my first strategy to be the most sound....I talked myself into this spot....which is what I always tell others not to do, lol.

    Yep...nobody can make a shot....

  16. #3691
    frugalgambler
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dollars2Donuts View Post
    I blew it....I could have had 174.5 at one point for a 13.5 point middle....now it is gone. No way I am going to bet the other way at 184.5.

    And again, to all of you that said 'great job on the under'....why would you do that in the first Q? Jeez. This game has turned big time....but I still expect at some point for these guys to forget they are playing basketball and begin to realize that this game is for EVERYTHING. Right now both teams are playing like this is Game #39 in the regular season against a non-divisional opponent. That cannot continue IMO. We may not win this.....but I still think the smart $ is on the under.
    Uh, I am quite sorry, will keep my trap shut next time. I was just happy that you talked me out of betting on 1H over.

  17. #3692
    Coreos
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    Lol, I did the same thing myself - put in a hedge bet at over 185 and now there's a drought.

    Edit: Now it's 187.5 - this game is too hard to read
    Last edited by Coreos; 06-20-13 at 09:59 PM.

  18. #3693
    Dollars2Donuts
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    And 190.5....you are right. I am glad I bought my way out of the game and have a small shot at a middle.

  19. #3694
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    I will jinx myself here....I hve a real shot at the middle.....fun game!!

  20. #3695
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    Ok, first off congrats to those that just stuck with the under...it was the right play. My attempt to middle it was terrible as I could have done it at 174.5, 175, 178, 180.5 and 183 (all of which were winners) and I finally pulled the trigger at 184.5 and missed by 1.5 points. Still a nice day yesterday and today.....and we have had 4 nice days in a row (even though I didn't post the first 2 for you guys, lol).

    Here is my update for my stats (the Dodgers are down 2-1 in the 6th and I am going to count it as a loss....if they come back I will adjust everything tomorrow).


    Yesterday and Today:

    13-8 + $344

    MLS 2-0 + $200
    NHL 0-1 - $294
    MLB 8-3 + $628
    ATP 3-4 - $190

    Totals (110 documented days):

    831-691

    + $ 13,401.65


    Play of the Day (NO CHANGE):

    45 - 22

    + $6452.93



    Hopefully, if any of you followed in the NBA game you stayed away from the in game betting.....because it would have been a load better....also, if D-Wade makes his last free throw then Miami doesn't even contest a San Antonio shot and chances are VERY good I middle that. Oh well....enjoy your night boys and I will see you tomorrow.

    D2D
    Points Awarded:

    Bill_Hicks gave Dollars2Donuts 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  21. #3696
    Sick_in_the_Head
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    Good to have you back D2D. We missed you.

  22. #3697
    Dollars2Donuts
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sick_in_the_Head View Post
    Good to have you back D2D. We missed you.
    Thanks man....much appreciated!

    Tomorrow's ATP picks:

    184686485-1 6/21/13 12:48am $310.00 $200.00 Pending 6/21/13 10:30am ATP Tennis 101 Xavier Malisse -155* vs Nicolas Mahut
    184686485-2 6/21/13 12:48am $120.00 $100.00 Pending 6/21/13 8:30am ATP Tennis 124 S.Wawrinka Games Won -3½ -120* vs G.Garcia-Lopez Games Won
    184686485-3 6/21/13 12:48am $120.00 $100.00 Pending 6/21/13 8:30am ATP Tennis 123 G.Garcia-Lopez Games Won/S.Wawrinka Games Won Under 22½ -120*
    184686485-4 6/21/13 12:48am $125.00 $100.00 Pending 6/21/13 9:30am ATP Tennis 203 I.Dodig Games Won +2 -125* vs F.Lopez Games Won
    184686485-5 6/21/13 12:48am $120.00 $100.00 Pending 6/21/13 9:30am ATP Tennis 203 I.Dodig Games Won/F.Lopez Games Won Over 23½ -120*
    184686485-6 6/21/13 12:48am $135.00 $100.00 Pending 6/21/13 10:45am ATP Tennis 222 Gilles Simon -135* vs Andreas Seppi
    184686485-7 6/21/13 12:48am $100.00 $105.00 Pending 6/21/13 10:45am ATP Tennis 223 A.Seppi Games Won/G.Simon Games Won Over 23½ +105*

  23. #3698
    Bawth
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    Hey D2D, Pinny has much better lines, for example Malisse SU is -141

  24. #3699
    Dollars2Donuts
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    Yep, I need to get on there for sure. Problem is right now I am in the process of buying a place in Vancouver (literally the most expensive (when compared to average earnings) city in the entire world).....and am needing every penny I can scrounge. Don't really want to pull funds from 5dimes right now. When I get settled in a couple of months I will throw a g-note on Pinny for sure.

