 SBR Top-Rated Sportsbooks |
Best Sportsbooks List
|
|
| |||||
| #1 FanDuel | SBR rating 4.8/5 | Review | #6 BetRivers | SBR rating 4.1/5 | Review | #2 Caesars | SBR rating 4.7/5 | Review | #7 Fanatics | SBR rating 4.1/5 | Review |
| #3 DraftKings | SBR rating 4.7/5 | Review | #8 Betway | SBR rating 3.8/5 | Review | ||
| #4 BetMGM | SBR rating 4.6/5 | Review | #9 Borgata | SBR rating 3.5/5 | Review | ||
| #5 bet365 | SBR rating 4.6/5 | Review | #10 ClutchBet | SBR rating 2.9/5 | Review | ||
You have no idea how pissed off I am about that one, but there's nothing I can do. I capped it perfectly, the Sox were up 8-1. What can you do when they blow a three run lead in the bottom of the 9th. Just an unreal bad beat...sorry if you tailed.Originally Posted by mtcook21
LTA, how do you feel about SMU/A&M over 56'? I have that game at around 44-27/43-26. figured that if you had thoughts on Rice/Texas, you might also have some on this one. my one concern is that A&M shut down some good offenses second half of the season last year, but SMU won't stop A&M and i think that we'll see a ton of plays run in this one and the tempo alone puts it in the mid-50s, so a little execution is all we'll need to get the over by a TD or two.
NCAAF Recap 9/6/11
1 - 4 = -2.2x
NCAAF Season 2011-2012
1 - 4 = -2.2x
Disappointing start, but it's a long year and that's why we go small to start. Plenty of time....
No NCAAF play for me tonight. I will have an NFL play on the under 48 in the NO/GB game. I will have my NFL thread with that play and writeup posted soon.
Later tonight or tomorrow, I will post my NCAAF plays for this week. Good luck tonight everyone!
NCAAF 9/10/11 (Week 2)
Play #1
Nevada/Oregon over (63) 1x (Locked)
I love this play. First, you have a team in Oregon that needs a win and big win at that. These guys dropped from top three to #13. Oregon is going to need to run up the score over some weaker opponents and Chip Kelly has never shied away from taking care of business in that regard. You will have two up-temp offenses going head to head against two vulnerable defense and that's a great mixture for an over. Nevada has Tyler Lantrip, a 5th year senior taking over for Kaepernick and this guy has a solid grasp of the pistol offense and the tools to create some production against a defense that can be exploited (as shown by LSU). On the other side, LaMichael Jams and Darron Thomas will be looking to score quick and often. I don't expect Nevada to have the athleticism to slow them down like LSU. I think this game screams over both situationally and from a statistical perspective and I'm rolling with the over for 1x.
Play #2
Notre Dame (-3) 1x (Locked)
This game was dictated to me by the line. I was shocked to see ND open as 4 point faves as the books were begging for Michigan money. Well, for better or worse, they won't get mine on that side. ND has the better defense and the better offensive weapons (outside of Denard Robinson) to win this one. Situationally, you have ND coming off an embarrassing loss and Michigan coming off a win that was unimpressive against a weaker opponent. With ND losing to Michigan last year, I give the situational edge to ND. I don't think this one gets under 3, so I'm locking it in now and rolling with ND for 1x. Good luck.
That's it for right now....more NCAAF plays to come.
Tailing the Notre Dame play!
GL
Love the ND play here. Watched both teams play last Sat. ND benching Crist is a game changer for ND lol
One can only spread oneself so thin, so I don't do college sports. As such will be tailing you all the way this season. Here's to a productive campaign LTA
Play #3
Northern Illinois (-4.5) 1x (Locked)
Small MAC team against the big bad Big 12 team in Kansas. However, here's another game where the opening number says it all. NIU opened as road fave to a BCS school by TD for a reason. NIU returns 11 starters from last year's dominant offense, including four year starter Chandler Harnish. NIU knows this is a huge game with Wisconsin looming next week. They cannot look ahead to that game and risk starting the season 1-2. I think NIU is focused and up to the task of the large conference Kansas. Turner Gill may get this program turned around, but I don't think it starts today and I expect a solid 10 point victory by NIU. My money is on the Huskies for 1x. Good luck.
Play #4
Tulsa (-12) 1x (Locked)
More road chalk...damn! Not what I like and generally goes against my general support of home dogs across all sports. However, I just see a huge mismatch in caliber of teams here and I have to roll with Tulsa on the road. My biggest concern is Tulsa's loss of Damaris Johnson, who is their best player outside of Kinne. This is a guy who did it all with respect to return specialist, wide receiver and rusher. Last year against Tulane, he ran for 80 yards and two TD's. Therefore, I think his contribution will be sorely missed. However, in this game, I think he is the difference between a 21 point victory and a 17 point victory. I think Tulsa wins by at least two touchdowns and a field goal today. They are the vastly superior offensive team, even without Johnshon. Kinne's experience will shine today. In addition, I think the situational factors support Tulsa here to avoid the 0 -2 start and to get a big win under their belts. They lost last week to OU after losing Johnson the day before the game. They have now had a week to adjust the offense and to think about that loss. I expect Tulsa to come out fired up and aggressive. I'm rolling with Tulsa for 1x. Good luck.
I'm still looking at a few more plays. I really like Alabama to continue our theme of road chalk Saturday (I hate it but these are the better teams). Back soon...
