[ChicagoBlackhawk]

I have thought about it.....and am not liking either of these. It may sound crazy, but while I am sure the Pens and Hawks will advance, a lot of times the good teams have to make a heroic effort to get out of the first round. I wouldn't be shocked to see the Isles or the Wild up 2-1 after three games in their respective series'.

never will happen man

[Bill_Hicks]

OK, thanks for your input D2D.

[Dollars2Donuts]

never will happen man

Lol, I didn't say it would you homer! Just that it is possible!!

Also notice that I took the Hawks minus a big number....obviously I like them.

[Bill_Hicks]

re: the "-0.5, regulation" bets in hockey...

I've written a fair bit in El Nino's thread about the relative advantages/disadvantages of using the "-1, full-time" (aka. the "-1 puckline") as another way to bak a team that's too chalky on the ML...it's not a popular way to go...but I'm sold on it, for reasons detailed over there

I sometimes use -0.75 for juicy favourites, and I've been happy with the results so far.

[Dollars2Donuts]

It looks like MLB is continuing to be a challenge for me.....the YANKS up 4-0 (had them at -2.5) in the 8th and they give up 2 useless runs....I don't think I am getting in on the wrong side in a lot of these games, but I am literally never getting any breaks for, and always giving up late runs to push or lose. I know that variance is part of it, but I am shocked at how often it seems to be happening to me....and again, I don't mind it happening, but it should really happen to both the winning and losing sides equally.....so, I have to think it will even out at some point.

[Bill_Hicks]

5-2!!!!

6-2!!!

I was bitching too, helps sometimes.

[tto827]

Right there with you D2D

Mets the last two days prime example

If the padres choke this game away to the cubs I'm done gambling.

[Dollars2Donuts]

Right there with you D2D

Mets the last two days prime example

If the padres choke this game away to the cubs I'm done gambling.

Lol, until tomorrow......

[Dollars2Donuts]

Adding a late play on the Ducks game:

177392226-1

4/30/13 10:14pm

$118.00

$100.00

Pending

4/30/13 10:35pm Reduced Hockey 55 Detroit Red Wings/Anaheim Ducks Under 5 -118*

[Dollars2Donuts]

Oh Yankees.....maybe that's what we needed to get this ship righted. Honestly they tried to scare the living crap outta me, but JUST managed to get it done.

[Kpn]

This Chicago game.... AS I'M TYPING GOAAAALLL!!!!!!

[Dollars2Donuts]

This Chicago game.... AS I'M TYPING GOAAAALLL!!!!!!

[Dollars2Donuts]

Adding two small tennis plays for tomorrow morning. Almost played Fognini ML and Fognini -4 games.....but every time I went to hit confirm I just couldn't do it. He should win this match and cover, but there is something about guys playing guys from their own country....I just could not pull the trigger....but if you are adventurous I still see value there.

Adding:

177420819-1	4/30/13 11:42pm	$50.00	$52.50		Pending	5/1/13 6:00am ATP Tennis 214 Radek Stepanek +105* vs Viktor Troicki
177420819-2	4/30/13 11:42pm	$50.00	$50.00		Pending	5/1/13 8:35am ATP Tennis 228 D.Tursunov Games Won +3½ +100* vs A.Dolgopolov Games Won

[Dollars2Donuts]

Adding a small 2nd half play:

177424679-1

5/1/13 12:01am

$55.00

$50.00

Pending

4/30/13 10:35pm NBA Basketball 529 Memphis Grizzlies/Los Angeles Clippers 2nd Half Under 90 -110*

[Dollars2Donuts]

Today:

9-5-0

+ $348


Totals (76 documented days):

559 - 469- 29

+ $ 10,969.35


Play of the Day (NO CHANGE):

30 - 16

+ $4529.93

[Overbettor]

That Blackhawks game subtracted years from my life but added huge to my roll!! Nice pick D2D

[Dollars2Donuts]

That Blackhawks game subtracted years from my life but added huge to my roll!! Nice pick D2D

You are welcome....but to be honest it was a pretty juicy pick to congratulate me on! Now, when I keep hitting on all of my ATP dogs, that's where and when you should bet with me and pat me on the back!!




