1. #5426
    JBEX
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    keeneland


    R2 #2 dynabee (3-1)
    R3 #11 anna's fast (2-1)
    R4 #5 strikingly lovely (12-1)

    R3 going to be odds on so I'd do a double R2-3..a pick 3 for 25% of the double .. and a straight bet on R4



    R5 #6 jerry's pridenjoy (3-1)

    R6 #4 keepme in the game (10-1)

    $435k first time starter for shug..of the two siblings to run(my research) one won first out and other came 2nd in a msw turf route* at saratoga for 2yo (also debut)..that one won about $1.5M and was a multiple graded stakes winner..long string of works at payson park going back to mid februrary


    R7 #4 methodical (15-1)

    broke from the 12 post in debut and exits a race that was as fast as any who are running the derby ..only difference it was at 7 furlongs..ran the kind of line back of the pack that I like for a stretchout..trainer below the radar guy who is very profitable in many applicable categories..top jockey saez rides..would love to get ml as it makes no sense..linesmaker thinks public is brain dead and can't dig a little


    R8 #5 fashion decree (5-1)

    usually don't like playing horses who broke their maiden first out to repeat next out..doing it here because this one is very well bred and suspect field here


    R6 and 8 is same owner..bought and bred respectively



    indiana


    R5 #9 hopped up (10-1)
    R7 #8 double take (4-1)



    evangeline downs


    R5 #6 striking star (5-1)
    R9 #8 wish for interest (8-1)


    penn national

    R8 #6 unlimited upside (6-1)

    gotta love a horse with this name making his 2nd career start dropping from a mdn 25k to a mdn $5k today lol...kidding aside do like him dropping and stretching out
    Last edited by JBEX; 04-24-19 at 06:36 PM.

  2. #5427
    JBEX
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    finished

  3. #5428
    JBEX
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    added indiana

  4. #5429
    JBEX
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    added evangeline 5 9

  5. #5430
    JBEX
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    added penn national 8

  6. #5431
    JBEX
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    laurel

    R1 #3 muchacho (15-1)
    R3 #10 friendly fire (9-2)
    R4 #8 salutelute (7-2)
    R6 #8 stoney bennett (5-1)
    R7 #5 pink pearl (15-1)
    R8 #7 gran city (5-1)


    gulfstream

    R1 #1 go girl gone (20-1)
    R3 #1 gladita (6-1)
    R5 10 mi karlita (10-1) ml ??

  7. #5432
    JBEX
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    belmont.. opening day

    R1 #1 t loves a fight (7-2)
    R2 #2 big brown cat (5-2)
    R4 #1 joule (5-1)*
    R5 #6 excess capacity (9-2)

    scheduled for turf and must be on it to play.. others off track ok





    tampa

    R1 #4 prima gold (2-1)

    R5 #2 dopo lavaro (15-1)
    R5 #7 si si mcd (8-1)

    my recommendation on two horses in a race 50% more than usual bet split between both.. $10 normal bet than $8 win each



    keeneland

    R9 #8 gaining (8-1)
    R10 #2 baladera (8-1)



    santa anita


    R8 #9 for the hustle (6-1)
    Last edited by JBEX; 04-26-19 at 05:21 PM.

  8. #5433
    JBEX
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    added tampa 1 5..probably finish above two tracks.. not going to overdue it today.. churchill opener tomorrow... night card 6pm post
    Last edited by JBEX; 04-26-19 at 10:41 AM.

  9. #5434
    JBEX
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    added last 2 at keeneland.. done belmont with the weather.. possibly look at santa anita and definitely going to do meadowlands tonight

  10. #5435
    JBEX
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    added santa anita 8

  11. #5436
    JBEX
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    gulfstream

    R2 #9 liberale (4-1
    R3 #5 arriverderia (2-1)
    R5 #1 dynamic dancer (7-2)


    R8 #5 nation usa (10-1)


    0/42 maiden.. 10 lb bug (recently came in 2nd for me). ..what's not to like.. his last race fits well here and the other stuff will make him an overlay



    tampa


    R2 #8 three questions (8-1)
    R3 #3 miss krivoruhka (5-1)
    R4 #8 zoe my love (10-1)
    R5 #7 igotsunshine (10-1)



    R7 #9 music maker (7-5)
    R8 #7 lyonaisse (10-1)

    expensive relative to pedigree info.. 3rd career race.. broke rail in turf debut which is never easy and caught a freaky fast field in start 2.. adds blinkers.. capable jock and trainer


    churchill downs


    R5 #4 grit glory (6-1)
    R6 #1 murad khan (8-1)
    R7 #6 historian(2-1)

    R10 #3 combustible (3-1)
    Last edited by JBEX; 04-27-19 at 07:12 PM.

