[No coincidences]

Denver 2nd half +7 +105
1x to win 1.05

Ben back to hobbling badly and this feels like the Niners game. Denver gets the ball and I dont see how PITT is in the position to cover this

Wow -- going for the kill given your original bet. Good luck Sunde.

[Sunde91]

Denver ML Live Start of OT +105
1x to win 1.05

Just the feel Tebow wins this with another shot. Ben and PITT blew it on the last drive

[Sunde91]

Wild Card 3-2 +5.88

Overall: 47-44-1 +6.15

Giants +17, Bama +7 seven point teaser ties win -128
6.4x to win 5

Gotta track it somewhere and will go NFL as I've done no teasers in NCAAF and NYG +17 is still available at 5Dimes. Bama +7 is long gone but posted before line http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/players-ta...aser-gods.html

Giants +8.5 -110 would likely be worthy of 3x play anyway. They have found their 2007 form. They have the heart, the run game, and the defense. Jacobs and Bradshaw are trucking guys just like 07. Manning is in the middle of the most clutch season ever. Defense gave up 0 points. Now a classic scenario is in place for them to go on the road in Lambeau vs. the #1 overall. Not covering 8.5 would be surprising. Laying a total egg and not covering +17 would be shocking

Don't like GB's position and may even hedge SB +800 before Sunday. No run game. Dubious protection for Rodgers. If NYG gets to him it could be the game. The defense is the worst in the league. With Manning and the run game clicking at the same time for NYG, it's a real scary spot for GB

It would also be shocking to see Bama and Saban lose by more than 7 in their revenge game, with the superior (#1) D in a low scoring defensive battle that has a 40 total

[Sunde91]

Ravens ML -315
9.45x to win 3

Ravens -9 +115
1x to win 1.15

Can't believe the value on the ML. -7.5 home favs with a 35.5 total and only -315. Greek is -350 and BM -330. This is -400 minimum normally. -449 according to http://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-tool...-ml-converter/ , which is imperfect and skewed towards higher totals (avg is about 45) where points aren't as valuable. It will definitely climb from here

Texans are off their biggest game in franchise history. The high of highs for a team with absolutely no experience. Theyre hardly a good team. They were deadlocked at home with the garbage Bungals with Andy Dalton and Clown Marvin Lewis in a 10-10 game late 2nd Q before Watt's miracle pick 6 which flipped the game for good. No more flukes vs. trash teams now going on the road vs. a no BS top 4 team. This vaunted Texans D also gave up 400 yards to BALT in the first game

This is the Ravens year to make a run. 6-0 SU and 5-0-1 ATS vs. playoff teams. An unprecedented sweep over PITT. Flacco inconsistent but clutch games @PITT with the last second TD and vs. SF show how he has stepped up in big games. Balt D will shut down Foster like last game holding him for 49 yards and 93 yards as a team (avg 153 ranked 2nd). This leaves it up to Rookie Yates. He has no chance.

It's an ambush game through and through

[Sunde91]

Saints/Packers Under 65 -115
5.75x to win 5

No action if teams don't meet

65 would be the highest NFL total in history by 3 points
http://beyondthebets.com/2012/01/07/...ayoff-history/

It would be absolutely shocking to see this open at 65 come Sunday and this is the matchup

It's been a mild winter, but should be no higher than 15 degrees once the game is full swing in GB with a kickoff at about 6pm CT. 15 would be about 50 degrees lower than what the Saints, the most spoiled team of all time, are comfortable with. 12 of their 17 games have been indoors. 4 of their outside games were played before October 17. One single game all year was after that, Dec 11 in moderate 40 degree temperatures in Nashville, where they struggled and only scored 22. They arent lighting up the scoreboard come Jan 22nd in Lambeau

2 passing teams, one a soft as can be Dome team, playing in 15 degrees at best (not even considering wind) are supposed to have the highest NFL total ever. Outrageous

[Sunde91]

