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keeneland
R2 #2 light of the world (3-1)
R4 #8 j zar (6-1)
R5 #6 odie (6-1)
R7 #8 mission from elle (8-1)
gulfstream
R2 #2 valerie first (5-2)
R5 #3 miss mairu (10-1)
R7 #1 lailoni (4-1)
R8 #5 Beachwood ella (6-1)
aqueduct
R4 #9 nymphesa (20-1)
R5 #5 trip ups (8-1)
Last edited by JBEX; 04-11-19 at 12:57 PM.
been getting my arse handed to me of late but will put occasional afternoon mlb up here
game number <= 15 and wins -o:wins>=7 and o:STR and total >=7.5
9-0 (-155) (3.33)
6-0 (-158) (4.17)-- starter righty
5-1 (-1.5) (+123) runline -- starter righty
all runline wins >=3 runs
sea -130
sea (-1.5) +123
supposed to be heavy rain tomorrow at oaklawn.. sucks
keeneland
R1 #6 cheytac (9-2)
R5 #5 sport'n forty (15-1)
fts by elite sire scat daddy out of a mare whose only other foal won $358k..solid and steady works from payson park going back to beginning of the year
R10 #6 doll collection (10-1)
fts by elite sire tapit and a half to groupie doll who won 12/23 and over $2.6M
aqueduct
R5 #2 apex predator (8-1)
R9 #5 middle out (4-1)
oaklawn
R2 #6 off sixes (5-1)
R4 #3 proudly pacific (7-2)
R10 #9 young bull (5-1)
Last edited by JBEX; 04-12-19 at 01:18 PM.
team =Cubs and H and DAY and -300<= line <=-150 and 8<=game number <=15 and total <=10.5
5-16 (-187) (-1.38) WOW
quite a horrible record at that avg line
fade cubs
laa +150
keeneland
R3 #8 alfons walde (12-1)
R9 the lexington stakes (G3)
#3 sueno (5-1)
R11 #8 kulik bear (12-1)
oaklawn
R5 #2 poets dreamed (5-1)... sire is maclean's music so aptly named
asmussen trained homebred by an elite first out sire and excellent mud sire.. dam won her first 5 starts and went 10/19 career.. in her debut she won by 12 lengths and was geared down at the end (my research)
R11 arkansas derby (G1)
#4 tikhvin view (30-1)
first two races (4th career today) earned figures as good as any in this field.. they were in sprints though.. what elevates him up to interesting to me in spite of that is they were both at 7f..if one was a 7f a little interested.. both at 6f not interested at at all.. last race was the gotham and that was basically mid pack all the way around in a race that had a freaky fast pace.. encouraged that asmussen would try him here.. bred top and bottom for distance and his dam sire is deputy minister who was a class of 79..don't see his name much anymore but he's considered one of the top 5 damsires of the last 30-40 years..think he'll be aggressive with him today and gun for the lead (nothing to lose).. also track should be a mess today and that's another wildcard I don't mind at a price
tampa bay
R3 #2 first reward (9-2)
aqueduct
R6 #2 bank examiner (6-1)
R9 #7 the grand canal (5-2)
Last edited by JBEX; 04-13-19 at 01:10 PM.
Originally Posted by JBEX
both mine and the #1 by new nyb sire "central banker".. a son of speightstown who's gotten off to a nice start as a stallion.. this race was a msw for nyb.. #1 cost $110k and making his debut while mine cost $85k and making his 2nd career start..a good amount of money for a $7500 stallion and both had some production from the dam.. btw first start for mine was in july at saratoga as a 2yo and did little (turf sprint).. linda rice was 4-1 ml and wound up going off 9-1..mine wound up going off 2-1..rice using jose lezcano 8/19 last 60 days..englehart/alvarado (#2) 5/10 last 60 and a solid pair overall also ..if you were viewing up to the race you would say #1 was dead on the board and mine was the live one.. long story short #1 wired the field and won easy at 9-1 and I finished 2nd and no apparent excuses either..just goes to show so called "smart money" doesn't always get it right
should also be said that linda rice is one of the best trainers at aqueduct before the big boys come back and does pretty well after they get here also
didn't watch all the races leading up but the rail in sprints at aqueduct is terrible so that makes the win even better
Last edited by JBEX; 04-13-19 at 03:39 PM.
