so much for looking good, 2 sets and done pop
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10-18-12 10:34 AM #141
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10-18-12 10:38 AM #142
Pospisil made me think of Will Ferrell in Wedding Crashers: "What an idiot, what a loser!!" blacklisted, such a disappointment..
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10-18-12 10:38 AM #143
All that we have left ont he day are huge favs and huge dogs...how things have been going lately i'm inclined to look at the dogs.
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10-18-12 10:43 AM #144
That was an ugly loss. Couldn't return at all, only had 1 break point all game that I saw and gave it up. Seems like most of my losses lately are coming from parlays; going to try just doing straight plays for a while because we won both of those today. Still have the Karlovic/ABJ over pending too.
YTD 24-11
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10-18-12 10:45 AM #145
Was on Lorenzi, again thanks to progsport . This site is free and nails a lot of dogs. Had Lorenzi at 60% chance to win. At the very least, the site gives suggestions of which dogs are worth capping. Lots of historical data available to see how their picks have worked out. Not spamming the site couldn't care less. Just google progsport and look at their tennis predictions.
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10-18-12 10:52 AM #146
That says Gulbis to win 52% of time at +250...interesting.
Originally Posted by Hangoverblack
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10-18-12 10:55 AM #147
Also was in Stakhovsky this morning, a dog they had pegged. Worth bookmarking. Has allowed me to play just +++ odds tennis with great success.
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10-18-12 11:26 AM #148
Really appreciate the info. I use Tennis Insight a lot but this one looks good too. Thanks again. Originally Posted by Hangoverblack
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10-18-12 11:29 AM #149
Thinking they were wrong about Gulbis!
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10-18-12 11:39 AM #150
By no means to they get them all right! But you can see the results back for many tournaments. I hope you guys find it useful. Many of the larger dogs they have with > 50% chance of winning 2 sets ultimately lose, but they cover the Asian handicap, or go over on the total with a more competitive match than was anticipated.
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10-18-12 11:46 AM #151
Yeah of course. I didn't play Gulbis, I don't trust that billionaire S.O.B.
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10-18-12 12:02 PM #152
Pushed the Karlovic O23...oh well, better than a loss!
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10-18-12 12:07 PM #153
Man Posposil really fukked us today.
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10-18-12 12:07 PM #154
Brutus, don't worry about the popisil loss, hard to cap that kinda match when the guy is clearly a loser and a scumbag. Just add him to the list of jerk offs to never play and dont make that mistake again. i got suckered in as well. i use tennis insight a lot also, gonna have to check out that other site as well.
Still tons of stuff on the board today to make a profit!
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10-18-12 12:14 PM #155
Brutus u fading Hass again today?
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10-18-12 12:18 PM #156
Push on the over. I have made a lot of money on Karlovic overs over the years. He's one of my favorite players to bet on. No one ever breaks him and he has no return game to speak of so we almost always get 1 or 2 tiebreaks. Today 1 wasn't enough.
2-2-1 on the day.
YTD 24-11-1
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10-18-12 12:34 PM #157
Niculescu +450? I like it. Georges may lay an egg after her recent deep run.
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10-18-12 12:40 PM #158
If it was anybody but Niculescu maybe, but she has just been awful this year. I don't want to play that match.
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10-18-12 12:41 PM #159
I am going to put a play on Jesse Levine at +4 1/2. No time for a write up.
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10-18-12 01:18 PM #160
damn, missed it!
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10-18-12 01:42 PM #161
Hope you played it for yourself at least. Looking good. Originally Posted by Hangoverblack
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10-18-12 01:51 PM #162
Have it small. Progsport gave her a 46% shot for an upset. Considering how inconsistent Georges is I took a shot. Hope it hangs on! Thanks for the well wishes you are kind.
WagerType: Date: Team: Risking / To Win Ticket#: Straight Oct 18 MU [4847] M NICULESCU +450 (M NICULESCU vrs J GOERGES) 150.00 USD / 675.00 USD 25473934
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10-18-12 02:23 PM #163
Not a good day but not a bad day.
YTD 24-12-1
Talk to everyone tomorrow.
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10-18-12 09:08 PM #164
Hey Brutus! Any early early morning plays that I should be on a lookout for tonight? Don't wanna sleep through them!
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10-18-12 10:35 PM #165
I'm not counting this in my record or anything but damn boys sometimes it's better to be lucky than good. The 49ers decline the safety!! Thank you Jim Harbaugh!!!!
10/18/12 7:16am $554.04 $1,102.20 Pending 2 Team Parlay Pending 10/18/12 8:25pm NFL Football 303 Seattle Seahawks +8 -130* vs San Francisco 49ers Win 10/18/12 7:45am ATP Tennis 109 Thomaz Bellucci -145* vs Flavio Cipolla
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10-18-12 10:51 PM #166
Only straight plays from here on in. Maybe a cross sport parlay here or there but no more tennis only parlays. Lost 3 straight tennis only parlays.
Here's what I got:
Ivo Karlovic -150 Not gonna mess around with the over because I don't like the hook of 23 1/2. We can have a 7-6, 6-4 type match again and lose by that hook. Edouard Roger-Vasselin is a pretty decent returner but can't see him being good enough to break Karlovic's massive serve. As I've been saying, you can't really expect Karlovic to do anything in his return game but if this thing goes to a tiebreak I'm a hell of a lot more comfortable with my money being on the big server. Now in the interest of full disclosure, Progsport has ERV listed at 66% so he's definitely a hot pick for a live dog. I'm rolling with what I know though and going 20 units on the big man!
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10-18-12 11:01 PM #167
Also leaning Thomaz Bellucci but that doesn't start until 11:45 EST so going need some more time to think on it. I know he's not great or even very good on the surface but in reality Jerzy Janowicz is a still a high level Challenger circuit player and has very little experience playing ATP top 50. Also can't complain about potentially getting him at plus money line is sitting at +110 on 5D right now.
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10-18-12 11:04 PM #168
with u bro... i hate that the games arent at like 2 or 4am (EST. time) anymore. i enjoyed staying up for the games now they mostly all in the early am. need another crazy time zone tourny
140XXXXX0-1 10/18/12 11:59pm $310.00 $200.00 Pending 10/19/12 7:00am ATP Tennis 102 Ivo Karlovic -155* vs Edouard Roger-Vasselin
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10-19-12 06:12 AM #169
I can tell the public is all over ERV because the line dropped to -135. No need to worry about line movement in tennis though. I prefer being on the opposite side of the public. There's a reason why Vegas is rich and most of us are not lol. Let's hit this one guys!!
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10-19-12 07:47 AM #170
Cash that huge 20 unit play!! Good thing we didn't play the over would have missed it by 1 1/2 games.
YTD 25-12-1
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10-19-12 07:52 AM #171
you like Hradaecka big? venus stosur berdych winners a s well
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10-19-12 07:54 AM #172
7 units on Nicolas Almagro -3. Obviously not great on the surface but Old Man Lleyton Hewitt has got to be running on fumes at this point.
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10-19-12 07:59 AM #173
No opinion on Hradaecka. Would never play Berdych at those odds. And kind of like Vinci as a live dog against Venus Williams. Originally Posted by Cappinpicks
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10-19-12 08:12 AM #174
7 units on Klara Zakopalova +4. Very tasty line considering Sam Stosur's lack of mental tenacity. She is a known choke artist. I don't know if Zakopalova can win this straight up but should at least have the ability to keep it close. Stosur has not looked great for a while now.
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10-19-12 08:23 AM #175
Nice work Brutus! I missed your Karlovic play
Hope the rest of the day works out!
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