Cash it by the means of a miracle. Good Lord. Chang completed imploded losing 3 set points up 5-4 in the 3rd. This was ugly even by women's standards. Break after break after break.
YTD 10-6
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10-14-12 01:32 AM #36
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10-14-12 01:38 AM #37
Novak Djokovic -165 reduced on 5D.
Murray suprised me today for a variety of reasons in being able to handle Federer in straight sets. That can't and won't happen against Djokovic. Expect Djokovic to come out highly motivated looking to get back to the #1 ranking with Federer's loss yesterday. Also factor in the revenge angle from the US Open.
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10-14-12 07:04 AM #38
Cash it. 11-6 YTD
Typical Djokovic style comeback. The man is the best in the world!!
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10-14-12 07:06 AM #39
Last minute play with some Djokovic winnings.
Goerges +7
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10-14-12 08:29 AM #40
Cash it. Nice little comeback to cover was down 5-0 in the 2nd set but got it back to 6-4. Good enough for me.
YTD 12-6
A lot of good matchups in Russia, Sweeden, and Austria tonight into tomorrow. I'll be back.
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10-14-12 09:13 PM #41
Absolutely murdered it today in the NFL so have more than enough house money to roll into a couple of the tournaments this week.
Gonna roll out 3 plays for tomorrow.
Biggest play is gonna be on Marinko Matosevic +125 Robin Haase is approaching Donald Young territory stacking up multiple losses in a row. He hasn't won since a match since July 22. 8 losses in a row. 10 of 11.
I think the +125 is a gift. Robin Haase shouldn't be favored over anyone at this point he got handled by a some qualifier ranked 204th at Bangkok. Matosevic is no slouch I think he will take this in straight sets.
Medium sized play is gonna be Steve Darcis -170 over Giles Muller. Muller has nothing besides a big serve and he's been terribly incosistent with that even over the last few months.
2nd Medium sized play will be Jarkko Nieminen -215 over Kamke. It's almost a home tournament for Nieminen being from Finland and he's always been super successful here. Expect the "home" advantage to kick in. This will be a good option for some parlays too.
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10-14-12 09:14 PM #42
Anyone been tailing me lately? Hoping for 15-6 after tomorrow.
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10-14-12 09:38 PM #43
hey man, been following the thread. keep it up!
ill keep a plays on what you are on.
hopefully marinko comes thru
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10-15-12 01:20 PM #44
Jarkko Nieminen cashes in straight sets. Was thankful I used him in several parlays as well.
Steve Darcis tough loss. Won a tiebreak 1st but got broken 4 times over the course of the next 2 sets.
YTD 13-7 with Marinko Matosevic still pending.
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10-15-12 01:42 PM #45
YTD 13-8
Chalk it up as a loss today but will continue to bet against Haase.
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10-15-12 02:51 PM #46
There is NO BETTER FEELING as a gambler to completely give up on a play only to find out it ended up cashing! That is the Robin Haase that I have learned to love betting against; completely dominates 1st set 6-1 only to completely self destruct midway through the 2nd.
Originally Posted by BRUTUSB33FCAKE
Very happy to correct my YTD record to 14-7
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10-15-12 03:38 PM #47
I stayed away from your two other small plays but tailed on Matosevic as I feel the same way about Hasse as you. GJ
Also, nice reverse jinx on post #45
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10-15-12 03:46 PM #48
Haha completely coincidental but I'll take it. Originally Posted by tr4sh
Also, nice reverse jinx on post #45
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10-15-12 10:47 PM #49
Huge play on Jurgen Zopp -165. Pablo Andujar has been losing almost as much as Robin Haase lately. Expect Andujar to mail his performance in.
Very big parlay on Nikolay Davydenko -300 and Kevin Anderson -230. Can see Davy winning the whole tournament. I know Anderson was struggling there for a bit but still has a good serve and just can't see Lleyton Hewitt having the return game to hang in. He should take a cue from Andy Roddick and retire gracefully.
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10-15-12 11:16 PM #50
hey,
I was just wondering, do you possibly have any unit breakdown on these plays? Like huge is ~5, medium ~2, small ~1? I've been tailing but been making my own assumption on units.
I've been doing 1/2 for small, 1 for medium and 2 for anything else but was just wondering if I should maybe redo the units.
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10-16-12 05:37 AM #51
I'll try to start including units. I go against betting strategy a lot and just bet random amounts depending on my bankroll. So for instance on Zopp, I have bet 15 units. If/when Zopp cashes, I'll be putting probably about 10-12 units on the parlay. Originally Posted by tr4sh
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10-16-12 05:57 AM #52
hey dude! i was looking at Ebden vs Volandri and volandri is at +400.
this dude aint +400 line.... is there something that im not aware of??
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10-16-12 06:12 AM #53
Small play I'll take 3 units on Carlos Berlocq at +135.
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10-16-12 06:15 AM #54
Volandri is terrible on the surface career 2-11. Originally Posted by diogone
hey dude! i was looking at Ebden vs Volandri and volandri is at +400. this dude aint +400 line.... is there something that im not aware of??
