[Sunde91]

PITT -14 -110 (Live 10-3 2nd Q)
1.1x to win 1

[Sunde91]

Giants +7.5 -108
2.16x to win 2

Classic spot for Giants. Everyone counting them out after the PHI loss and now their backs are against the wall on Monday Night in the SuperDome.

For the first time in about 2 months, the Giants are not 1st in the division. Giants know the significance of this game to stay level with the Cowboys. Their schedule is far tougher than the Cowboys and they need every game. The urgency after 2 straight losses and the div lead lost is massive. Coughlin will have them ready. He does well with his team as a road dog with little shot (SU wins +10@Pats, +8.5 @ Eagles this year alone).

[PAULYPOKER]

You are a jealous wannabe.you have a season thread with only 1200 views,I get 1200+ views on a thread only few hours old....
Shoot yourself..........

[Sunde91]

I use season threads to track for my own use, tranny. If I wanted views I'd make lock threads like yourself and the clowns in PT. Proves what an attention whore freak you are to post here for internetz attention.

I spontaneously call you a dumb tranny freak for dumb posts. This cuts you to the core and makes you go out of your way to stalk every thread I post in. Ownership. Everyone calls you a tranny now. Ownership

[PAULYPOKER]

Giants are a loss so ya better hedge now..........

[PAULYPOKER]

Giants, you are as dumb as they come...............

[PAULYPOKER]

http://paulypoker.mysbrforum.com/photos/l/o2brxty7.jpg

[Sunde91]

2-3 +2.01 week 12

Overall: 31-24 +7.45

Denver 2nd half pk -110
2.2x to win 2

Denver gets the ball. Minn has choked about 3 halftime leads away this year. Same story with Tebow down small at the half right within the distance to comeback and win.

[Sunde91]

Denver ML +130 (Live after opening TD 2nd half)
1x to win 1.3

Classic Tebow game. Worst 2nd half team in the league vs. the best

[Sunde91]

Green Bay 2nd half -5 +120
1x to win 1.2

GB gets the ball and should put the game away. Rodgers had a poor 1st half. Giants had a better shot if they were leading at half, instead down 4 with a late GB TD. If GB gets a score on the first drive, Giants should be dead

[Sunde91]

2-1 +2.3 week 13

Overall: 33-25 +9.75

Titans +3.5 -115
3.45x to win 3

Titans ML +165
1x to win 1.65

Saints are spoiled coming off back to back prime time home games in the dome where they won by 2+ TD. Now they're on the road in Nashville in about 35 degree weather against a lowly perceived AFC foe. There is also little urgency with the division basically locked up.

Titans meanwhile are in a must win spot for the Wildcard. Chris Johnson has hit form finally with 343 rush yards the last 2 weeks. Titans are playing some good ball. Were up 23-10 in the 4th @Buff last week before a garbage time Buff TD. This is one of their most important games of the year with 4 other 7-5 teams hunting for 1 Wild Card spot. They know they can't afford a loss here.

Cards +4 -106
3.18 to win 3

Cards ML +175
1x to win 1.75

Cards with some new life off the Cowboys win. Whisenhunt will sell this game to his team as a must win for their playoffs hopes, and they do have a small chance just 2 games out with the Giants, Bears, and ATL all facing tough road games. They also want to make up for a blowout loss @SF just 3 weeks ago.

Feeling a little let down for SF on the road. I can't believe this team will show up completely motivated week after week. The division was clinched weeks ago. This team has no experience, no leadership. I don't think the thought of a first round bye will keep this team focused with the urge to a roll a team on the road.