Play #5
Alabama (-10) 1x (Locked)
Road chalk Saturday continues despite my aversion to road faves. However, I think you are going to see just a basic difference in caliber of athlete between the Big Ten and SEC. Alabama's defense could be the very best in the nation with 8 guys who are top 150 NFL prospects. They return 10 starters total from a dominant defensive unit of last season. I think Alabama goes with McCarron at QB as the every play starter today because he has the most experience and that should allow for Alabama's offense to find it's rhythm in hostile territory. Bottom line is that Richardson is the best offensive player on either team and he will get a ton of action today. I don't think there's anyone on PState's D that can hang with his speed. I expect Alabama to primarily run the ball and break off a few big plays in a 24-7 victory, so I'm rolling with the Tide for 1x. Good luck.
I pretty have all of your plays in my card except the total on Oregon.
If I play total I would like OVER on either Stanford or VT, what you think about those?
Hope you'll cash them all today TA
I really like the Stanford over, but I missed the move to 60. I liked it a whole lot better at the key number of 59. Good luck DE
Same to you budgl LTA
I slept on the Stanford total and missed the line move all the way up to 61, past the key numbers of 59 and 60. As a rule, I generally never play a total after it has crossed two key total numbers. Damn...wasted opportunity. I think this one cashes pretty easy. Good luck to those riding the over in that one.
All the way up to 62 at some places. This has supremely taught me a lesson to follow my model, process and instincts. I sat and wondered why the total had not come up from 59 and waited, got caught up in other games and when I came back to this one it had already started its jump. That is a very disappointing miss for a game that I had been targeting. All the value is gone now that it has crossed 59, 60 and 61 which are pretty big key numbers in college football totals markets.
At least we're looking good in our other games with about 1/2 point to full point of movement in our favor on all of our plays today. If we can beat the closer on all of these plays, we will have accomplished our first objective. Then it's just up to the players to bring home our ultimate objective of winning the game.
Wow! That Nevada Oregon over was a real white knuckler,. Looking good LTA, got in too late to tail Bama and Tulsa, but on the rest.
nice day so far....hang on with ND
Fuking sick loss with ND fuked my night, from 4 - 1 to 3-2...fuk this shit
Yeah Notre Shame chokes again go figure.
NCAAF 2011-2012 Week 2 Recap
3 - 2 = +0.80x
NCAAF Season 2011-2012
4 - 6 = -1.4x
Last second losses by ND and NIU killed our potential 5-0 night...a lot of the advanced offensive and defensive stats I use should starting taking shape after week 3. I should have played all of my totals leans. Expect a few more plays next week...good luck! Onto week 3!
God Bless America, all the people she lost on 9/11/01 and all the troops that protect each of her citizens on a daily basis. WWNF
Lean Boise State on Friday...can't play it for any more than 20 though...
Sup my man, anything cooking on the NCAA front?
Yep....right now!Sup my man, anything cooking on the NCAA front?
NCAAF 2011 Week 3
Play #1
Ok St/Tulsa over (69) 1x (Locked)
Play #2
Stanford/AZ over (55.5) 1x (Locked)
Play #3
Kansas/GTech over (61) 1x (Locked)
No time for writeups right now, but wil try to get them up tonight. More to come...good luck.
Got 'em at 69,54.5,61.5 respectively. GL bro, riding along here
Play #4
Oklahoma (-3)(-115) 1x (Locked)
Play #5
Houston (-6.5) 1x (Locked)
Been waiting for these numbers...back later....good luck.
On this as well.
Any plans for Boise tonight?
Glad to hear
Any plans for Boise tonight?
I really want to play Boise, but I've debated it too long and now I'm stuck with either 20.5 or 21. I really wanted 19 or less, so I've just lost too much value at this point. Generally, when I take that long to decide, ive learned I'm better served laying off and that's what I will do tonight. Good luck if you play it!
.
Whats up friend??I like the picks!!!..I had a couple these penned too!!!Went 27-7 at a free site last week....picked up a lil cash.....I liked Boise over 60 but that might not happen here.....Good luck pal
Play #6
Nevada (-7)(-105) 1x (Locked)
Getting on this one a bit late, but I still like this number at -105. I expect Nevada to roll and win by at least two touchdowns. This should be Nevada's coming out party on their way to the top of the WAC and rebound after their loss to Oregon. Lantrip understands this offense and was able to move the ball against Oregon so I don't expect them to have trouble with SDST who first got rolled by Stanford and then lost a heartbreaker to UCLA. SDST will not be able to keep up with the Wolfpack and I'm rolling with Nevada for 1x. Good luck.
Play #7
Hawaii/UNLV over (60) 1x (Locked)
I watched some of Hawaii last week and was impressed with Moniz. I wish I would have been able to get this one on Thursday with my other plays when it was at 59 since that is such a crucial key number in NCAAF totals, but I have this one at 65 so I'm going to "gamble." UNLV's defense is still in the development stages playing freshmen and sophmores against Moniz who is as experienced as they come. UNLV got smoked by Wisconsin in its opener in a game that sailed over the posted total and I expect the same tonight. However, I expect UNLV to score its fair share as well. UNLV has moved the ball well so far this season and I expect that offense to exploit an undersized Hawaii defense. This one has high scoring written all over it and I'm a bit surprised the line is not higher. I'm rolling with the over for 1x.
LTA. Whats ur thoughts on AZ St and Illinois? AZ St just seems like the better team to me in this one yet they are a dog.
Reply With Quote