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10-16-12 06:42 AM #55
Cash the huge play on Zopp. An essentially drama free straight setter hope to see more of those today.
YTD 15-7
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10-16-12 09:17 AM #56
Vasek Pospisil -2 (-110) Don't feel like eating the chalk when by all rights Pospisil should roll Haider-Maurer. AHM is pretty bad on this surface. Call this a medium sized play will do 7 1/2 units.
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10-16-12 09:41 AM #57
Nice work Brutus, I'm following you time to time but couldn't reply, wish you luck in your future plays
..
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10-16-12 10:16 AM #58
Hit the small play on Berlocq for plus money. YTD 16-7
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10-16-12 11:37 AM #59
Looks like Davydenko might be back to his old match fixing ways. Countless breaks. It's a shame thought he had a chance to go deep into the tournament if not win.
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10-16-12 12:07 PM #60
Lost the parlay. I used to have Davydenko on my do not play list because of the match fixing allegations but I thought he had a couple nice showings at the tournaments last month. Needless to say he's back on the list. Today's match was real suspicious. Down 4-0 in the 2nd set fights back out of nowhere to get to 4-4 and loses straight 6-4.
YTD 16-8
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10-16-12 12:51 PM #61
Yeah i mean look who Davydenko was playing....im almost certain these countrymen made a mini-fortune off todays match.
Not enough money in this tourny to be won even if either of them won the whole thing...so might as well take the week off and enjoy 10x more money.
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10-16-12 02:19 PM #62
Cash Vasek Pospisil -2. Happy with 3-1 today only loss being the parlay which was most likely match fixed.
YTD 17-8
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10-16-12 11:06 PM #63
I didn't get a chance to post this parlay (bought a couple points on North Texas to be safe) but I'm going to let it ride into tomorrow morning; don't feel the need to hedge. Ivo Karlovic is very solid on the surface and I don't think Bolelli has the return game to counter that massive serve. Granted Karlovic's return game sucks but they will at least get to a tiebreaker and again can't see Bolelli hanging.
10/16/12 8:33pm $549.19 $769.18 Pending 2 Team Parlay Pending 10/16/12 9:00pm College Football 302 North Texas +7½ -163* vs UL Lafayette Pending 10/17/12 4:15am ATP Tennis 106 Ivo Karlovic -205* vs Simone Bolelli
10/16/12 8:34pm $500.00 $700.28 Pending 2 Team Parlay Pending 10/16/12 9:00pm College Football 302 North Texas +7½ -163* vs UL Lafayette Pending 10/17/12 4:15am ATP Tennis 106 Ivo Karlovic -205* vs Simone Bolelli
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10-16-12 11:15 PM #64
A couple other plays for the morning too:
Tatsuma Ito -150 Small 3 units Just kind of fading the public here everyone on Tennis Insight is all over Konstantin Kravchuk as the trendy upset pick.
Marius Copil + 4 Most likely huge somewhere around 15 units depending if my other plays cash. He's been in great form lately, great surface. Don't know if he can pull the upset but +4 seems like a nice number. Nicolas Almagro is fading as he always does at the end of the season. Also not his preferred surface by any means.
Jurgen Melzer -140 Most likely huge somewhere around 15 units again depending if my other plays cash. Will continue to bet against Giles Muller. Don't like his game and frankly Steve Darcis should have had him beat.
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10-17-12 05:22 AM #65
Cash Ito. Sometimes having no other angle than fading the public is the best angle especially in football. EaglesPhan is actually tracking the theory of fading TennisInsight now so got to give him a lot of credit where credit is due.
YTD 18-8 with Karlovic looking pretty good himself.
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10-17-12 05:34 AM #66
I see another small play. Gonna go with Richard Berankis at +155. Got to make it small at 3 units but I'm seeing things about Florian Mayer potentially still nursing the injury that caused him to withdraw last week against Andy Murray. And I use 5D who grades for retirements so I figure it's worth a play here. Kind of the same angle I saw some guys on the boards yesterday use when they hit the massive upset betting against an injured Monfils.
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10-17-12 05:46 AM #67
Was with you on Karlovic also, keep it comin' Brutus!!
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10-17-12 05:46 AM #68
Cash Karlovic for the massive parlay. Add that to Ito and that's $1800 in profit for today already.
YTD 19-8
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10-17-12 05:53 AM #69
I am on the run of my life. I cashed out close to $6,000 at the end of September from my last run. This is double that one even. I reloaded last Thursday $1,000. I am now sitting at $12,286 as I type this 6 days later. I know some people won't believe it so I posted my weekly figures.
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10-17-12 05:56 AM #70
I'm not saying any of this to brag. That's not my style. But I love to see people beat the books and if there's ever been a time to tail me this is it because I'm not going to be able to stay hot like this forever.
As a disclaimer, these winnings are not all from tennis. Sunday's big day was mostly from plays on the Jets, Bills, and Packers which I did not post. More than enough good people in those forums making picks so I don't have a thread or anything.
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