Pats TT Over 32 -110
3.3x to win 3

O 30.5 -126 pinn, O 31.5 -140 Greek, O 31.5 -145 BM

Nobody needs to remind Brady about losing 3 playoff games in a row. With 2 weeks to prepare coming in extremely focused and motivated, he won't be stopped vs. a poor Denver D that gave up 41 points and 450 yards in the first game at home. A limping Ben and a horrid O just put up 23 points and 400 yards on them at home. Now they're on the road in a big letdown game after that emotional win vs. Brady out to kill

GB TT Over 30 -110
2.2x to win 2

O 30.5 -116 pinn, O 30 -115 Greek, O 30 -140 BM

Packers and Rodgers are being overlooked and disrespected and this O will come up big off the bye after getting healthy vs. a Giants D that has played trash Os the last 3 weeks. Giants should score 3+ TDs themselves to cover +17 teaser

Texans TT Under 14.5 -110

U 13 +105 pinn, U 14.5 -115 Greek, U 14 -105 BM

Yates will get destroyed on this big of a stage on the road vs. a BALT D with 2 weeks to prepare. It's Balt's year to make a run and they won't give up anything. Texans in the letdown of letdown spots after their biggest win in franchise history, zero experience, now in Balt. Ambush

[Sunde91]

Niners +3.5 -107
3.21x to win 3

Might go to 3 by the looks of it. Saints have covered 9 games in a row; 6 of them home, 8 indoors. 2-3 ATS in outdoor games on the year, covered at TENN by a sliver. This will be their first games outdoors in over a month (12/11@Tenn) and 2nd total in 3 months. Pretty ridiculous how spoiled this team is

I can't believe NO will just continue to truck uninhibited 10 weeks in a row going against a top D on the road. I hate Smith vs. Breesus, and Niners zero experience, but SF can lean on Gore and that 8th run game. Control the game and keep it away from NO

[No coincidences]

Pats TT Over 32 -110
3.3x to win 3

O 30.5 -126 pinn, O 31.5 -140 Greek, O 31.5 -145 BM

Nobody needs to remind Brady about losing 3 playoff games in a row. With 2 weeks to prepare coming in extremely focused and motivated, he won't be stopped vs. a poor Denver D that gave up 41 points and 450 yards in the first game at home. A limping Ben and a horrid O just put up 23 points and 400 yards on them at home. Now they're on the road in a big letdown game after that emotional win vs. Brady out to kill

GB TT Over 30 -110
2.2x to win 2

O 30.5 -116 pinn, O 30 -115 Greek, O 30 -140 BM

Packers and Rodgers are being overlooked and disrespected and this O will come up big off the bye after getting healthy vs. a Giants D that has played trash Os the last 3 weeks. Giants should score 3+ TDs themselves to cover +17 teaser

Texans TT Under 14.5 -110

U 13 +105 pinn, U 14.5 -115 Greek, U 14 -105 BM

Yates will get destroyed on this big of a stage on the road vs. a BALT D with 2 weeks to prepare. It's Balt's year to make a run and they won't give up anything. Texans in the letdown of letdown spots after their biggest win in franchise history, zero experience, now in Balt. Ambush

I like all of the TT plays.

I'm not sure Houston scores at all.

[Sunde91]

Saints ML +140 Live down 17-7
3x to win 4.2

[Sunde91]

Denver scores next 2nd half +160
1x to win 1.6

Get the ball and are forced into "let it loose" mode

[Sunde91]

Ravens -10.5 -110 Live up 7-3 1Q
1.1x to win 1

[Sunde91]

GB 2nd half -10 +115
2x to win 2.3

Get the ball, one drive to get their head in it and the crowd pumped only down 3 and it all changes

[Sunde91]

Divisional 5-6 +5.7
Playoffs 8-8 +11.58
Futures 2-3 -1.74 (GB SB loss)

Overall: 52-51-1 +10.85

Pats Super Bowl Champs +125
6x to win 7.5

pinn +109

Pats line in SB will be virtually the same vs either NY/SF. Id say about -7, pretty fair
Pats were +14in Brady's first SB, then -7 vs CAR, -7 vs PHI, -12.5 vs NY

-330 ML vs. Balt
-330 ML vs. NFC (MLs vary and would probably be higher if it's as high as -7)
= 59%/-144 they win it all