keeneland
R1 #12 norma's joy (5-1)
R4#6 tringale (3-1)
R5 #6 nilgon's spirit (15-1)
R6 #1 lontani (3-1)
3-2 much better than these.. great off track pedigree if it's raining
santa anita
R7 #1 persephone (6-1)
R8 #6 shaymin (20-1)
golden gate
R10 #1 lil awecim (8-1)
Last edited by JBEX; 04-14-19 at 05:50 PM.
team =Red Sox and start time <=1200 and month =4 and total >=9.5
patriots day (2004) and total >= 9.5
7-0 (-158) (4.57)
3-0 favorites >=170
2005 (-200) 12-7
2008 (-170) 8-3
2009 (-215) 12-1... vs bal
runline itself is no big deal @ 4-3 but the higher odds have been blowouts
bos (-1.5) -140
Last edited by JBEX; 04-15-19 at 09:02 AM.
tampa bay
R3 #9 red hood (8-1)
R7 #7 outrider (15-1)
R9 #1 joyful night (12-1)
keeneland
R6 #9 bakers bay (12-1)
solid steady payson park works for this shug firster with a big pedigree.. just an average first out trainer but have to think they'd like to notch one at keeneland.. jose ortiz (one of the best) rides and he's 5/7 riding for shug in the past 60 days
R8 #8 neepawa (3-1)
Last edited by JBEX; 04-17-19 at 12:05 PM.
added R6 keeneland.. probably it .. don't like what I see today
day =Thursday and month=4 and DAY and -250 <=line <=-180 and total <=8
13-0 (-103) (-3.65)*
* this is vs runline so avg su margin is 5.15 !!
wash -1.5 (+100) ..big play
gulfstream
R5 #4 trading cents (20-1)
won off a very similar running line/figure/drop 3 starts back.. many highly profitable angles for jockey/trainer and combo of them together apply
keeneland
R7 #5 british invader (5-2)
horse 2 starts back (6th career) made his first start in a dirt route vs mdn $15k at fairgrounds and won comfortably.. next out reasonable spot vs clm 16kb and caught an exceptionally fast race for that level
and claimed by #1 claiming trainer (everywhere) amoss.. short price but just looks much the best
DAY and team = Cubs and total <=7 and H and rest =1 and NDIV
1-6 (-141)(-2.14)
doesn't make much sense to me but since it's avg is plus odds and the only loss was extra innings I'll have a little action.. also many more games if you cut out the rest parameter (50) and it's .500.. division also turns this around to a negative
fade cubs
ari+ 155 (had this up as atl but there should have been enough clues I meant arizona including the odds.. sorry just the same)
Last edited by JBEX; 04-19-19 at 01:40 PM.
oaklawn
R1 #7 major bizkit (6-1)
R2 #2 light bound bid (12-1)
keeneland
R7 #6 altar of speed (10-1)
R10 #8 the rock says (5-1)
santa anita
R8 #4 blue skye jade (8-1)
lone star
R8 #1 simple pleasure (7-2)
Last edited by JBEX; 04-19-19 at 07:42 PM.
charlestown ...there biggest day of the meet.. $1M race will pick later
R5 #2 vic's pic (4-1)
R8 #3 malpais (5-2)
R11 charlestown classic
#4 rally cry (9-2)
only raced twice at saratoga in 2018 and have a hunch the 7f effort vs allowance (last year) was just a get fit race... then had the unfortunate circumstance of drawing the 14 post in the g1 woodward.. speed to the stretch call and faded while 3-4 wide both turns.. still only 14 career starts and her best work of 2017 puts him in the hunt.. johnny v comes to ride whose 12/35 for pletcher last 60 days and an amazing 22/62 riding in route races this year.. for todd to ship this horse here off an 8 month layoff has to be a good sign
R13 #2 frathouse music (9-2)
oaklawn
R8 #8 josie boy (8-1)
Last edited by JBEX; 04-20-19 at 01:12 PM.