Good win though....and sorry about the years you are going to lose!!


D2D

[Kpn]

You are welcome....but to be honest it was a pretty juicy pick to congratulate me on! Now, when I keep hitting on all of my ATP dogs, that's where and when you should bet with me and pat me on the back!!




Good win though....and sorry about the years you are going to lose!!


D2D

Some interesting NBA matchups tomorrow (Pens and Bruins I'm sure everyone is on so not worth a big chat over). Can't wait to hit the prop bets either way on Carmelo and Durant over whatever point line they put up, they will both hit over 32 tomorrow.

[Dollars2Donuts]

Also, my Series bet on the Grizz took a turn for the better tonight....I almost hit them again at 0-2 to average up, but just didn't have the balls.

175640666-4

4/20/13 8:57am

$100.00

$158.00

Pending

4/20/13 10:30pm Reduced Basketball 887 Memphis Grizzlies (Series) +158* vs Los Angeles Clippers (Series)

[Dollars2Donuts]

Some interesting NBA matchups tomorrow (Pens and Bruins I'm sure everyone is on so not worth a big chat over). Can't wait to hit the prop bets either way on Carmelo and Durant over whatever point line they put up, they will both hit over 32 tomorrow.

Pretty rare that I bet props. Only when I feel so sure that I cannot help myself. I learned at the SuperBowl this year, lol.

[Kpn]

Pretty rare that I bet props. Only when I feel so sure that I cannot help myself. I learned at the SuperBowl this year, lol.

Really? Prop betting players is my highest win %, I've been hitting 70+% since I started doing it (Superbowl I took Flacco to throw over 250 yards and also for him to throw >1.5 TD's and Ray Lewis to have >4 Tackles) Don't ask how I remember this lol.

I'm 8/10 of my last 10 prop's, I forgot to mention I'll probably takes Kevin G for whatever his rebound prop line is.

What superbowl prop did you take that tanked?

[MonkeyMoney]

May may be a better month for us!! lol D2D

[Overbettor]

You are welcome....but to bed honest it was a pretty juicy pick to congratulate me on! Now, when I keep hitting on all of my ATP dogs, that's where and when you should bet with me and pat me on the back!!




Good win though....and sorry about the years you are going to lose!!


D2D

That reminds me, I never did thank you for the +200 Robredo winner! You're the man

[bald_guy]

I was 4-0 last night thanks to your great picks. Up 3.998 units. Thanks. Be interesting to see how the series games works out. Hope they get them over with fast in our favor so our money will be unlocked.

Keep up the great work, its much appreciated.

[Dollars2Donuts]

Today's plays so far:

177601126-1	5/1/13 10:05am	$105.00	$100.00		Pending	5/1/13 12:05pm ATP Tennis 119 P.Carreno-Busta Games Won -1½ -105* vs D.Goffin Games Won
177600890-1	5/1/13 9:59am	$69.00	$50.00		Pending	5/1/13 10:10pm MLB Baseball 914 Los Angeles Dodgers -138* vs Colorado Rockies (J Nicasio - R must Start J Beckett - R must Start)
177600890-2	5/1/13 9:59am	$50.00	$55.00		Pending	5/1/13 3:35pm MLB Baseball 917 Los Angeles Angels +110* vs Oakland Athletics (C Wilson - L must Start T Milone - L must Start)
177600890-3	5/1/13 9:59am	$50.00	$60.00		Pending	5/1/13 7:05pm MLB Baseball 922 Toronto Blue Jays +120* vs Boston Red Sox (C Buchholz - R must Start M Buehrle - L must Start)
177600890-4	5/1/13 9:59am	$50.00	$53.00		Pending	5/1/13 8:05pm MLB Baseball 923 Chicago White Sox +106* vs Texas Rangers (C Sale - L must Start N Tepesch - R must Start)
177600800-1	5/1/13 9:57am	$50.00	$51.00		Pending	5/1/13 7:10pm Reduced Baseball 907 Washington Nationals/Atlanta Braves Over 7 +102* (J Zimmermann - R must Start P Maholm - L must Start)