[shopbar picks]

I like tenn good pick

[Sunde91]

Denver ML -145 live end of regulation
2.9x to win 2

Tbow

[Sunde91]

Cowboys -3 +105 Live down 5-0 1st Q
2x to win 2.1

[Sunde91]

Rams +7.5 +109
1x to win 1.09

Bradford will start and Rams gotta play for some pride after 3 weeks ago when they got outscored 24-0 after a 7-0 lead at home to Seattle. Line is inflated and all the love for Seattle comes from their win over Philly

[Sunde91]

STL/SEA Under 40 -110 (Live mid 2Q 10-3)
1.1x to win 1

practical 3-3 game with 2 joke offenses. should be a clock and field position game from here on out. 27 more points is a tall order

[Sunde91]

3-5 -1.8 week 14

Overall: 36-30 +7.95

ATL -13.5 +123
2x to win 2.46

Jax is playing on the road on a short week for their 3rd game in 11 days with a rookie QB, among the worst in the league, and a 1st time interim HC. This is a real bad spot for Jax. It should be back to reality after last week's joke, when TB quit and committed 7 TOs, 2 directly for TD. Jax is also playing with 2 rookies in the secondary. 2 weeks ago Rivers torched that secondary for 300 and 3 TDs. JAX also depends heavily on the run. ATL comes in 5th in rush D. If their run is shut down, relying on Gabbert to make plays, it won't end well for them.

Could have been disaster last week for ATL, but they came back to win down 23-7 at the half. They now control their destiny for a wildcard. Ryan is dealing (320 and 4 TDs last week) and should handle JAX's injured secondary easily. Seems like a blowout.

[Sunde91]

Pats TT Over 26 -110
3.3x to win 3

Juice will almost surely move up to about -130 like it is at the greek. Pats line has moved from -6 to -7 on a 46 total. Mistake to leave -110 on 26. Think it's a much better alternative to laying 7 in Mile High against Tebow. I'd expect Broncos to get 20+ against that shit D.
Brady and that O is all you can rely on with the Pats. 30+ points in 10 of 13 games. They went sub 30 three games in a row during their funk with the losses @PITT, NYG. They're well passed that now. Brady and the Pats are well aware of their history of losing in Denver, losing 3 in a row there (including a playoff game) going back to 2005. They're out to change that while also playing for the #1 seed. They're also sick of the Tebow hype. Brady will be ready to lay it down.

Denver's 16th pass D has had the luxury of playing shit QBs and passing teams during this Tebow run (Hanie, bad Rivers, Sanchez, Cassel, Moore). Now #2 pass O with Brady comes in. Didn't go well the last 2 times vs. top 5 passing Os. GB had 49 points and 396 pass yards and DET had 45 points and 263 pass yards. 2 weeks ago Ponder just took them for 32 and 360. Denver may also miss 3 starters in the secondary.

[Sunde91]

JAX/ATL 2nd half Under 17 +110
1x to win 1.1

[Sunde91]

Jets ML +130
3x to win 3.9

Jets are in playoff mode battling week after week. They've won 3 in a row and are playing their best ball of the season. This is a must win for them. 3 teams are 1 game behind them. Jets see their schedule and know it's tough. Get Giants next week at home, a battle. @MIA the week after, not an easy game. This game reminds me of last year in this same week 15. Jets were battling for the playoffs, and they were on the road @PITT in a must win. They got the W. That was a game they won without Leonard too (dont have him here).

Eagles are the underachieving shit team of the year. They've been finished for 2 months. Don't care about some mathematical 5% chance to win the East. They haven't had it all year save 2 games of brilliance. Last game @MIA was a farce. They won that so people think they're back. They aren't. Vick 15/30 1 TD, 1 INT, 70pr. Eagles 0 Offensive points outside the 2nd Q. Miami turned the ball over 3x in a row to give PHI 17 points. Seen this story time after time. Eagles suck for a game, then win, then comeback and suck again. The team does not have it this year.

OAK ML -102
2.04x to win 2

Both teams need to win, both teams are a joke. OAK is a little less of a joke than DET, and they're at home coming off 2 tough road games. OAK's 6th rush O can do damage vs. DET's 27th rush D.

Foresaw DET's collapse back at the start of October, wasn't hard to see. No experience, shit D, clown coach, zero discipline. Their wad has been shot for 2 months. Now they're across 3 time zones in the blackhole.