gulfstream
R1 #7 go venezuela go (20-1)
slow start ran around the track back of the pack in his debut @ 5f last out in his debut.. like the fact he maintained his lengths behind pretty well which could be useful for trying the route today which she's bred top and bottom to do.. blinkers come off, prado jumps aboard and trainer 6/16 with an average win price of $22 first time in a route
R5 #5 motion's first (10-1)
first off trainer 0/40 this year and 6/195 going back to jan 2018..prior to that impressive stretch he was 0/144 (not making this up lol) jock triple bug but his lone win came in a route and he paid close to $70.. this gal's best effort came off a 28 day layoff (same today) at this distance 4 starts back.. that race could beat this field and she'll be toting a lot less weight with the 10lb bug.. has lots of reasonable excuses 5-10 back from bad posts to wrong surface, off track and catching a very fast race for the level
R6 #7 colman joseph (12-1)
R7 #4 wigwam summer (15-1)
R9 #6 notorious nick (10-1)
one of my favorite angles expensive relative to pedigree info applies here.. couple of useful sprints first 2 starts, blinkers off (trainer excels) for this and stretches out on the turf.. solid steady works and solid turf jockey fergal lynch rides
R11 #5 crosswind kate (4-1)
#11 hire the lady is a first time starter by new sire "can the man" and is bred and owned partly by frank sinatra.. gotta be a tough name to go through life with lol
woodbine
R7 #2 my whippersnapper (4-1)
R8 #3 piper hill (15-1)
santa anita
R8 #2 ameerah b (7-2)
sadler has two debut horses in here (other#4) but this one fits the bill better for debut and turf..street boss out of a winning not for love (str if you're looking) mare who's produced 2 winners from as many starters ..1 was a stakes winner and they both won on the green..even with that good info on the bottom $350k a lot to pay for a street boss (20k) which probably means physicality or fast at the sales
Last edited by JBEX; 04-21-19 at 03:48 PM.
laurel..
guess cause they didn't run on easter
R1 #4 free to trump (9-2)
R3 #1 top line growth (5-1)
R3 #6 benandjoe (7-2)
hate playing 2 especially at relatively low odds but can't decide.. pletcher #2 (8-5)will take a lot of money which helps our cause (at least if he loses lol)
R5 #3 hail the queen (9-5)
3yo clm 12.5..claimed this horse 4 back for $16k..close 2nd's stepping up first to 25k and then to 32k..oc/alw n1x too much for her last out but his effort inthat race transfered to this field works well..far as the drop she picked up 2nd money twice so with today's tag not a ridiculous loss situation.. back in 8 days so probably in good shape
R7 #6 little united (4-1)
this race clm 8000 n1y (6 months).. wins in claimers vs lower tags don't count so she has two of those vs 5k same condition.. bad efforts were from bad posts.. seems the addition of blinkers combined with reasonable placement going back about 7 starts has worked for this horse.. jock/trainer 9/32 last 60 days
R8 #7 holiday magician (12-1)
think the stretch and drop may set her up nice for this.. always like even back of the pack lines in these situations.. little route experience here but sprint form was excellent last fall and it's a top and bottom route pedigree
R9 #7 forbidden frolic (9-2)
linda rice ships in from aqueduct with this fts.. slow works which is her modus operandi.. nice pedigree.. cost 90k by 15k sire out of a highly productive dam.. 10 starters 8 winners and 3 of those stakes winners.. 3 turf winners amongst those (5.5f turf today).. dam by premiership who's an extreme sprint influence
nice job on all hail the queen i happend to tail this play wish i had more on her.
thanks..it went south after that but glad you had it..good day overall though
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