[lakerboy]

Celts open -8 Home Fav for gm5.

Yes but that mia ml is ONLY+245. That's what the takeaway is.

[hehfest]

0-150 but let's dig deeper like real 'cappers do:

how many of those 150 had the best record in their conference?
how many of them were #1 seeds in their conference?
how many had a roster from top to bottom who made the finals the year before?

probably None.

A real capper would look at 0-150 and realize that's not in your favor UNLESS you have Curry in his prime, Lebron in his prime, Shaq in his prime, Kobe in his prime, or MJ in his prime coming back in game 4 and is in perfect shape from injury/suspension, etc. OR a player like Jimmy Butler goes down during game 4 and will miss the rest of the series. Or something tragic happens to a coach like Spoelstra where he can't even speak to his assistants after game 3 to help them out if he had to miss. That's about it homey! Even after all that, it is long overdue for the NBA to have it happen but my coin is on the Heat closing this out at some point.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Yes but that mia ml is ONLY+245. That's what the takeaway is.

Yes, Heat can definitely win gm5. Big difference btw winning as an 8-pt Dog vs winning as a 10-pt Dog.

Was just one game. I said it won't be easy (for BOST to come all the way back).

[johnnyvegas13]

Yes, Heat can definitely win gm5. Big difference btw winning as an 8-pt Dog vs winning as a 10-pt Dog.

Was just one game. I said it won't be easy (for BOST to come all the way back).

They will show up at home this time

only gm that won’t b easy is gm 6

[IBetYou]

Injuries are the bugaboo of the HEAT. Vincent doubtful for game 6.

[JIBBBY]

Every game Boston wins going forward just gives the Nuggets more rest and quality practice time. Something to think about.

[pavyracer]

Celtics only need to win one more game in Miami cause the other two at home are gimmies.

[homie1975]

how many of the 150 teams who all lost the series after starting 0-3, were the higher seeds and had home court advantage as well as went to the finals the year before?

maybe 10 out of 150?

max 15?

the team that goes 0-2 to start the series is almost always the ROAD Team.

if there was ever a team that can do it, this is the team.

[IBetYou]

how many of the 150 teams who all lost the series after starting 0-3, were the higher seeds and had home court advantage as well as went to the finals the year before?

maybe 10 out of 150?

max 15?

the team that goes 0-2 to start the series is almost always the ROAD Team.

if there was ever a team that can do it, this is the team.

Yes, you're debunking a very misleading stat that is thrown out there repeatedly for slack jawed pocket-money gamblers. The next game is the only one that matters anyway. If you bet futures you're betting on injuries.

[homie1975]

This is all I'll say. If Miami loses G5 tomorrow night in boston, they had better win G6 on sat nite in south beach.

Out of the 150 teams who went down 0-3 never to come back, I'll guess 10-15% were the higher seeded team who started 0-2 at home, so games 5 and 7 are at their crib. Boston is likely one of the most talented teams in history to go down 0-3. Plus, they just made the finals LY. how many of those 150 teams fit this profile ?

They clearly play much better w their backs against the wall (see Sixers gm 6 and 7 and heat g4) so all I can say is that if there was ever a team to come back from 0-3, this here is it.

16s never beat 1s for 35 years in the NCAA tourney then it happened twice in 3 years.

Look out. That's all I'm saying.

[IBetYou]

Yeh. You're not sayin anything. Maybe they do it, maybe they don't. It's not 4 wins anymore, it's 3! 2 at home and one on the road, vs a team missing its 3rd best player AND it's 6th man.

[homie1975]

Yeh. You're not sayin anything. Maybe they do it, maybe they don't. It's not 4 wins anymore, it's 3! 2 at home and one on the road, vs a team missing its 3rd best player AND it's 6th man.

vs a Team who dismantled the higher seeded bucks and the higher seeded knicks, and was up 3-0.

miami way better than the media narrative.

adebayo, jimmy, kyle, all excellent players. kyle won a ring as the #2 guy in toronto with kawhi in 2019, remember?

strus and martin? i saw them both play in college. they averaged 20 ppg at depaul and nevada respectively!

if the celtics become the first team to come back from 0-3, there will be shockwaves across the world of sports.

it will be the biggest story in the nba since, maybe ever.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

They will show up at home this time

only gm that won’t b easy is gm 6

This series will be all the talk.

Realistically, Game 5 could be viewed as the adjustment game for Spoelstra. If it's a matter of coaching adjustments, we'd have to tilt toward Spoelstra (over Joe).

Can't believe I'm saying this, but the Vincent injury is big. That would be the third guard down. I'd have to think someone like DuncanRob or Martin would need a big game to steal Gm5.