Chargers ML +125
2x to win 2.5

Here come the dumbass Chargers after taking the last 6 weeks off before the win @JAX. Thanks for coming out now that you have all but a 10% chance at the div crown. Tard boy Rivers is now playing lights out. 75% completion, 6 TD, 0 INT, and a 135 passer rating last 2 games. Point is they're awake now playing good ball and going for another late season run. Home Sunday Night in a game they will hype to themselves as the game of their season, a 100% must win.

BALT has faced shit with little urgency since the Thanksgiving win. Cle, IND. 2 of the 5 worst teams in the league. Now they're on the road and need to immediately flip the switch for a Chargers team playing up to its potential. Don't think they get it done.

SEA +10, IND +14.5, NYG -.5 +157 (tease 6.5 pts ties win)
1x to win 1.57

[Sunde91]

Denver +18 +105 (Live down 34-16 in the 4th)
2x to win 2.1

Pats have zero urgency now this cushion, meanwhile it's tbow time

[playboy_1]

decent plays bro keep it up

[Sunde91]

Chargers 2nd half +.5 +128
1x to win 1.28

Chargers get the ball and should give up nothing. Season on the line right now and they've shown up huge

[Sunde91]

4-4-1 +2.2 week 15

Overall: 40-34-1 +10.15

Chargers +3 -120
3.6x to win 3

Chargers ML +120
2x to win 2.4

Chargers are officially back to top form clicking in all phases and they now have a real shot to win the division. Clear must win in DET. Rivers is playing like a top 3-5 QB. Last 3 weeks he's at 75%, 268 ypg, 7 TD, 0 INT, 132 pr. He has the killer look again and will thrash this Lions D. SD's run game is going again. Matthews/Tolbert combine for 133 ypg last 3. Raiders just ran on DET's 27th Rush D for 132 yards on 6 ypc. SD will do damage on the ground. D is also going strong, specifically their 6th pass D to be a problem for DET. Chargers are 23-2 in December with Rivers at QB

Lions fluke to another miracle comeback. Classic letdown spot coming back home now for a young, inexperienced, undisciplined team. They've played horribly and lost at home all year vs. top teams (GB, SF, ATL). Should be another choke with playoffs almost in grasp against a SD team that is playing at full potential

[Sunde91]

PITT 2nd half pk -105
1.05x to win 1

Niners get the ball meaning a quick stop and the potential for field position and momentum for PITT. Dont see Niners O doing much else this game. Urgency for PITT is still there for the conference/division and theyll play through

[Sunde91]

Seattle ML +120
3x to win 3.6

Seattle's GOY is tomorrow in their final home game. Still alive in the playoff race and ATL/DET play after/at the same time as them, so they will play all out assuming the best. In the first matchup, Seattle played SF real close, down 19-17 in the 4th, before back to back Ginn return TDs broke it open with 3 minutes left. Theyll want some revenge

SF is off 4 days rest after a huge win over PITT. They put a lot into that to prove they are "legit". They dont have the experience or leadership to keep focused come off a win like that 4 days and then go win in Seattle.

Pete Carroll. He's lost 2 in a row to Harbaugh and 3 of their total 4 meetings going back to College. Harbaugh came into Stanford in his 1st year and won SU as 40 point dogs in the Coliseum, ruined USC's title hopes. In 09, Harbaugh ran up the score and went for 2 up 33 points late in the 4th Q, leading to some tension and words with the postgame handshake. On top of playing for the playoffs, Carroll would love nothing more than to ruin Harbaugh's shot at a first round bye.

Dallas -1.5 -103
3.09x to win 3

Dallas GOY with 1 win and a Giants loss and they're in the playoffs. Last home game of the year on Christmas Eve playing the Eagles, who embarassed them on Sunday Night 2 months ago. Rob Ryan particularly got destroyed with his D and will want another shot at Vick. Jerry Jones hyping up the Eagles. First home game after the Giants choke 2 weeks ago. Redemption city for everyone.