[Dollars2Donuts]

Adding:

177601737-1	5/1/13 10:16am	$108.00	$100.00		Pending	5/1/13 7:05pm Reduced Basketball 532 New York Knicks -8½ -108* vs Boston Celtics
177601737-2	5/1/13 10:16am	$102.00	$100.00		Pending	5/1/13 8:05pm Reduced Basketball 533 Atlanta Hawks/Indiana Pacers Under 187½ -102*

[Dollars2Donuts]

May may be a better month for us!! lol D2D

Ummmm.....lol.....ok.

I was up $4600 in documented picks in April.....I will always welcome a better month than that, but come on! Lol, if $4600 profit isn't decent at my stakes....then I will never meet anyone's expectations!




D2D

[Dollars2Donuts]

More square picks:

177602291-1	5/1/13 10:25am	$178.00	$100.00		Pending	5/1/13 7:05pm Reduced Hockey 58 Boston Bruins -178* vs Toronto Maple Leafs
177602291-2	5/1/13 10:25am	$215.00	$100.00		Pending	5/1/13 7:05pm Reduced Hockey 858 Boston Bruins (Series) -215* vs Toronto Maple Leafs (Series)

[Bawth]

More square picks:

177602291-1	5/1/13 10:25am	$178.00	$100.00		Pending	5/1/13 7:05pm Reduced Hockey 58 Boston Bruins -178* vs Toronto Maple Leafs
177602291-2	5/1/13 10:25am	$215.00	$100.00		Pending	5/1/13 7:05pm Reduced Hockey 858 Boston Bruins (Series) -215* vs Toronto Maple Leafs (Series)

Only picks I am refusing to tail... I can't go against my team. Thanks for all your picks over the past few months but I hope you lose your money on these

[Dollars2Donuts]

Only picks I am refusing to tail... I can't go against my team. Thanks for all your picks over the past few months but I hope you lose your money on these

Lol, I knew I would run into some Leafs fans. I just cannot buy in to Reimer or the Leafs D....not yet anyway.

I get it though...I have Canucks season tickets....but I am certainly not betting on them.....not before I watch a game or two anyway to see what they will look like this postseason.

[Dollars2Donuts]

Well, looks like a 1-1 start in tennis this morning.....a good call on Tursunov was negated by Radek Stepanek not pulling his weight. I really thought Radek's maturity would win out there.

Anyway, no harm, no foul an even day so far.


D2D

[vancityswag]

line is moving pretty heavy against your last atp pick. whats your angle?

[Dollars2Donuts]

line is moving pretty heavy against your last atp pick. whats your angle?

Line hasn't moved an inch at 5dimes.....

Busta is the 213th ranked player in the world, ranked some 150 spots lower than Goffin. The public spots that and the line starts to move. Busta is a far superior player on clay, doesn't even really play the rest of the season on HC. His ranking will always fool people.

Sharp money on Busta....I was hoping the public would start to move it yesterday and I waited, but it never happened. The books want the money on Goffin here....

GL

[SpreadSniper]

More square picks:

177602291-1	5/1/13 10:25am	$178.00	$100.00		Pending	5/1/13 7:05pm Reduced Hockey 58 Boston Bruins -178* vs Toronto Maple Leafs
177602291-2	5/1/13 10:25am	$215.00	$100.00		Pending	5/1/13 7:05pm Reduced Hockey 858 Boston Bruins (Series) -215* vs Toronto Maple Leafs (Series)

Fukkk YOU DONUTS!!!!

[vancityswag]

Line hasn't moved an inch at 5dimes.....

Busta is the 213th ranked player in the world, ranked some 150 spots lower than Goffin. The public spots that and the line starts to move. Busta is a far superior player on clay, doesn't even really play the rest of the season on HC. His ranking will always fool people.

Sharp money on Busta....I was hoping the public would start to move it yesterday and I waited, but it never happened. The books want the money on Goffin here....

GL

busta - 1 (-107) on pinny