  12. #5437
    JBEX
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    finished tampa

  13. #5438
    JBEX
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    added gulfstream 8

  14. #5439
    littlekona
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    JBEX not sure if you are a pick 4 guy but I would love to see a thread with your thoughts and or tickets on a pick four from the big tracks

  15. #5440
    JBEX
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    Quote Originally Posted by littlekona View Post
    JBEX not sure if you are a pick 4 guy but I would love to see a thread with your thoughts and or tickets on a pick four from the big tracks
    I think it's a great bet and the main reason for that is the payoff often exceeds the parlay price ..however on here I just like looking for who I like in the race..get more satisfaction picking a winner than having a winner being amongst one of the 2-4 I liked..just me

  16. #5441
    JBEX
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    added churchill 5-7

  17. #5442
    JBEX
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    finished churchill

  18. #5443
    JBEX
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    oaklawn


    R3 #3 foxy mischief (6-1)
    R4 #2 pretty savi (6-1)
    R5 #8 euro me (12-1)
    R6 pass

    R8 #3 peachy (5-2)

    no great (if any)value here..been claimed last 3 starts and last one was a reclaim by the best claiming trainer at the track..first day out of jail drops from 16k to 12.5k..trainer 30/89 dropping off a claim and 24/67 with this jock past 60 days



    tampa

    R9 #2 swope (6-1)



    gulfstream


    R6 #2 drama in the rain (20-1)
    R7 #2 augusta moon (7-2)
    R8 #8 feature creature (6-1)
    R11 #8 blacktop legend (2-1)



    belmont

    R10 (no turf..6 horse field)

    exacta 4 10..probably pay about $6


    lone star ..feature race 300k


    #10 shotgun kowboy (12-1)
    Last edited by JBEX; 04-28-19 at 03:46 PM.

  19. #5444
    JBEX
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    done tampa and gulfstream

  20. #5445
    JBEX
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    added oaklawn 8

  21. #5446
    JBEX
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    added belmont 10

  22. #5447
    JBEX
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    added lone star 7

  23. #5448
    JBEX
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    finger lakes ..all 4½ furlong races


    R1 #4 wild colonial boy (7-2)
    R2 #3 give me a hug (1-1)

    probably play a double as R2 will be 1-5..or could just pass 2nd leg



    R3 #7 it's cold out (4-1)
    R4 pass
    R5 exacta 3 4

    #3 awillaway (3-2) will be 1-5


    R6 #8 joansburntbiscuit (6-1)
    R7 #2 elbow room (6-1)
    R9 #6 diamond dean (3-1)
    R10 #7 emblazoner (5-1)



    monticello

    usually like to keep harness separate but for a couple of picks just put them here


    R6 #4 j-s princess glory (7-2)
    R7 #6 current crisis (12-1) ml makes no sense
    Last edited by JBEX; 04-29-19 at 09:29 AM.

  24. #5449
    JBEX
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    added a couple from monticello

  25. #5450
    JBEX
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    churchill.. tuesday

    R2 #1 laser ladee (7-2)
    R3 #1 sweet gisel (6-1)

    R5 #4 gold credit (12-1)
    R5 #7 celia's song (5-1)

    R6 #6 lucky move (15-1)
    R8 #1 mighty scarlett (6-5)

    part of an entry


    R9 #3 lemon again (3-1)

  26. #5451
    JBEX
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    churchill


    R2 #5 american sea (7-2)
    R3 #2 candy's dream (5-1)
    R4 #3 go navy go (5-2)
    R5 #2 british invader (2-1)
    R6 #3 dancing waves (3-1)
    R7 #5 fluminense (2-1)
    R10 #6 graysshootingstar (10-1)
    R10 #8 roan like the wind (5-1)


    last race 2 horses

  27. #5452
    JBEX
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    churchill

    R1 #7 deviant (7-2)

    R10 #7 bryzzo (6-1)


    bel


    R3 #3 seeyouatthebreakers (8-1)


    R9 #6 mike's girl (3-1)
    Last edited by JBEX; 05-02-19 at 04:03 PM.

  28. #5453
    JBEX
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    added bel 3

  29. #5454
    JBEX
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    finished bel (2 races total)

  30. #5455
    JBEX
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    added churchill 10

  31. #5456
    JBEX
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    R3 #7 blame the frog (12-1)

    this race goes at 11:36 as it's an early post today and tomorrow.. bad weather today so I'd recommend smaller bets


    R4 #19 napolean's empire (5-1) 10 horse field

    won't be involved again before R8.. don't like the 2 preceding stakes races


    R8 #7 teresa z (15-1)
    R9 #1 american tattoo (4-1)


    R11 kentucky oaks

    #7 jaywalk (8-1)


    what I'm thinking is maybe she can layoff the pace like she did in her 3rd career start as this race is loaded with speed.. the pace in his last race (gr 1 race) was wickedly fast (going by pace figures) and may have had something to do with her giving it up late.. also comment line bumped start, hounded (lol never seen them use that term before).. realize the 1 was also on the pace and ultimately won the race but still feel it wasn't a terrible effort.. last year she won the bc juvenile fillies with a brisnet figure that equaled game winner bc juvenile colts win (and of course that was at churchill) possible the regression is because she's just not the same horse but I'll take a crack at a price



    R12 #8 cosmic code (5-1)
    R13 #8 vomba (7-2)
    Last edited by JBEX; 05-03-19 at 02:29 PM.

  32. #5457
    JBEX
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    added R4

  33. #5458
    JBEX
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    added 8 9...next will wrap it up..going to look at meadowlands tonight

  34. #5459
    JBEX
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    finished

  35. #5460
    JBEX
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    added oaks write-uo

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