[IBetYou]

They beat a very strong Bucks team. But they kind of took the Bucks by surprise... Bucks had injuries to key players, and they blew a big 4th Q lead in the closeout game. I think the Celtics overlooked them because their 2nd round opponent (Knicks) was not very strong. Whatever, it makes me wonder if they miss Herro at all -this guy thinks he's on par with Doncic & Young.

Celtics clearly have more talent though. Tatum/ Brown/ Horford are a strong triumvirate when locked in, and then the guards Smart/ White/ Brogdon ought to put them over the top in this matchup. More G.Williams and less R.Williams is good for them also -never liked the latter.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

They beat a very strong Bucks team. But they kind of took the Bucks by surprise... Bucks had injuries to key players, and they blew a big 4th Q lead in the closeout game. I think the Celtics overlooked them because their 2nd round opponent (Knicks) was not very strong. Whatever, it makes me wonder if they miss Herro at all -this guy thinks he's on par with Doncic & Young.

Celtics clearly have more talent though. Tatum/ Brown/ Horford are a strong triumvirate when locked in, and then the guards Smart/ White/ Brogdon ought to put them over the top in this matchup. More G.Williams and less R.Williams is good for them also -never liked the latter.

You in action for Gm5, guy?

[IBetYou]

You in action for Gm5, guy?

I lean Celtics every game from here. Don't want to be betting much against this HEAT team!

[IBetYou]

I feel the HEAT can bounce back with the best of them, but the Celtics have figured some things out I think.

[IBetYou]

I'm going against the grain and saying game 7 will be the hardest one for the Celtics even though they'd be at home. I would bet the HEAT in game 7, actually.

[johnnyvegas13]

Gave Vincent out so they will easy tonight

either gonna b heat in 6 or Boston in 7

[goduke]

Gave Vincent out so they will easy tonight

either gonna b heat in 6 or Boston in 7

So you are predicting 2 of the 4 scenarios? Lol

[TheMoneyShot]

Yes but that mia ml is ONLY+245. That's what the takeaway is.

Yes, rather soft ML in my opinion.

[k13]

One more win and it will be the easiest 3-0 comeback ever.

[ThaTopMoron]

I'm going against the grain and saying game 7 will be the hardest one for the Celtics even though they'd be at home. I would bet the HEAT in game 7, actually.

cavs made history down 1-3 vs warriors but both teams fought to the bitter end... victory margin under 8 and UNDER

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Celtics open as -3 road fav for Gm6.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Celtics open as -3 road fav for Gm6.

As a handicap, I'd say I'm torn on this game. Goes back to the guard play:

*Vincent status is big. Lowry had a pretty bad game.

[ThaTopMoron]

Celtics open as -3 road fav for Gm6.

how fast will it get to -4

[ThaTopMoron]

Boston +120 to win the series

[Art Vandelay]

Boston +120 to win the series

Heat the same at +120 for Game 6, which basically is Game 7 for them...

[jrgum3]

I think JV is going to make an epic call here. Boston has finally started to play lockdown defense and it has showed in the last two games. If Boston holds Miami under 100 points they will win again in game 6. Vincent's status is key here because he's been an X factor in this series.

[lakerboy]

how fast will it get to -4

Its-2.5-105 at BETONLINE.

[pavyracer]

JV is going to get this. I have faith in him. He has a good eye for value.

[Foxx]

This could go down as one of the greatest calls in SBR history.

[Goat Milk]

This is all I'll say. If Miami loses G5 tomorrow night in boston, they had better win G6 on sat nite in south beach.

Out of the 150 teams who went down 0-3 never to come back, I'll guess 10-15% were the higher seeded team who started 0-2 at home, so games 5 and 7 are at their crib. Boston is likely one of the most talented teams in history to go down 0-3. Plus, they just made the finals LY. how many of those 150 teams fit this profile ?

They clearly play much better w their backs against the wall (see Sixers gm 6 and 7 and heat g4) so all I can say is that if there was ever a team to come back from 0-3, this here is it.

16s never beat 1s for 35 years in the NCAA tourney then it happened twice in 3 years.

Look out. That's all I'm saying.

If Miami loses game 6, I give them the same chances to win game 7. Both games are coin flips. Home court advantage means nothing in the nba playoffs. Literally zero.

no one will care if the celtics came back from 3-0 down. They're playing a shitty as Miami team. Miami is up in the series because they have the best player on the court.

[Goat Milk]

This could go down as one of the greatest calls in SBR history.

Not really. It was only +800. I posted a +9000 winner on this site.

[johnnyvegas13]

This could go down as one of the greatest calls in SBR history.

Odds wise no as it was only +800