Classic Eagles letdown spot after a Jets blowout and now going into Dallas with everyone riding high on them. All the pressure of the dream team is back. If Giants win, they are eliminated and may really hurt their psyche of getting up for this game. The urgency for the Cowboys will be there either way

[Sunde91]

Pats ML +130 Live down 17-10 mid 3rd
3x to win 3.9

Miami's early magic is done and they are now a deer in the headlights. Tom has 22 minutes to erase a 7 point deficit for the #1 seedd at home

[Sunde91]

1-4 -7.79 week 16

futures 2-2 -0.74

Overall: 43-41-1 +0.57

Broncos -3 -115
3.45x to win 3

Somehow Chiefs are some good team now after a minor QB upgrade with Orton. This would have been Den -7 2 weeks ago. Now everyone likes Chiefs after Tebow's implosion and KC's win over GB. They're trash and little has changed.

Broncos at home last game of the year with a shot to win the division. They will respond here after 2 blowout losses. The crowd will be up for this and Tebow will help the Broncos recapture the magic and heart they played with just a few weeks ago.

[Sunde91]

Cowboys 2nd half -3 +105
3x to win 3.15

[Sunde91]

1-1 -0.15 week 17

Final Regular Season
Overall: 44-42-1 +0.27
average price (weighted): +108

Futures: 2-2 -0.74
3x: 8-10 -6.96
2x: 9-11-1 -3.22
1x: 25-19 +11.19

ATS (FG): 11-14 -9.94
(favs 3-3, dogs 4-5)
ML: 7-12 -0.39
Totals: 4-2 +3.9
(overs 0-0, unders 1-2, TT O 3-0)
Live/2nd half: 18-15-1 +6.44
Teasers: 5-3 +4.4
Props: 2-0 +3.35

[Sunde91]

Denver +8.5 -107
5.35x to win 5

Go bigger on some playoffs like usual. Think 8.5 at that price is the best to get and wouldnt be surprised to see it move to 7 by kick

Pitt was just -6.5/-7 at Browns last week and they were playing with Mendenhall. So we're to believe Broncos are 2 points worse (through the key 7) than the Browns. Not a chance, massively inflated line based on Tebow sucking and the anticipation that public would be all over Steelers regardless after seeing last week.

Pitt limps into the playoffs and are nowhere near where they were last year. They barely got by the Browns twice. Mendenhall is out. Redman makes his first career start in his place. Center Pouncey is out. Ben tweaked his ankle last week after it felt good going in. In 2 games with the injury, Ben has thrown 0 TD, 3 INT, 57%, and a 62 passer rating. He had a 95 rating before those games. Their last 3 games with Ben they put up 14, 3, and 13 points (2 games vs. Browns). Even when they were healthy recently on the road, they barely got by KC and Tyler Palko 13-9. That is a joke. They are in no position at all to blowout anyone.

Their D is also terribly overrated, old, and banged up. Their #1 D on paper is ridiculously inflated. One game vs. a top 10 O all year came at home when they ambushed the Pats. Harrison and Polamalu are questionable.

Broncos have looked bad too but they're at home in their first playoff game in 6 years. Last playoff games was the 05-06 AFC title where they lost to..Ben and the Steelers in Mile High. The Bronco bandwagon has been completely abandoned by the media. No one is giving them a shot and outlets like ESPN are calling for a 3 TD Pitt victory. It's the perfect scenario for Broncos to recapture their magic at home with all the media frenzy and pressure gone.

Broncos could score 6 points and easily cover. 10-6, 14-6. Its completely absurd to think Pitt will come into Mile High and put up some big number to cover given the injuries and their recent performance

[ttrace35]

This thread is actually not bad. Good job sundae. Tracer is just on a different level than everybody else.

[Sunde91]

Saints 2nd half -4 -235
4.7x to win 2

Saints get the ball, make adjustments and win after sleep walking through the first half

[Sunde91]

ATL 2nd half pk -117
1.17x to win 1

ATL with the ball and I think they come out with a nice drive to set the tone

[Sunde91]

Denver 2nd half +7 +105
1x to win 1.05

Ben back to hobbling badly and this feels like the Niners game. Denver gets the ball and I dont see how PITT is in the position to cover this