To even figure the +125 odds given -330 vs Balt, Pats would have to be an absurd -2.5/-138 in the SB. Impossibly absurd given SB history. GB -150 vs. PItt last year. Colts -200. Pats would be a far more lopsided matchup here

Balt is terribly overrated and they dont have it to win in NE. All 20 of their points vs. HOU came off 4 turnovers. Flacco went 14/27 and Rice had 2.9 YPC, got completely stuffed on the goalline like a weak midget. Joke performance from the whole O. The vaunted D gave up 315 yards at home vs a one dimensional team with a clown rookie QB. This was supposed to be their statement game and they barely won because of TOs. Pats D line is now playing great. Contain the run and put this on Flacco to win it and it's game over

Brady and his targets will absolutely destroy Balt. Slow, old Lewis, Suggs, McClain in coverage vs Gronk and Hernandez will be a sight. Those are 2 guys NE did not have 2 years ago when Balt won in NE. If Balt brings the pressure all day like they did that game, theyll get absolutely killed with Gronk/Hern either getting wide open or matched with tiny DBs where Brady can hit that easy target.

Brady and Belichick have had more than their fill of playoff misery and are now primed to retake the glory after 7 years of absence. Theyll get their revenge vs. Balt. Once they're in that Super Bowl game with 2 weeks to prepare, with all their experience, after all the heartache, there's no stopping them

[Sunde91]

These are too good to pass up if Pats lose

no action if teams don't meet. limit resets and can be rebet

Ravens +3 -115 vs Giants
6.9x to win 6

Ravens ML +127
2x to win 2.54

Ravens are .5 ahead of Giants in the powerrankings and they are getting 3 points. http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=888278 I would have expected Balt to be about -2 or so without that. 100% this will not open +3 -115 or better

If Ravens take down the Pats this weekend, this game is theirs. A win in that Pats game will give them so much confidence and propel them to new heights. 4 years in a row in the playoffs with Flacco and that D with all the veterans who don't have a ring except Lewis.

Ravens ML +102 vs SF
6x to win 6.12

Even in the powertankings and they were -140 yesterday now getting +money.

SF has no experience with a first year head coach going against a seasoned Ravens team 4 straight years in it. Jim Harbaugh coach of the century if he wins that. Can't see it

[Sunde91]

Giants ML +165 Live down 14-10 early 4th
3x to win 4.95

Eli legend status to be made

[No coincidences]

Giants ML +165 Live down 14-10 early 4th
3x to win 4.95

Eli legend status to be made

You have incredible timing.

Eli goes from getting sacked on almost every dropback to throwing a TD thanks to the Niners' version of Buckner.

[Sunde91]

^ went from bad timing after the 3nout to great after the fumble, though I think NY was +180 or so when SF was driving down 3

conference champ 1-0 +4.95
playoffs 9-8+16.53

Overall: 53-51-1 +15.8

Giants +3.5 -120
6x to win 5

Respect the Giants too much to leave 6 units completely exposed on Pats +125, and there is too much value with this middle opportunity to forego a shot. This was -3 -110 to -120 coming in and +3.5 would have been had for -135 about. Hunch -120 is about the best it will get

It's the battle of destinies and Pats by 3 is the perfect score. Pats lost by 3 to NY 4 years ago. Pats won all 3 of their SBs by 3. Tom and Bill are here for their redemption after a 7 year drought and revenge over the Giants. Eli and Coughlin are close to completing another insane run like 07, now in the middle of 5 straight wins. The hot team can't be overlooked. Packers 6 straight wins last year to qualify + win it all. Giants 07. Pitt 05. All powerhouse teams with elite QBs who get hot, barely make the playoffs, then ride that momentum to win it all.

This may be the highest rated SB ever, classic matchup, and I don't see how this is anything but a battle down to the wire. Eli and Brady are 2 clutch, top 5 QBs in a dome vs. trash pass Defenses (NY 29th, NE 31st). They will always have their teams within distance in this game.