  25. #3700
    MonkeyMoney
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    nice to have you back d2d with a new outlook,
    but are we really talking about jinxes? lol

  26. #3701
    Dollars2Donuts
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    Quote Originally Posted by MonkeyMoney View Post
    nice to have you back d2d with a new outlook,
    but are we really talking about jinxes? lol
    Lol....I think it is more the connotation that it holds. When somebody comes on and does that it may not be a true jinx or anything, but it does feel disrespectful to the people that are on the right side of things....I hope you catch my drift.

    And thanks....good to be back. It was a crappy three weeks.

  27. #3702
    brnsnd
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    I have been avoiding betting with you in tennis since my only option is the ML but I'll give it a try today. BTW thank you for starting this thread, it got me into watching NHL and MLB maybe it's time for tennis

  28. #3703
    Dollars2Donuts
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    Slight revision for yesterday's posting for results. I had forgotten to include the CFL game (Hamilton -5) as they won 52-0.

    Yesterday and Today:

    14-8 + $444

    MLS 2-0 + $200
    NHL 0-1 - $294
    MLB 8-3 + $628
    ATP 3-4 - $190
    CFL 1-0 + $100

    Totals (110 documented days):

    832-691

    + $ 13,501.65


    Play of the Day (NO CHANGE):

    45 - 22

    + $6452.93

  29. #3704
    Dollars2Donuts
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    Hilarious....Wawrinka, up 6-1 and 5-4 and serving for the match.....shits the bed and goes down 15-40 to Garcia-Lopez....then battles back to deuce and still gives up another ad, BUT battles back and wins it (6-1, 6-4) to win our first two bets of the day.

    A nice start.....let's keep it up!

    D2D

  30. #3705
    Pikachu
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    Nice start indeed. Thought it was easy with the under till Garcia picked up the game in second set haha

  31. #3706
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    In the Dodig match it should be an interesting 2nd set. Dodig was the better player in the first set, but got HAMMERED in a tie break 7-3. Now, can he hang in here mentally? If he can take the 2nd set we will be in great shape, but if he falls apart then we will lose both wagers on this match.

    EDIT: Yep....these Eastern Europeans are very predictable. I hate to type-cast any particular culture, but I swear if things don't go their way they just wilt and die. One bad tie break and the guy wants to go to the next tournament....pitiful.

    EDIT #2: LOL.....it is almost unreal how predictable this was. Like I said before....you could tell he was going to do this....down 5-0 now, may lose this set to 0....when before the tie break he was outplaying Lopez.....WEAK.
    Last edited by Dollars2Donuts; 06-21-13 at 10:26 AM.

  32. #3707
    Pikachu
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    He looked so good in first set. 0-5 in second set. Unbelievable. Hope Malisse can hang on.

  33. #3708
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    Quote Originally Posted by Pikachu View Post
    He looked so good in first set. 0-5 in second set. Unbelievable. Hope Malisse can hang on.
    Malisse was playing good in the first set then he got pissed at a call and started making mistakes. Looks to be ok in the second set.

    EDIT: Wow he has a right to be pissed, two wrong calls that cost him 2 games
    Last edited by brnsnd; 06-21-13 at 10:33 AM.

  34. #3709
    Dollars2Donuts
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    Sometimes I wonder.....now I am no conspiracy theorist, but the Malisse/Mahut match feels....a little hinky. Mahut hasn't been to a final since 2007 (until today) and he was only a small dog against Malisse....IMO that was a really amazing line, and then Malisse lost the match and didn't even look interested.

    Malisse has made his career on exactly these positions (small 250 tournies) and usually fights tooth and nail, but today he just....well, he just rolled over. I never want to be a 'that line is too good to be true' guy...but this one feels wrong.

    So we went (in the course of that tie break earlier) from 2-0 and up $200 to 2-3 and down $355 for the day. MLB picks to come later.

  35. #3710
    Dollars2Donuts
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    And now Simon, up a break in the first set, gives it back to Seppi. I really want Simon to grab this first set....at least then we are in a break even scenario.....

    Oops....now he has broken back....phew!

    EDIT: Looks like Seppi has given up too. 3-4 today but down $355, all basically from Malisse' terrible crapping of the bed.

    MLB picks to come later.
    Last edited by Dollars2Donuts; 06-21-13 at 11:55 AM.

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