Brady is here to cement himself as one of/the greatest ever while Eli has been treated like a retarded kid for most of his career. Then he said he's an elite QB before the season and everyone laughed at him. All he did to prove it was carry his team to the SB after breaking the record for 4th Q TDs. A SB win here will give him eternal respect at the level of his brother. I fear what this guy can do on his mission, but Tom and Bill redemption comes through in the end

Pats by 3

[Sunde91]

Pats -2.5 -116
5.8x to win 5

Feeling the line has hit its valley and goes nowhere but up, setting up for a 17.5x middle if Pats by 3

Amazing to see the Pats disrespected all around. Public and media all on board with the Giants. Cowturd says Giants should be favored. 60%+ on Giants points, 70%+ on Giants ML. No one believes in the Pats and they come in underhyped, good news. They were the giant godlike favorite 4 years ago with huge pressure. None of that this time. Last time they were do disrespected was after they dropped 2 in a row and went to Jets. Jets were literally picked across the board by ESPN NFL experts. Pats rolled.

Bill is 28-10 ATS in same-season revenge games. Giants ruined his coronation as the greatest ever 4 years ago. Tom likewise. They have 2 weeks to prepare for the game that will define their legacy for the ultimate revenge. Yes revenge matters. Ask the Mavs how important it was to get back at the Heat. Ask Pens over Wings in 09.

[Sunde91]

NFC TT Over 40 -110
1.1x to win 1

Rodgers and Breesus throwing to Fitzgerald, Graham, Jennings, Smith, White. Newton wants to put on a show as well and will run and score vs pro bowl Ds that dont try

[Sunde91]

Brady Super Bowl MVP +115
2x to win 2.3

Pinn -110, Greek -125

Brady Pass Yards Over 324.5 +110
2x to win 2.2

Pinn O +117, Greek O 323 -110

If Pats win it will be Brady's coronation and he's a lock for the MVP unless he's terrible. If he's terrible they aren't winning anyway.

The 1st Giants game Pats lost and Brady played relatively poorly and still threw for 342. Now he's got 2 weeks to prepare in the game of his life in the dome vs. a 29th Pass D. Pats O line is playing real well and will protect him. Just 1 sack in the 2 playoff games. 4 years ago Giants pass rush had time and got to Brady as Pats were heavily reliant on the deep ball with Moss, leaving Brady uncomfortable bouncing for a long time in the pocket eyes way down field. It's mostly short and quick now.

[Sunde91]

Pats ML -140
14x to win 10

[Sunde91]

Pats 2nd half TT Over 14 -120
3.6 to win 3

Pats havent even begun to get it going. 10 minutes of possession in a horrible as can be half and they still got 10 points.

Giants confidence is killed with that score to close the half. Tom with the momentum and the ball in the biggest game of his life with the offense clicking. Wont be stopped

[Scorpion]

giants didnt play well in the last 10 minutes of the 1st half

[paco]

GL sunde. We never saw eye to eye, but we both need pats!


Brady will bring us together

[Sunde91]

2011 Final

Overall: 55-57-1 -11.6
average price (weighted): +106


Regular Season 44-42-1 +0.27
Playoffs 11-13 -10.87
Futures: 2-4 -7.74

10x: 0-1 -14.00
6x: 0-1 -6.00
5x: 3-1 +9.2
3x: 12-12 -4.56
2x: 10-15-1 -9.42
1x: 27-24 +7.97

ATS (FG): 14-16 -3.74
ML: 10-13 -13.34
Totals: 7-4 +4.1
(overs 1-0, unders 1-2, TT O 3-2)
Live/2nd half: 21-19-1 +6.17
Teasers: 6-3 +9.4
Props: 2-3 -1.65

[Scorpion]

nfl is tough

[CTOWNsCAPPIN]

Pats 2nd half TT Over 14 -120
3.6 to win 3

Pats havent even begun to get it going. 10 minutes of possession in a horrible as can be half and they still got 10 points.

Giants confidence is killed with that score to close the half. Tom with the momentum and the ball in the biggest game of his life with the offense clicking. Wont be stopped

Should've taken some notes from me kid! Better luck next year!

[ttrace35]

Nfl is easy.